Newcastle United vs Arsenal — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Premier League, England
🕒 Sunday 28th September, 16:30 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) – Yes

Arsenal have a clear advantage in away form this season (6/10, 60%), while Newcastle United are less dominant at home (3/10, 30%). The visitors may have the edge — see our Away Win stats.

Newcastle United consistently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 Goals in 70%), while Arsenal are lower on the road (60%). The hosts' attacking threat could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Both Newcastle United and Arsenal frequently see both teams scoring (70% and 70% respectively). BTTS – Yes looks highly probable with both sides regularly finding the net this season.

Newcastle United regularly reach high corner totals at home (70%), while Arsenal are lower on the road (50%). The home side may drive the game to Over 9.5 Corners.

Our Prediction: Both Teams To Score (BTTS) – Yes — Newcastle United see both teams score in 70% of home games, Arsenal in 70% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net this season.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

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League Table

The full Premier League table for the 2025/2026 season, with Newcastle United (15th) and Arsenal (7th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Premier League 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Arsenal A 32 21 7 4 62:24 +38 70
2 Manchester City 31 19 7 5 63:28 +35 64
3 Manchester United 31 15 10 6 56:43 +13 55
4 Aston Villa 32 16 7 9 43:38 +5 55
5 Liverpool 32 15 7 10 52:42 +10 52
6 Chelsea 32 13 9 10 53:41 +12 48
7 Brentford 32 13 8 11 48:44 +4 47
8 Everton 32 13 8 11 39:37 +2 47
9 Sunderland 32 12 10 10 33:36 -3 46
10 Brighton & Hove Albion 32 12 10 10 43:37 +6 46
11 AFC Bournemouth 32 10 15 7 48:49 -1 45
12 Fulham 32 13 5 14 43:46 -3 44
13 Newcastle United H 32 12 6 14 45:47 -2 42
14 Crystal Palace 31 11 9 11 35:36 -1 42
15 Nottingham Forest 32 8 9 15 32:44 -12 33
16 Leeds United 31 7 12 12 37:48 -11 33
17 West Ham United 32 8 8 16 40:57 -17 32
18 Tottenham Hotspur 32 7 9 16 40:51 -11 30
19 Burnley 32 4 8 20 33:63 -30 20
20 Wolverhampton Wanderers 32 3 8 21 24:58 -34 17

Team Form

Arsenal have shown strong away form this season (60% wins), while Newcastle United have been less dominant at home (30%). The visitors may have the form edge in this one.

Newcastle United (Home Form) Arsenal (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 3 (30%) 6 (60%)
Drawn 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Lost 6 (60%) 1 (10%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Newcastle United have seen both teams score in 70% of home games this season, Arsenal in 70% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net — the stats support a goal at each end.

Newcastle United (Home Form) Arsenal (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 7 (70%) 7 (70%)

Match Goals

Newcastle United frequently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Arsenal are lower on the road (60%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Over Goals

Newcastle United (Home Form) Arsenal (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 10 (100%) 8 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Over 3.5 Goals 4 (40%) 4 (40%)

Under Goals

Newcastle United (Home Form) Arsenal (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Under 3.5 Goals 6 (60%) 6 (60%)

Team Goals

Newcastle United have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Arsenal in 30% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Newcastle United (Home Form) Arsenal (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 8 (80%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 2 (20%)

Goals Conceded

Newcastle United (Home Form) Arsenal (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 9 (90%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 7 (70%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 3 (30%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Newcastle United (Home Form) Arsenal (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 15 (1.5 avg) 20 (2 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 19 (1.9 avg) 9 (0.9 avg)

Match Corners

Newcastle United regularly reach high corner counts at home (80%), while Arsenal are lower on the road (50%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

Newcastle United (Home Form) Arsenal (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 8 (80%) 5 (50%)
Over 8.5 Corners 8 (80%) 5 (50%)
Over 9.5 Corners 7 (70%) 5 (50%)
Over 10.5 Corners 7 (70%) 4 (40%)
Over 11.5 Corners 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners 3 (30%) 2 (20%)

Team Corners

Newcastle United have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 50% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Arsenal have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of away matches.

