Newcastle United vs Manchester City — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Premier League, England
🕒 Saturday 22nd November, 17:30 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals

Newcastle United (30% home wins) hold a slight edge over Manchester City on the road (50% away wins), but the difference is minimal. View our Home Win, Away Win and Draw stats for more context.

Newcastle United consistently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 Goals in 70%), while Manchester City are lower on the road (60%). The hosts' attacking threat could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Newcastle United often see both teams score at home (70%), while Manchester City are less consistent on the road (50%). There's still a reasonable case for BTTS – Yes, mainly driven by the home side's open style.

Newcastle United regularly reach high corner totals at home (70%), while Manchester City are lower on the road (50%). The home side may drive the game to Over 9.5 Corners.

Our Prediction: Over 2.5 Goals — Newcastle United have seen 3+ goals in 70% of home games, Manchester City in 60% of away games. The numbers suggest an open, high-scoring fixture.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

The full Premier League table for the 2025/2026 season, with Newcastle United (15th) and Manchester City (3rd) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Premier League 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Arsenal 32 21 7 4 62:24 +38 70
2 Manchester City A 31 19 7 5 63:28 +35 64
3 Manchester United 31 15 10 6 56:43 +13 55
4 Aston Villa 32 16 7 9 43:38 +5 55
5 Liverpool 32 15 7 10 52:42 +10 52
6 Chelsea 32 13 9 10 53:41 +12 48
7 Brentford 32 13 8 11 48:44 +4 47
8 Everton 32 13 8 11 39:37 +2 47
9 Sunderland 32 12 10 10 33:36 -3 46
10 Brighton & Hove Albion 32 12 10 10 43:37 +6 46
11 AFC Bournemouth 32 10 15 7 48:49 -1 45
12 Fulham 32 13 5 14 43:46 -3 44
13 Newcastle United H 32 12 6 14 45:47 -2 42
14 Crystal Palace 31 11 9 11 35:36 -1 42
15 Nottingham Forest 32 8 9 15 32:44 -12 33
16 Leeds United 31 7 12 12 37:48 -11 33
17 West Ham United 32 8 8 16 40:57 -17 32
18 Tottenham Hotspur 32 7 9 16 40:51 -11 30
19 Burnley 32 4 8 20 33:63 -30 20
20 Wolverhampton Wanderers 32 3 8 21 24:58 -34 17

Team Form

Newcastle United have lost 60% of their home matches this season, while Manchester City have been more resilient on the road (30% losses). The visitors may have a slight edge in consistency.

Newcastle United (Home Form) Manchester City (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Drawn 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Lost 6 (60%) 3 (30%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Newcastle United frequently see both teams score at home (70%), while Manchester City are less consistent on the road (50%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Newcastle United (Home Form) Manchester City (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 7 (70%) 5 (50%)

Match Goals

Newcastle United frequently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Manchester City are lower on the road (60%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Over Goals

Newcastle United (Home Form) Manchester City (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 10 (100%) 9 (90%)
Over 2.5 Goals 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Over 3.5 Goals 4 (40%) 3 (30%)

Under Goals

Newcastle United (Home Form) Manchester City (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Under 2.5 Goals 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Under 3.5 Goals 6 (60%) 7 (70%)

Team Goals

Newcastle United have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Manchester City in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Newcastle United (Home Form) Manchester City (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 8 (80%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Newcastle United (Home Form) Manchester City (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 9 (90%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 7 (70%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Newcastle United (Home Form) Manchester City (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 15 (1.5 avg) 15 (1.5 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 19 (1.9 avg) 13 (1.3 avg)

Match Corners

Newcastle United regularly reach high corner counts at home (80%), while Manchester City are lower on the road (60%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

Newcastle United (Home Form) Manchester City (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Over 8.5 Corners 8 (80%) 6 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners 7 (70%) 5 (50%)
Over 10.5 Corners 7 (70%) 5 (50%)
Over 11.5 Corners 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners 3 (30%) 2 (20%)

Team Corners

Newcastle United have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 50% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Manchester City have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 50% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of away matches.

