Newcastle United vs Brighton & Hove Albion — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Premier League, England
🕒 Saturday 2nd May, 15:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners

Newcastle United (30% home wins) hold a slight edge over Brighton & Hove Albion on the road (40% away wins), but the difference is minimal. View our Home Win, Away Win and Draw stats for more context.

Newcastle United consistently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 Goals in 80%), while Brighton & Hove Albion are lower on the road (50%). The hosts' attacking threat could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Newcastle United often see both teams score at home (80%), while Brighton & Hove Albion are less consistent on the road (50%). There's still a reasonable case for BTTS – Yes, mainly driven by the home side's open style.

Brighton & Hove Albion often produce high corner totals away (80%), while Newcastle United are lower at home (60%). The visitors may push the game to Over 9.5 Corners.

Our Prediction: Over 8.5 Corners — Newcastle United see 9+ corners in 70% of home games, Brighton & Hove Albion in 80% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

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League Table

The full Premier League table for the 2025/2026 season, with Newcastle United (th) and Brighton & Hove Albion (th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Premier League 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Arsenal 32 21 7 4 62:24 +38 70
2 Manchester City 31 19 7 5 63:28 +35 64
3 Manchester United 32 15 10 7 57:45 +12 55
4 Aston Villa 32 16 7 9 43:38 +5 55
5 Liverpool 32 15 7 10 52:42 +10 52
6 Brentford 33 13 9 11 48:44 +4 48
7 AFC Bournemouth 33 11 15 7 50:50 0 48
8 Chelsea 32 13 9 10 53:41 +12 48
9 Everton 32 13 8 11 39:37 +2 47
10 Brighton & Hove Albion A 33 12 11 10 45:39 +6 47
11 Sunderland 32 12 10 10 33:36 -3 46
12 Fulham 33 13 6 14 43:46 -3 45
13 Newcastle United H 33 12 6 15 46:49 -3 42
14 Crystal Palace 31 11 9 11 35:36 -1 42
15 Leeds United 33 9 12 12 42:49 -7 39
16 Nottingham Forest 32 8 9 15 32:44 -12 33
17 West Ham United 32 8 8 16 40:57 -17 32
18 Tottenham Hotspur 33 7 10 16 42:53 -11 31
19 Burnley 32 4 8 20 33:63 -30 20
20 Wolverhampton Wanderers 33 3 8 22 24:61 -37 17

Team Form

Newcastle United have lost 60% of their home matches this season, while Brighton & Hove Albion have been more resilient on the road (30% losses). The visitors may have a slight edge in consistency.

Newcastle United (Home Form) Brighton & Hove Albion (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Drawn 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Lost 6 (60%) 3 (30%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Newcastle United frequently see both teams score at home (80%), while Brighton & Hove Albion are less consistent on the road (50%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Newcastle United (Home Form) Brighton & Hove Albion (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 8 (80%) 5 (50%)

Match Goals

Newcastle United frequently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 in 80%), while Brighton & Hove Albion are lower on the road (50%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Over Goals

Newcastle United (Home Form) Brighton & Hove Albion (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 10 (100%) 8 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals 8 (80%) 5 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals 4 (40%) 2 (20%)

Under Goals

Newcastle United (Home Form) Brighton & Hove Albion (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Under 3.5 Goals 6 (60%) 8 (80%)

Team Goals

Newcastle United have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Brighton & Hove Albion in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Newcastle United (Home Form) Brighton & Hove Albion (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 9 (90%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Newcastle United (Home Form) Brighton & Hove Albion (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 9 (90%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 7 (70%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Newcastle United (Home Form) Brighton & Hove Albion (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 16 (1.6 avg) 13 (1.3 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 19 (1.9 avg) 12 (1.2 avg)

Match Corners

Both Newcastle United (70% Over 8.5 at home) and Brighton & Hove Albion (80% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches. Expect plenty of set-piece opportunities from both sides.

Newcastle United (Home Form) Brighton & Hove Albion (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 7 (70%) 9 (90%)
Over 8.5 Corners 7 (70%) 8 (80%)
Over 9.5 Corners 6 (60%) 8 (80%)
Over 10.5 Corners 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Over 11.5 Corners 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners 3 (30%) 0 (0%)

Team Corners

Newcastle United have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 50% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Brighton & Hove Albion have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of away matches.

Corners Won

Newcastle United (Home Form) Brighton & Hove Albion (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Newcastle United (Home Form) Brighton & Hove Albion (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 10 (100%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 8 (80%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Newcastle United vs Brighton & Hove Albion across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Newcastle United 2.15
Draw 3.6
Brighton & Hove Albion 3

Half Time Result

Newcastle United 2.75
Draw 2.37
Brighton & Hove Albion 3.4

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.57
No 2.25

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.05
Over 2.5 1.05
Over 3.5 2.62
Under 1.5 1.17
Under 2.5 1.16
Under 3.5 1.5

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.3
Over 1.5 2.37

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5 1.18
Over 1.5 1.9

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5 1.28
Over 1.5 2.25

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • FC Bayern München vs VfB Stuttgart 16:30 BST | Bundesliga, Germany FC Bayern München have seen over 2.5 goals in 14/14 home matches this season · VfB Stuttgart have seen over 2.5 goals in 14/14 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    100% combined
  • Borussia Dortmund U19 vs Schalke 04 U19 10:00 BST | U19 Bundesliga, Germany Borussia Dortmund U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/10 home matches this season · Schalke 04 U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    90% combined
  • Sporting Cristal vs UTC Cajamarca 17:00 BST | Primera Division, Peru Sporting Cristal have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · UTC Cajamarca have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.7
    90% combined
  • Tainan City vs Tatung 08:30 BST | Taiwan Football Premier League, Taiwan Tainan City have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 home matches this season · Tatung have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 away matches this season · Odds: 1.57
    86% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.27
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Newcastle United vs Brighton & Hove Albion Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Newcastle United vs Brighton & Hove Albion?

Over 8.5 Corners — Newcastle United see 9+ corners in 70% of home games, Brighton & Hove Albion in 80% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Which team is likely to win, Newcastle United or Brighton & Hove Albion?

Brighton & Hove Albion hold a slight form advantage away (40% wins) over Newcastle United at home (30% wins) in Premier League. A competitive fixture with the visitors potentially having the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between Newcastle United and Brighton & Hove Albion?

Possibly — Newcastle United frequently see both teams score at home (80%), while Brighton & Hove Albion are lower on the road (50%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Newcastle United and Brighton & Hove Albion?

Possibly — Newcastle United frequently feature in high-scoring home games (Over 2.5 in 80%), while Brighton & Hove Albion are lower on the road (50%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Newcastle United or Brighton & Hove Albion?

Newcastle United have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of home games compared to Brighton & Hove Albion's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Newcastle United and Brighton & Hove Albion?

Yes — both Newcastle United (70% Over 8.5 at home) and Brighton & Hove Albion (80% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches in Premier League. Plenty of set-piece opportunities expected.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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David H. (Glasgow, UK)

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