New Mexico United vs Lexington — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 USL Championship, United States
🕒 Sunday 28th September, 23:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) – No

New Mexico United hold a clear edge at home this season (6/10, 60%), while Lexington are less consistent on the road (2/10, 20%). The match may be competitive, but home advantage is meaningful here — see our Home Win stats.

New Mexico United consistently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 Goals in 80%), while Lexington are lower on the road (40%). The hosts' attacking threat could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

New Mexico United often see both teams score at home (70%), while Lexington are less consistent on the road (30%). There's still a reasonable case for BTTS – Yes, mainly driven by the home side's open style.

Both teams regularly see 8+ corners in recent games (70% and 60%) — Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Both Teams To Score (BTTS) – No — at least one side rarely sees both teams score, with New Mexico United at 70% BTTS in home games and Lexington at 30% away. A clean sheet for one side looks likely.

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League Table

The full USL Championship table for the 2025 season, with New Mexico United (4th) and Lexington (5th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

USL Championship 2025

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Louisville City 26 19 5 2 48:17 +31 62
2 Tulsa Roughnecks 30 17 10 3 54:27 +27 61
3 Charleston Battery 26 16 6 4 54:26 +28 54
4 Pittsburgh Riverhounds 30 12 10 8 29:23 +6 46
5 Hartford Athletic 27 13 6 8 47:29 +18 45
6 Sacramento Republic 26 12 8 6 38:20 +18 44
7 New Mexico United H 29 12 6 11 42:44 -2 42
8 North Carolina FC 26 12 4 10 34:34 0 40
9 Phoenix Rising 26 9 11 6 38:35 +3 38
10 Rhode Island 30 10 8 12 26:25 +1 38
11 Orange County 27 8 9 10 37:38 -1 33
12 El Paso Locomotive 25 8 9 8 36:34 +2 33
13 Colorado Springs 26 9 5 12 26:38 -12 32
14 Tampa Bay Rowdies 25 8 7 10 39:43 -4 31
15 Lexington A 24 8 6 10 23:34 -11 30
16 Indy Eleven 26 9 3 14 36:45 -9 30
17 Detroit City 26 7 9 10 25:28 -3 30
18 San Antonio 25 7 7 11 29:33 -4 28
19 Oakland Roots 24 7 7 10 35:39 -4 28
20 Miami FC II 25 7 6 12 25:35 -10 27
21 Loudoun United 25 7 6 12 34:44 -10 27
22 Birmingham Legion 25 4 10 11 29:41 -12 22
23 Las Vegas Lights 25 4 7 14 19:47 -28 19
24 Monterey Bay 24 3 7 14 16:40 -24 16

Team Form

New Mexico United hold a clear edge in home form this season (60% wins), while Lexington have been less consistent on the road (20%). Home advantage could be decisive here.

New Mexico United (Home Form) Lexington (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 6 (60%) 2 (20%)
Drawn 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Lost 2 (20%) 6 (60%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

New Mexico United frequently see both teams score at home (70%), while Lexington are less consistent on the road (30%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

New Mexico United (Home Form) Lexington (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 7 (70%) 3 (30%)

Match Goals

New Mexico United frequently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 in 80%), while Lexington are lower on the road (40%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Over Goals

New Mexico United (Home Form) Lexington (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 9 (90%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals 8 (80%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals 5 (50%) 1 (10%)

Under Goals

New Mexico United (Home Form) Lexington (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Under 2.5 Goals 2 (20%) 6 (60%)
Under 3.5 Goals 5 (50%) 9 (90%)

Team Goals

New Mexico United have scored 2+ goals in 40% of home games this season, Lexington in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

New Mexico United (Home Form) Lexington (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 8 (80%) 5 (50%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 8 (80%) 0 (0%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

New Mexico United (Home Form) Lexington (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 9 (90%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

New Mexico United (Home Form) Lexington (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 20 (2 avg) 5 (0.5 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 18 (1.8 avg) 15 (1.5 avg)

Match Corners

Both New Mexico United (70% Over 7.5 at home) and Lexington (60% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

New Mexico United (Home Form) Lexington (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Over 8.5 Corners 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Over 9.5 Corners 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 10.5 Corners 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

New Mexico United have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Lexington have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of away matches.

Corners Won

New Mexico United (Home Form) Lexington (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 1 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

New Mexico United (Home Form) Lexington (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 2 (20%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between New Mexico United and Lexington. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

14th Jun, 2025
Lexington
2 – 1 HT: 0-1
New Mexico United
Corners 10–0 Cards 3–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for New Mexico United vs Lexington across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

New Mexico United 2.14
Draw 3.69
Lexington 3.55

Half Time Result

New Mexico United 2.75
Draw 2.13
Lexington 4.01

Double Chance

New Mexico United or Draw 1.34
New Mexico United or Lexington 1.29
Draw or Lexington 1.75

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.81
No 2.12

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.12
Over 2.5 1.99
Over 3.5 3.7
Under 1.5 1.94
Under 2.5 1.89
Under 3.5 1.27

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.37
Over 1.5 2.87

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.28
Over 9.5 1.58
Over 10.5 2.51
Over 11.5 2.66

New Mexico United Goals

Over 0.5 1.18
Over 1.5 2.14
Over 2.5 4.2

Lexington Goals

Over 0.5 1.4
Over 1.5 2.79
Over 2.5 7.1

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • FC Bayern München vs VfB Stuttgart 16:30 BST | Bundesliga, Germany FC Bayern München have seen over 2.5 goals in 14/14 home matches this season · VfB Stuttgart have seen over 2.5 goals in 14/14 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    100% combined
  • Borussia Dortmund U19 vs Schalke 04 U19 10:00 BST | U19 Bundesliga, Germany Borussia Dortmund U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/10 home matches this season · Schalke 04 U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    90% combined
  • Sporting Cristal vs UTC Cajamarca 17:00 BST | Primera Division, Peru Sporting Cristal have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · UTC Cajamarca have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.7
    90% combined
  • Tainan City vs Tatung 08:30 BST | Taiwan Football Premier League, Taiwan Tainan City have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 home matches this season · Tatung have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 away matches this season · Odds: 1.57
    86% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.27
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New Mexico United vs Lexington Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for New Mexico United vs Lexington?

BTTS – No — at least one side rarely sees both teams score, with New Mexico United at 70% BTTS at home and Lexington at 30% away. A clean sheet for one side looks likely.

Which team is likely to win, New Mexico United or Lexington?

New Mexico United hold a clear form advantage — they've won 60% of home games in USL Championship this season, while Lexington have won only 20% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between New Mexico United and Lexington?

Possibly — New Mexico United frequently see both teams score at home (70%), while Lexington are lower on the road (30%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between New Mexico United and Lexington?

Possibly — New Mexico United frequently feature in high-scoring home games (Over 2.5 in 80%), while Lexington are lower on the road (40%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: New Mexico United or Lexington?

New Mexico United have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 40% of home games compared to Lexington's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between New Mexico United and Lexington?

New Mexico United have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 60% of home games, Lexington in 40% of away games in USL Championship. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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