Necaxa vs Guadalajara — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Liga MX, Mexico
🕒 Thursday 23rd April, 04:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

Guadalajara have a clear advantage in away form this season (6/10, 60%), while Necaxa are less dominant at home (4/10, 40%). The visitors may have the edge — see our Away Win stats.

Guadalajara have a strong trend for high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 Goals in 70%), while Necaxa are lower at home (50%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Guadalajara regularly see both teams score in away matches (70%), while Necaxa are lower at home (40%). The visitors' tendency to be involved in goal-heavy games supports BTTS – Yes.

Necaxa regularly reach high corner totals at home (70%), while Guadalajara are lower on the road (20%). The home side may drive the game to Over 9.5 Corners.

Our Prediction: Over 1.5 Goals — Necaxa see 2+ goals in 70% of home games, Guadalajara in 80% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

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League Table

The full Liga MX table for the 2025/2026 season, with Necaxa (th) and Guadalajara (th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Liga MX 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Toluca 36 21 10 5 69:32 +37 73
2 Cruz Azul 35 19 12 4 62:39 +23 69
3 Tigres UANL 37 18 10 9 66:39 +27 64
4 Guadalajara A 33 19 4 10 59:42 +17 61
5 América 33 16 8 9 50:34 +16 56
6 Pachuca 33 15 8 10 46:37 +9 53
7 Monterrey 35 15 7 13 58:51 +7 52
8 Tijuana 34 12 12 10 50:44 +6 48
9 Pumas UNAM 31 11 12 8 48:42 +6 45
10 Juárez 35 11 10 14 52:58 -6 43
11 Atlas 31 9 9 13 38:53 -15 36
12 Querétaro 31 9 8 14 32:47 -15 35
13 Necaxa H 31 9 6 16 41:52 -11 33
14 León 31 9 5 17 30:55 -25 32
15 Atlético San Luis 30 9 3 18 45:51 -6 30
16 Santos Laguna 31 8 5 18 39:63 -24 29
17 Mazatlán 30 5 10 15 35:54 -19 25
18 Puebla 31 6 7 18 32:59 -27 25

Team Form

Guadalajara have shown strong away form this season (60% wins), while Necaxa have been less dominant at home (40%). The visitors may have the form edge in this one.

Necaxa (Home Form) Guadalajara (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 4 (40%) 6 (60%)
Drawn 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Lost 5 (50%) 4 (40%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Guadalajara regularly see both teams score in away matches (70%), while Necaxa are lower at home (40%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Necaxa (Home Form) Guadalajara (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 4 (40%) 7 (70%)

Match Goals

Guadalajara regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Necaxa are lower at home (50%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Over Goals

Necaxa (Home Form) Guadalajara (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 7 (70%) 8 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 4 (40%)

Under Goals

Necaxa (Home Form) Guadalajara (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 6 (60%)

Team Goals

Necaxa have scored 2+ goals in 30% of home games this season, Guadalajara in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Necaxa (Home Form) Guadalajara (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 5 (50%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Necaxa (Home Form) Guadalajara (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 9 (90%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goal Totals

Necaxa (Home Form) Guadalajara (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 14 (1.4 avg) 16 (1.6 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 12 (1.2 avg) 17 (1.7 avg)

Match Corners

Necaxa regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while Guadalajara are lower on the road (40%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

Necaxa (Home Form) Guadalajara (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 7 (70%) 4 (40%)
Over 8.5 Corners 7 (70%) 4 (40%)
Over 9.5 Corners 7 (70%) 2 (20%)
Over 10.5 Corners 6 (60%) 2 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 12.5 Corners 2 (20%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

Necaxa have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 50% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of home matches.

Guadalajara have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of away matches.

Corners Won

Necaxa (Home Form) Guadalajara (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 3 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Necaxa (Home Form) Guadalajara (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Fiľakovo vs Rimavská Sobota 15:00 BST | 3. Liga - Center, Slovakia Fiľakovo have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 home matches this season · Rimavská Sobota have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    94% combined
  • Becamex Hồ Chí Minh U19 vs Ninh Bình 12:00 BST | V-League, Vietnam Becamex Hồ Chí Minh U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 home matches this season · Ninh Bình have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.8
    94% combined
  • Sham Shui Po vs Supreme 08:00 BST | First Division, Hong Kong Sham Shui Po have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/10 home matches this season · Supreme have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.36
    90% combined
  • Stoke City U21 vs Southampton U21 13:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Stoke City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 home matches this season · Southampton U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    88% combined
Acca odds (approx) 5.14
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Necaxa vs Guadalajara Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Necaxa vs Guadalajara?

Over 1.5 Goals — Necaxa see 2+ goals in 70% of home games, Guadalajara in 80% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Necaxa or Guadalajara?

Guadalajara arrive in the better form — winning 60% of away games in Liga MX this season compared to Necaxa's 40% at home. The visitors may have the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between Necaxa and Guadalajara?

Possibly — Guadalajara regularly see both teams score away (70%), while Necaxa are lower at home (40%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Necaxa and Guadalajara?

Possibly — Guadalajara regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Necaxa are lower at home (50%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Necaxa or Guadalajara?

Necaxa have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 30% of home games compared to Guadalajara's 20% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Necaxa and Guadalajara?

Possibly — Necaxa regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while Guadalajara are lower on the road (40%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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Over 2.5 Goals

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Home Win

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Over 1.5 Goals

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Atlético San Luis vs Pumas UNAM

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Cruz Azul vs Tijuana

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🕒 Sunday 19th April, 00:00 BST

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Monterrey vs Pachuca

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Guadalajara vs Puebla

📍 Liga MX, Mexico

🕒 Sunday 19th April, 02:07 BST

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León vs Juárez

📍 Liga MX, Mexico

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