Corners Won

Newcastle United (Home Form) Manchester City (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 5 (50%)

Corners Conceded

Newcastle United (Home Form) Manchester City (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 0 (0%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Newcastle United and Manchester City. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

15th Feb, 2025
Manchester City
4 – 0 HT: 3-0
Newcastle United
Corners 7–4 Cards 0–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
28th Sep, 2024
Newcastle United
1 – 1 HT: 0-1
Manchester City
Corners 5–6 Cards 4–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
16th Mar, 2024
Manchester City
2 – 0 HT: 2-0
Newcastle United
Corners 11–2 Cards 0–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
13th Jan, 2024
Newcastle United
2 – 3 HT: 2-1
Manchester City
Corners 3–13 Cards 1–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
27th Sep, 2023
Newcastle United
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Manchester City
Corners 4–7 Cards 2–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
19th Aug, 2023
Manchester City
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Newcastle United
Corners 3–0 Cards 1–5 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
4th Mar, 2023
Manchester City
2 – 0 HT: 1-0
Newcastle United
Corners 8–4 Cards 2–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
21st Aug, 2022
Newcastle United
3 – 3 HT: 2-1
Manchester City
Corners 5–5 Cards 4–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
8th May, 2022
Manchester City
5 – 0 HT: 2-0
Newcastle United
Corners 8–2 Cards 1–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
19th Dec, 2021
Newcastle United
0 – 4 HT: 0-2
Manchester City
Corners 3–6 Cards 1–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Newcastle United vs Manchester City across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Newcastle United 4.1
Draw 3.85
Manchester City 2

Half Time Result

Newcastle United 4.29
Draw 2.53
Manchester City 2.47

Double Chance

Newcastle United or Draw 1.95
Newcastle United or Manchester City 1.27
Draw or Manchester City 1.29

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.59
No 2.64

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.17
Over 2.5 1.64
Over 3.5 2.6
Under 1.5 5.6
Under 2.5 2.54
Under 3.5 1.61

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.25
Over 1.5 2.43

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.21
Over 9.5 1.53
Over 10.5 1.96
Over 11.5 2.18

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5 1.3
Over 1.5 2.72

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5 1.13
Over 1.5 1.73

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Manchester City U21 vs Norwich City U21 19:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Manchester City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 home matches this season · Norwich City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    89% combined
  • Crewe Alexandra U21 vs Queens Park Rangers U21 13:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Crewe Alexandra U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/13 home matches this season · Queens Park Rangers U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    81% combined
  • Sheffield United U21 vs Bristol City U21 14:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Sheffield United U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 home matches this season · Bristol City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    76% combined
  • Newcastle United U21 vs Wolves U21 19:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Newcastle United U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/9 home matches this season · Wolves U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    72% combined
Acca odds (approx) 2.92
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Newcastle United vs Manchester City Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Newcastle United vs Manchester City?

Over 2.5 Goals — Newcastle United have seen 3+ goals in 70% of home games, Manchester City in 60% of away games. The numbers suggest an open, high-scoring fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Newcastle United or Manchester City?

Manchester City hold a slight form advantage away (50% wins) over Newcastle United at home (30% wins) in Premier League. A competitive fixture with the visitors potentially having the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between Newcastle United and Manchester City?

Possibly — Newcastle United frequently see both teams score at home (70%), while Manchester City are lower on the road (50%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Newcastle United and Manchester City?

Possibly — Newcastle United frequently feature in high-scoring home games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Manchester City are lower on the road (60%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Newcastle United or Manchester City?

Manchester City have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of away games compared to Newcastle United's 20% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Newcastle United and Manchester City?

Possibly — Newcastle United regularly reach high corner counts at home (80%), while Manchester City are lower on the road (60%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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Over 2.5 Goals

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Both Teams to Score

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Home Win

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Over 1.5 Goals

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