Corners Won

Newcastle United (Home Form) Arsenal (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 7 (70%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 2 (20%)

Corners Conceded

Newcastle United (Home Form) Arsenal (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 5 (50%) 1 (10%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Newcastle United and Arsenal. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

27th Jul, 2025
Arsenal
3 – 2 HT: 2-1
Newcastle United
Corners 6–2 Cards 1–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
18th May, 2025
Arsenal
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Newcastle United
Corners 10–7 Cards 3–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
5th Feb, 2025
Newcastle United
2 – 0 HT: 1-0
Arsenal
Corners 1–13 Cards 2–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
7th Jan, 2025
Arsenal
0 – 2 HT: 0-1
Newcastle United
Corners 11–1 Cards 1–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
2nd Nov, 2024
Newcastle United
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Arsenal
Corners 4–6 Cards 4–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
24th Feb, 2024
Arsenal
4 – 1 HT: 2-0
Newcastle United
Corners 9–0 Cards 1–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
4th Nov, 2023
Newcastle United
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Arsenal
Corners 0–11 Cards 5–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
7th May, 2023
Newcastle United
0 – 2 HT: 0-1
Arsenal
Corners 9–4 Cards 2–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
3rd Jan, 2023
Arsenal
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Newcastle United
Corners 5–5 Cards 4–5 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
16th May, 2022
Newcastle United
2 – 0 HT: 0-0
Arsenal
Corners 12–8 Cards 0–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Newcastle United vs Arsenal across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Newcastle United 3.3
Draw 3.3
Arsenal 2.2

Half Time Result

Newcastle United 4.4
Draw 2.15
Arsenal 2.92

Double Chance

Newcastle United or Draw 1.72
Newcastle United or Arsenal 1.38
Draw or Arsenal 1.33

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.91
No 1.91

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.36
Over 2.5 2.31
Over 3.5 4.05
Under 1.5 3.2
Under 2.5 1.66
Under 3.5 1.21

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.47
Over 1.5 3.34

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.25
Over 9.5 1.46
Over 10.5 1.6
Over 11.5 2

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5 1.5
Over 1.5 3.3
Over 2.5 10

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5 1.28
Over 1.5 2.39
Over 2.5 5.5

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Manchester City U21 vs Norwich City U21 19:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Manchester City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 home matches this season · Norwich City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    89% combined
  • Crewe Alexandra U21 vs Queens Park Rangers U21 13:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Crewe Alexandra U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/13 home matches this season · Queens Park Rangers U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    81% combined
  • Sheffield United U21 vs Bristol City U21 14:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Sheffield United U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 home matches this season · Bristol City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    76% combined
  • Newcastle United U21 vs Wolves U21 19:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Newcastle United U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/9 home matches this season · Wolves U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    72% combined
Acca odds (approx) 2.92
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Newcastle United vs Arsenal Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Newcastle United vs Arsenal?

Both Teams to Score — Newcastle United see BTTS in 70% of home games, Arsenal in 70% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net this season.

Which team is likely to win, Newcastle United or Arsenal?

Arsenal arrive in the better form — winning 60% of away games in Premier League this season compared to Newcastle United's 30% at home. The visitors may have the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between Newcastle United and Arsenal?

Yes — both sides have been regularly involved in matches where both teams score. Newcastle United have seen BTTS in 70% of home games, Arsenal in 70% of away games in Premier League. Goals at both ends look likely.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Newcastle United and Arsenal?

Possibly — Newcastle United frequently feature in high-scoring home games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Arsenal are lower on the road (60%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Newcastle United or Arsenal?

Arsenal have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 30% of away games compared to Newcastle United's 20% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Newcastle United and Arsenal?

Possibly — Newcastle United regularly reach high corner counts at home (80%), while Arsenal are lower on the road (50%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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