Noia vs Gran Pena — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Tercera - Group 1, Spain
🕒 Sunday 10th May, 01:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Noia (30% home wins) hold a slight edge over Gran Pena on the road (10% away wins), but the difference is minimal. View our Home Win, Away Win and Draw stats for more context.

Both sides have rarely seen 3+ goals this season — Noia at 30% at home and Gran Pena at 30% away. The numbers lean towards Under 2.5 Goals as the likely outcome.

Gran Pena regularly see both teams score in away matches (60%), while Noia are lower at home (30%). The visitors' tendency to be involved in goal-heavy games supports BTTS – Yes.

Corner trends are mixed for this fixture — view our Over 3.5 First Half Corners and Over 8.5 Corners pages for the full data.

Our Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals — Noia have stayed under 3 goals in 70% of home games, Gran Pena in 70% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

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League Table

The full Tercera - Group 1 table for the 2025/2026 season, with Noia (th) and Gran Pena (th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Tercera - Group 1 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Compostela 33 18 11 4 54:28 +26 65
2 Arosa 32 18 10 4 53:33 +20 64
3 Atlético Arteixo 33 16 9 8 52:42 +10 57
4 Estradense 33 13 11 9 43:32 +11 50
5 Villalbés 32 12 13 7 33:24 +9 49
6 Somozas 32 12 11 9 33:29 +4 47
7 Boiro 32 12 11 9 40:26 +14 47
8 Lugo II 32 11 13 8 35:30 +5 46
9 Barco 32 13 7 12 33:36 -3 46
10 Atlético Coruña 32 11 12 9 43:38 +5 45
11 Gran Pena A 32 11 12 9 48:40 +8 45
12 Alondras 32 11 9 12 42:46 -4 42
13 Céltiga 33 10 8 15 43:45 -2 38
14 Viveiro 32 8 11 13 25:39 -14 35
15 Silva 32 8 8 16 29:44 -15 32
16 Juventud Cambados 32 4 14 14 23:37 -14 26
17 Noia H 32 6 7 19 25:47 -22 25
18 Barbadás 32 4 7 21 24:62 -38 19

Team Form

Noia have lost 50% of their home matches this season, while Gran Pena have been more resilient on the road (40% losses). The visitors may have a slight edge in consistency.

Noia (Home Form) Gran Pena (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Drawn 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Lost 5 (50%) 4 (40%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Gran Pena regularly see both teams score in away matches (60%), while Noia are lower at home (30%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Noia (Home Form) Gran Pena (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 3 (30%) 6 (60%)

Match Goals

Noia (30% Over 2.5 at home) and Gran Pena (30% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches this season. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

Over Goals

Noia (Home Form) Gran Pena (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals 0 (0%) 2 (20%)

Under Goals

Noia (Home Form) Gran Pena (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Under 3.5 Goals 10 (100%) 8 (80%)

Team Goals

Noia have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Gran Pena in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Noia (Home Form) Gran Pena (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Noia (Home Form) Gran Pena (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 8 (80%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goal Totals

Noia (Home Form) Gran Pena (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 8 (0.8 avg) 10 (1 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 10 (1 avg) 13 (1.3 avg)

Match Corners

Noia (20% Over 8.5 at home) and Gran Pena (30% away) have both featured in predominantly low-corner matches this season. Set-piece opportunities may be limited.

Noia (Home Form) Gran Pena (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 8.5 Corners 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 9.5 Corners 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 10.5 Corners 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 12.5 Corners 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

Noia have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Gran Pena have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of away matches.

Corners Won

Noia (Home Form) Gran Pena (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Noia (Home Form) Gran Pena (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Nagykanizsa W vs PELC-Nyárád W 11:00 BST | Nöi NB II, Hungary Nagykanizsa W have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 home matches this season · PELC-Nyárád W have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 away matches this season · Odds: 1.36
    93% combined
  • Hills United vs Mt Druitt Town 08:00 BST | New South Wales NPL 2, Australia Hills United have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 home matches this season · Mt Druitt Town have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.53
    90% combined
  • Spartaan'20 U21 vs Westlandia U21 11:45 BST | U21 Divisie 4, Netherlands Spartaan'20 U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/12 home matches this season · Westlandia U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 12/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    87% combined
  • Mendrisio vs YF Juventus 16:00 BST | 1.Liga Classic, Switzerland Mendrisio have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/10 home matches this season · YF Juventus have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.61
    86% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.09
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Noia vs Gran Pena Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Noia vs Gran Pena?

Under 2.5 Goals — Noia have stayed under 3 goals in 70% of home games, Gran Pena in 70% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, Noia or Gran Pena?

Noia have a slight form edge at home (30% wins) over Gran Pena on the road (10% wins) in Tercera - Group 1. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Noia and Gran Pena?

Mixed — Noia have seen BTTS in 30% of home games, Gran Pena in 60% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Tercera - Group 1 fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Noia and Gran Pena?

Unlikely — Noia (30% Over 2.5 at home) and Gran Pena (30% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches in Tercera - Group 1. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Noia or Gran Pena?

Gran Pena have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 10% of away games compared to Noia's 10% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Noia and Gran Pena?

Unlikely — Noia (20% Over 8.5 at home) and Gran Pena (30% away) have both featured in predominantly low-corner matches in Tercera - Group 1.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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Over 2.5 Goals

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Both Teams to Score

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Home Win

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Over 1.5 Goals

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10 Teams to Win Today

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Other Upcoming Fixtures

Lugo II vs Barbadás

📍 Tercera - Group 1, Spain

🕒 Sunday 3rd May, 11:00 BST

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Silva vs Noia

📍 Tercera - Group 1, Spain

🕒 Sunday 3rd May, 11:30 BST

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Gran Pena vs Villalbés

📍 Tercera - Group 1, Spain

🕒 Sunday 3rd May, 17:00 BST

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Alondras vs Viveiro

📍 Tercera - Group 1, Spain

🕒 Sunday 3rd May, 17:00 BST

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Boiro vs Atlético Coruña

📍 Tercera - Group 1, Spain

🕒 Sunday 3rd May, 17:00 BST

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Barco vs Somozas

📍 Tercera - Group 1, Spain

🕒 Sunday 3rd May, 17:00 BST

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Atlético Arteixo vs Silva

📍 Tercera - Group 1, Spain

🕒 Sunday 10th May, 01:00 BST

Match Stats

Atlético Coruña vs Juventud Cambados

📍 Tercera - Group 1, Spain

🕒 Sunday 10th May, 01:00 BST

Match Stats

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"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

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