Neftçi vs Qarabağ — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Premier League, Azerbaijan
🕒 Saturday 21st February, 15:00 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals

Neftçi (50% home wins) hold a slight edge over Qarabağ on the road (40% away wins), but the difference is minimal. View our Home Win, Away Win and Draw stats for more context.

Both Neftçi and Qarabağ have been involved in high-scoring games this season — Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 70% of Neftçi's home games and 70% of Qarabağ's away games. Expect an open, high-scoring contest.

Both Neftçi and Qarabağ frequently see both teams scoring (60% and 60% respectively). BTTS – Yes looks highly probable with both sides regularly finding the net this season.

Both teams regularly see 8+ corners in recent games (60% and 90%) — Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Over 2.5 Goals — Neftçi have seen 3+ goals in 70% of home games, Qarabağ in 70% of away games. The numbers suggest an open, high-scoring fixture.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

League Table

The full Premier League table for the 2025/2026 season, with Neftçi (5th) and Qarabağ (2nd) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Premier League 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Sabah 27 20 6 1 66:21 +45 66
2 Qarabağ A 26 17 5 4 55:18 +37 56
3 Turan 27 15 7 5 35:19 +16 52
4 Zira 27 11 11 5 36:30 +6 44
5 Neftçi H 26 11 10 5 44:24 +20 43
6 Araz 27 11 6 10 37:49 -12 39
7 Şamaxı FK 27 7 11 9 25:28 -3 32
8 Sumqayıt 27 8 5 14 32:41 -9 29
9 İmişli FK 27 6 11 10 21:34 -13 29
10 Kapaz 27 6 3 18 22:54 -32 21
11 Qabala 27 5 4 18 25:43 -18 19
12 Karvan 27 2 5 20 20:57 -37 11

Team Form

Qarabağ have lost 50% of their away matches this season, while Neftçi have been more solid at home (20% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

Neftçi (Home Form) Qarabağ (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Drawn 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Lost 2 (20%) 5 (50%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Neftçi have seen both teams score in 60% of home games this season, Qarabağ in 60% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net — the stats support a goal at each end.

Neftçi (Home Form) Qarabağ (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 6 (60%) 6 (60%)

Match Goals

Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 70% of Neftçi's home games and 70% of Qarabağ's away games this season. Both sides have consistently featured in high-scoring matches.

Over Goals

Neftçi (Home Form) Qarabağ (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 3.5 Goals 6 (60%) 3 (30%)

Under Goals

Neftçi (Home Form) Qarabağ (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Under 3.5 Goals 4 (40%) 7 (70%)

Team Goals

Neftçi have scored 2+ goals in 30% of home games this season, Qarabağ in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Neftçi (Home Form) Qarabağ (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 7 (70%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Neftçi (Home Form) Qarabağ (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 7 (70%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goal Totals

Neftçi (Home Form) Qarabağ (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 26 (2.6 avg) 12 (1.2 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 12 (1.2 avg) 17 (1.7 avg)

Match Corners

Qarabağ frequently reach high corner counts away from home (80%), while Neftçi are lower at home (50%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Neftçi (Home Form) Qarabağ (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 6 (60%) 9 (90%)
Over 8.5 Corners 5 (50%) 8 (80%)
Over 9.5 Corners 2 (20%) 6 (60%)
Over 10.5 Corners 1 (10%) 6 (60%)
Over 11.5 Corners 1 (10%) 5 (50%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 5 (50%)

Team Corners

Neftçi have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Qarabağ have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 50% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

Corners Won

Neftçi (Home Form) Qarabağ (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 8 (80%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 3 (30%)

Corners Conceded

Neftçi (Home Form) Qarabağ (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 2 (20%)

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Manchester City U21 vs Norwich City U21 19:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Manchester City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 home matches this season · Norwich City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    89% combined
  • Crewe Alexandra U21 vs Queens Park Rangers U21 13:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Crewe Alexandra U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/13 home matches this season · Queens Park Rangers U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    81% combined
  • Sheffield United U21 vs Bristol City U21 14:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Sheffield United U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 home matches this season · Bristol City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    76% combined
  • Newcastle United U21 vs Wolves U21 19:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Newcastle United U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/9 home matches this season · Wolves U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    72% combined

Neftçi vs Qarabağ Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Neftçi vs Qarabağ?

Over 2.5 Goals — Neftçi have seen 3+ goals in 70% of home games, Qarabağ in 70% of away games. The numbers suggest an open, high-scoring fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Neftçi or Qarabağ?

Neftçi have a slight form edge at home (50% wins) over Qarabağ on the road (40% wins) in Premier League. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Neftçi and Qarabağ?

Mixed — Neftçi have seen BTTS in 60% of home games, Qarabağ in 60% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Premier League fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Neftçi and Qarabağ?

Yes, likely — Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 70% of Neftçi's home games and 70% of Qarabağ's away games in Premier League. Both sides consistently feature in high-scoring matches.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Neftçi or Qarabağ?

Neftçi have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 30% of home games compared to Qarabağ's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Neftçi and Qarabağ?

Possibly — Qarabağ frequently reach high corner counts away (80%), while Neftçi are lower at home (50%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

Discover match stats based on likely outcomes for the next 3–4 days.

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