Olympique Marseille vs Ajax — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Champions League, Europe
🕒 Tuesday 30th September, 20:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals

Olympique Marseille (50% home wins) hold a slight edge over Ajax on the road (30% away wins), but the difference is minimal. View our Home Win, Away Win and Draw stats for more context.

Both Olympique Marseille and Ajax have been involved in high-scoring games this season — Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 80% of Olympique Marseille's home games and 70% of Ajax's away games. Expect an open, high-scoring contest.

Both Olympique Marseille and Ajax frequently see both teams scoring (60% and 70% respectively). BTTS – Yes looks highly probable with both sides regularly finding the net this season.

Both teams regularly see 8+ corners in recent games (80% and 60%) — Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Over 2.5 Goals — Olympique Marseille have seen 3+ goals in 80% of home games, Ajax in 70% of away games. The numbers suggest an open, high-scoring fixture.

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League Table

The full Champions League table for the 2025/2026 season, with Olympique Marseille (26th) and Ajax (33th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Champions League 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 FC Bayern München 12 11 0 1 38:14 +24 33
2 Arsenal 12 10 2 0 27:5 +22 32
3 Paris Saint Germain 14 9 3 2 38:17 +21 30
4 Real Madrid 14 9 0 5 33:20 +13 27
5 Qarabağ 16 8 1 7 31:35 -4 25
6 FC Barcelona 12 7 2 3 32:20 +12 23
7 Club Brugge 14 7 2 5 32:27 +5 23
8 Atlético Madrid 14 7 2 5 34:26 +8 23
9 Pafos FC 14 6 5 3 16:14 +2 23
10 FC København 14 6 4 4 23:22 +1 22
11 Newcastle United 12 6 3 3 29:18 +11 21
12 Liverpool 12 7 0 5 24:13 +11 21
13 Bodø / Glimt 14 6 3 5 28:24 +4 21
14 Sporting CP 12 6 2 4 22:15 +7 20
15 Tottenham Hotspur 10 6 2 2 22:14 +8 20
16 Benfica 14 6 1 7 16:15 +1 19
17 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 12 4 5 3 16:17 -1 17
18 Galatasaray 12 5 1 6 17:20 -3 16
19 Manchester City 10 5 1 4 16:14 +2 16
20 Juventus 10 4 4 2 19:17 +2 16
21 Chelsea 10 5 1 4 19:18 +1 16
22 Atalanta 12 5 1 6 16:23 -7 16
23 Inter 10 5 0 5 17:12 +5 15
24 Borussia Dortmund 10 4 2 4 22:21 +1 14
25 Ferencvárosi 6 4 1 1 13:9 +4 13
26 Kairat 16 3 4 9 14:26 -12 13
27 Malmö FF 6 4 1 1 11:8 +3 13
28 Olympiacos F.C. 10 3 3 4 10:16 -6 12
29 Monaco 10 2 5 3 12:19 -7 11
30 Crvena Zvezda 6 3 2 1 12:6 +6 11
31 Skendija 79 6 3 1 2 6:8 -2 10
32 Ludogorets 6 2 3 1 6:6 0 9
33 Olympique Marseille H 8 3 0 5 11:14 -3 9
34 Union Saint-Gilloise 8 3 0 5 8:17 -9 9
35 PSV 8 2 2 4 16:16 0 8
36 Athletic Club 8 2 2 4 9:14 -5 8
37 Napoli 8 2 2 4 9:15 -6 8
38 Rangers 6 2 1 3 8:12 -4 7
39 KuPS 4 2 1 1 3:3 0 7
40 Slovan Bratislava 4 2 1 1 7:3 +4 7
41 Zrinjski 4 2 1 1 6:7 -1 7
42 Lech Poznań 4 2 1 1 10:5 +5 7
43 Ajax A 8 2 0 6 8:21 -13 6
44 Dynamo Kyiv 4 2 0 2 6:3 +3 6
45 Viktoria Plzeň 4 2 0 2 5:6 -1 6
46 Drita 4 2 0 2 4:5 -1 6
47 Rīgas FS 4 2 0 2 3:5 -2 6
48 Lincoln Red Imps 4 2 0 2 5:8 -3 6
49 Salzburg 4 1 1 2 7:6 +1 4
50 Fenerbahçe 4 1 1 2 6:5 +1 4
51 Shelbourne 4 1 1 2 2:5 -3 4
52 Eintracht Frankfurt 8 1 1 6 10:21 -11 4
53 Noah 4 1 1 2 7:8 -1 4
54 Feyenoord 2 1 0 1 4:6 -2 3
55 Hamrun Spartans 4 1 0 3 2:8 -6 3
56 Servette 2 1 0 1 2:3 -1 3
57 Sturm Graz 2 1 0 1 2:6 -4 3
58 FCSB 4 1 0 3 5:6 -1 3
59 Žalgiris 2 1 0 1 2:2 0 3
60 Inter Club d'Escaldes 2 1 0 1 3:4 -1 3
61 Breidablik 4 1 0 3 6:9 -3 3
62 Egnatia Rrogozhinë 2 1 0 1 1:5 -4 3
63 Slavia Praha 8 0 3 5 5:19 -14 3
64 Celtic 2 0 2 0 0:0 0 2
65 Brann 2 0 1 1 2:5 -3 1
66 Basel 2 0 1 1 1:3 -2 1
67 Villarreal 8 0 1 7 5:18 -13 1
68 Maccabi Tel Aviv 2 0 1 1 1:2 -1 1
69 Dinamo Minsk 2 0 1 1 2:3 -1 1
70 Rijeka 2 0 1 1 1:3 -2 1
71 Panathinaikos 2 0 1 1 1:3 -2 1
72 Olimpija 2 0 1 1 1:3 -2 1
73 Budućnost 2 0 1 1 2:3 -1 1
74 The New Saints 2 0 1 1 1:2 -1 1
75 Linfield 2 0 1 1 1:2 -1 1
76 Milsami 2 0 1 1 0:1 -1 1
77 Nice 2 0 0 2 0:4 -4 0
78 FC Iberia 1999 2 0 0 2 2:6 -4 0
79 Virtus 2 0 0 2 1:4 -3 0
80 Differdange 03 2 0 0 2 2:4 -2 0
81 Levadia 2 0 0 2 0:2 -2 0
82 Víkingur 2 0 0 2 2:4 -2 0

Team Form

Olympique Marseille have lost 30% of their home matches this season, while Ajax have been more resilient on the road (20% losses). The visitors may have a slight edge in consistency.

