Neftçi vs Karvan | Betting Tips, Predictions & Stats (, Premier League)

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

Neftçi sit 8th in the table after 3 games, averaging 1.9 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per home match this season. Karvan are 10th after 3 games, averaging 0.5 scored and 2.1 conceded on the road. Neftçi have won 5/10 home games (50%) this season; Karvan have won 0/10 on the road (0%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Neftçi have been involved in high-scoring home games this season — Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 70% of their home fixtures (7/10). Karvan are lower on the road (30%, 3/10), averaging 0.5 scored and 2.1 conceded away from home.

BTTS figures are mid-range for both sides — Neftçi at 50% in home games (5/10), Karvan at 50% away (5/10). Neither a clear yes nor no based on the stats alone.

Corner data is available but trends are mixed — Neftçi see 9+ corners in 20% of home games, Karvan in 40% away. No strong edge in this market for this fixture.

Our Prediction: Over 1.5 Goals — Neftçi see 2+ goals in 70% of home games, Karvan in 70% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

League Table

The full Premier League table for the 2025/2026 season, with Neftçi (8th) and Karvan (10th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Premier League 2025/2026

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Sabah	33	24	6	3	75:25	+50	78
2	Qarabağ	33	21	6	6	71:27	+44	69
3	Neftçi H	33	16	11	6	57:32	+25	59
4	Turan	33	17	8	8	44:27	+17	59
5	Zira	33	13	14	6	43:36	+7	53
6	Araz	33	13	7	13	44:58	-14	46
7	Sumqayıt	33	11	5	17	42:50	-8	38
8	Şamaxı FK	33	9	11	13	31:40	-9	38
9	İmişli FK	33	8	13	12	24:40	-16	37
10	Qabala	33	7	6	20	32:49	-17	27
11	Kapaz	33	8	3	22	25:61	-36	27
12	Karvan A	33	3	6	24	23:66	-43	15

Team Form

Karvan have lost 70% of their away matches this season, while Neftçi have been more solid at home (30% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

	Neftçi (Home Form)	Karvan (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Won	5 (50%)	0 (0%)
Drawn	2 (20%)	3 (30%)
Lost	3 (30%)	7 (70%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Neftçi have seen both teams score in 50% of home games, Karvan in 50% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

	Neftçi (Home Form)	Karvan (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)	5 (50%)	5 (50%)

Match Goals

Neftçi frequently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Karvan are lower on the road (30%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Over Goals

	Neftçi (Home Form)	Karvan (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Over 0.5 Goals	9 (90%)	10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals	7 (70%)	7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals	7 (70%)	3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals	4 (40%)	2 (20%)

Under Goals

	Neftçi (Home Form)	Karvan (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Under 0.5 Goals	1 (10%)	0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals	3 (30%)	3 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals	3 (30%)	7 (70%)
Under 3.5 Goals	6 (60%)	8 (80%)

Team Goals

Neftçi have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Karvan in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

	Neftçi (Home Form)	Karvan (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored	8 (80%)	5 (50%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored	6 (60%)	0 (0%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored	2 (20%)	0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored	1 (10%)	0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

	Neftçi (Home Form)	Karvan (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded	6 (60%)	10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded	3 (30%)	4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded	2 (20%)	2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded	1 (10%)	2 (20%)

Goal Totals

	Neftçi (Home Form)	Karvan (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Total Goals Scored	19 (1.9 avg)	5 (0.5 avg)
Total Goals Conceded	13 (1.3 avg)	21 (2.1 avg)

Match Corners

Neftçi have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 40% of home games, Karvan in 50% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

	Neftçi (Home Form)	Karvan (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Over 7.5 Corners	5 (50%)	6 (60%)
Over 8.5 Corners	4 (40%)	5 (50%)
Over 9.5 Corners	2 (20%)	4 (40%)
Over 10.5 Corners	1 (10%)	3 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners	1 (10%)	0 (0%)
Over 12.5 Corners	1 (10%)	0 (0%)

Team Corners

Neftçi have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Karvan have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of away matches.

Corners Won

	Neftçi (Home Form)	Karvan (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Over 4.5 Corners For	5 (50%)	1 (10%)
Over 5.5 Corners For	3 (30%)	1 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners For	2 (20%)	1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For	2 (20%)	0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For	1 (10%)	0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

	Neftçi (Home Form)	Karvan (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Over 4.5 Corners Against	2 (20%)	8 (80%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against	1 (10%)	6 (60%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against	0 (0%)	4 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against	0 (0%)	2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against	0 (0%)	2 (20%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Neftçi and Karvan. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

13th Feb, 2010

Karvan

0 – 1 HT: 0-1

Neftçi