Noia vs Arosa — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Tercera - Group 1, Spain
🕒 Sunday 8th March, 16:30 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Arosa have a clear advantage in away form this season (6/10, 60%), while Noia are less dominant at home (2/10, 20%). The visitors may have the edge — see our Away Win stats.

Both sides have rarely seen 3+ goals this season — Noia at 20% at home and Arosa at 40% away. The numbers lean towards Under 2.5 Goals as the likely outcome.

Both teams rarely see both sides score — Noia at 40% at home and Arosa at 40% away. Solid defensive records on both sides make BTTS – No a reasonable selection.

Arosa regularly hit 8+ corners on the road (80%). Expect them to create set-piece pressure, supporting Over 8.5 Corners.

Our Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals — Noia have stayed under 3 goals in 80% of home games, Arosa in 60% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

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League Table

The full Tercera - Group 1 table for the 2025/2026 season, with Noia (17th) and Arosa (2nd) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Tercera - Group 1 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Compostela 30 17 9 4 49:24 +25 60
2 Arosa A 30 16 10 4 51:33 +18 58
3 Atlético Arteixo 30 14 9 7 48:34 +14 51
4 Villalbés 30 11 13 6 32:21 +11 46
5 Somozas 30 12 10 8 31:26 +5 46
6 Barco 30 13 6 11 33:35 -2 45
7 Estradense 30 11 11 8 38:29 +9 44
8 Boiro 30 11 11 8 34:25 +9 44
9 Atlético Coruña 30 11 10 9 41:36 +5 43
10 Lugo II 30 10 12 8 31:30 +1 42
11 Gran Pena 30 10 12 8 44:38 +6 42
12 Alondras 30 10 9 11 40:42 -2 39
13 Céltiga 30 10 8 12 41:38 +3 38
14 Viveiro 30 8 10 12 25:37 -12 34
15 Silva 30 6 8 16 23:43 -20 26
16 Juventud Cambados 30 4 14 12 23:33 -10 26
17 Barbadás 30 4 7 19 23:55 -32 19
18 Noia H 30 4 7 19 19:47 -28 19

Team Form

Arosa have shown strong away form this season (60% wins), while Noia have been less dominant at home (20%). The visitors may have the form edge in this one.

Noia (Home Form) Arosa (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 2 (20%) 6 (60%)
Drawn 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Lost 5 (50%) 2 (20%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Noia (40% BTTS at home) and Arosa (40% BTTS away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches this season. A clean sheet for one side looks the more likely outcome.

Noia (Home Form) Arosa (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 4 (40%) 4 (40%)

Match Goals

Noia have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 20% of home games, Arosa in 40% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Noia (Home Form) Arosa (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Under Goals

Noia (Home Form) Arosa (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Under 2.5 Goals 8 (80%) 6 (60%)
Under 3.5 Goals 10 (100%) 9 (90%)

Team Goals

Noia have scored 2+ goals in 0% of home games this season, Arosa in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Noia (Home Form) Arosa (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Noia (Home Form) Arosa (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 9 (90%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Noia (Home Form) Arosa (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 6 (0.6 avg) 13 (1.3 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 11 (1.1 avg) 10 (1 avg)

Match Corners

Arosa frequently reach high corner counts away from home (70%), while Noia are lower at home (20%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Noia (Home Form) Arosa (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 3 (30%) 8 (80%)
Over 8.5 Corners 2 (20%) 7 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 10.5 Corners 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 12.5 Corners 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

Noia have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Arosa have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of away matches.

Corners Won

Noia (Home Form) Arosa (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Noia (Home Form) Arosa (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Noia and Arosa. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

19 Oct 2025
Arosa
5 – 2 HT: 0-2
Noia
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
02 Feb 2025
Noia
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Arosa
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
22 Sep 2024
Arosa
0 – 2 HT: 0-1
Noia
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
13 May 2018
Arosa
3 – 0 HT: 0-0
Noia
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
17 Dec 2017
Noia
0 – 4 HT: 0-0
Arosa
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
08 May 2016
Noia
1 – 2 HT: 0-0
Arosa
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
20 Dec 2015
Arosa
3 – 0 HT: 0-0
Noia
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Noia vs Arosa across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Noia 4.25
Draw 3.35
Arosa 1.63

Half Time Result

Noia 4.75
Draw 2.05
Arosa 2.4

Double Chance

Noia or Draw 1.83
Noia or Arosa 1.25
Draw or Arosa 1.16

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.37
Over 2.5 2.15
Over 3.5 3.8
Under 1.5 3
Under 2.5 1.66
Under 3.5 1.25

1st Half Goals

Over 1.5 3.1

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Al-Najma vs Al Budaiya 17:00 BST | Premier League, Bahrain Al-Najma have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/8 home matches this season · Al Budaiya have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/8 away matches this season · Odds: 1.95
    75% combined
  • Al Jazeera vs Al Buqa'a 16:00 BST | Premier League, Jordan Al Jazeera have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/11 home matches this season · Al Buqa'a have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.8
    73% combined
  • AZ vs Shakhtar Donetsk 17:45 BST | Europa Conference League, Europe AZ have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/8 home matches this season · Shakhtar Donetsk have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.7
    71% combined
  • Aluminij vs Mura 16:00 BST | 1. SNL, Slovenia Aluminij have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/14 home matches this season · Mura have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/14 away matches this season · Odds: 1.75
    68% combined
Acca odds (approx) 10.44
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Noia vs Arosa Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Noia vs Arosa?

Under 2.5 Goals — Noia have stayed under 3 goals in 80% of home games, Arosa in 60% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, Noia or Arosa?

Arosa arrive in the better form — winning 60% of away games in Tercera - Group 1 this season compared to Noia's 20% at home. The visitors may have the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between Noia and Arosa?

Unlikely — Noia (40% BTTS at home) and Arosa (40% away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches in Tercera - Group 1. A clean sheet for one side looks the more probable outcome.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Noia and Arosa?

Uncertain — Noia have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 20% of home games, Arosa in 40% of away games in Tercera - Group 1. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Noia or Arosa?

Arosa have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 10% of away games compared to Noia's 0% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Noia and Arosa?

Possibly — Arosa frequently reach high corner counts away (70%), while Noia are lower at home (20%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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Over 2.5 Goals

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Other Upcoming Fixtures

Céltiga vs Villalbés

📍 Tercera - Group 1, Spain

🕒 Sunday 19th April, 01:00 BST

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Boiro vs Atlético Arteixo

📍 Tercera - Group 1, Spain

🕒 Sunday 19th April, 01:00 BST

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Compostela vs Atlético Coruña

📍 Tercera - Group 1, Spain

🕒 Sunday 19th April, 01:00 BST

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Silva vs Barbadás

📍 Tercera - Group 1, Spain

🕒 Sunday 19th April, 01:00 BST

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Estradense vs Somozas

📍 Tercera - Group 1, Spain

🕒 Sunday 19th April, 01:00 BST

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Juventud Cambados vs Noia

📍 Tercera - Group 1, Spain

🕒 Sunday 19th April, 01:00 BST

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Viveiro vs Lugo II

📍 Tercera - Group 1, Spain

🕒 Sunday 19th April, 01:00 BST

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Gran Pena vs Alondras

📍 Tercera - Group 1, Spain

🕒 Sunday 19th April, 01:00 BST

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Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

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David H. (Glasgow, UK)

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