Olympique Marseille (Home Form) Ajax (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Drawn 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Lost 3 (30%) 2 (20%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Olympique Marseille have seen both teams score in 60% of home games this season, Ajax in 70% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net — the stats support a goal at each end.

Olympique Marseille (Home Form) Ajax (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 6 (60%) 7 (70%)

Match Goals

Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 80% of Olympique Marseille's home games and 70% of Ajax's away games this season. Both sides have consistently featured in high-scoring matches.

Over Goals

Olympique Marseille (Home Form) Ajax (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 9 (90%) 9 (90%)
Over 2.5 Goals 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Over 3.5 Goals 5 (50%) 5 (50%)

Under Goals

Olympique Marseille (Home Form) Ajax (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Under 2.5 Goals 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Under 3.5 Goals 5 (50%) 5 (50%)

Team Goals

Olympique Marseille have scored 2+ goals in 40% of home games this season, Ajax in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Olympique Marseille (Home Form) Ajax (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 8 (80%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Olympique Marseille (Home Form) Ajax (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 8 (80%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goal Totals

Olympique Marseille (Home Form) Ajax (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 18 (1.8 avg) 15 (1.5 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 15 (1.5 avg) 18 (1.8 avg)

Match Corners

Olympique Marseille regularly reach high corner counts at home (80%), while Ajax are lower on the road (50%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

Olympique Marseille (Home Form) Ajax (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 8 (80%) 6 (60%)
Over 8.5 Corners 8 (80%) 5 (50%)
Over 9.5 Corners 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Over 10.5 Corners 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Over 11.5 Corners 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 12.5 Corners 0 (0%) 2 (20%)

Team Corners

Olympique Marseille have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Ajax have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of away matches.

Corners Won

Olympique Marseille (Home Form) Ajax (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 8 (80%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 7 (70%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Olympique Marseille (Home Form) Ajax (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 5 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 4 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Olympique Marseille and Ajax. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

30th Nov, 2023
Olympique Marseille
4 – 3 HT: 2-2
Ajax
Corners 7–2 Cards 2–5 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
21st Sep, 2023
Ajax
3 – 3 HT: 2-2
Olympique Marseille
Corners 5–3 Cards 4–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
20th Jul, 2016
Olympique Marseille
2 – 2 HT:
Ajax
Corners – Cards 0–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
18th Mar, 2009
Ajax
2 – 2 HT: 1-1
Olympique Marseille
Corners – Cards 0–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
12th Mar, 2009
Olympique Marseille
2 – 1 HT: 2-1
Ajax
Corners – Cards 0–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Olympique Marseille vs Ajax across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Olympique Marseille 1.55
Draw 4.2
Ajax 5.75

Half Time Result

Olympique Marseille 2
Draw 2.5
Ajax 5.87

Double Chance

Olympique Marseille or Draw 1.14
Olympique Marseille or Ajax 1.22
Draw or Ajax 2.66

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.66
No 2.04

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.14
Over 2.5 1.57
Over 3.5 2.37
Under 1.5 4.55
Under 2.5 2.37
Under 3.5 1.57

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.27
Over 1.5 2.38

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.33
Over 9.5 1.58
Over 10.5 2.3
Over 11.5 2.57

Olympique Marseille Goals

Over 0.5 1.08
Over 1.5 1.49
Over 2.5 2.49

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5 1.53
Over 1.5 3.4
Over 2.5 9.2

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Rio Ave U23 vs Portimonense U23 15:00 BST | Liga Revelacao U23, Portugal Rio Ave U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/14 home matches this season · Portimonense U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 12/15 away matches this season · Odds: 1.57
    79% combined
  • Schwechat vs Red Star Penzing 18:00 BST | Landesliga: Wien, Austria Schwechat have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/9 home matches this season · Red Star Penzing have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/10 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    74% combined
  • Dergview vs Strabane Athletic 19:45 BST | Premier Intermediate League, Northern Ireland Dergview have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/10 home matches this season · Strabane Athletic have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    74% combined
  • Sheffield United U21 vs Swansea City U21 14:30 BST | Professional Development League, England Sheffield United U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/13 home matches this season · Swansea City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    69% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.22
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Olympique Marseille vs Ajax Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Olympique Marseille vs Ajax?

Over 2.5 Goals — Olympique Marseille have seen 3+ goals in 80% of home games, Ajax in 70% of away games. The numbers suggest an open, high-scoring fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Olympique Marseille or Ajax?

Olympique Marseille have a slight form edge at home (50% wins) over Ajax on the road (30% wins) in Champions League. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Olympique Marseille and Ajax?

Possibly — Ajax regularly see both teams score away (70%), while Olympique Marseille are lower at home (60%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Olympique Marseille and Ajax?

Yes, likely — Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 80% of Olympique Marseille's home games and 70% of Ajax's away games in Champions League. Both sides consistently feature in high-scoring matches.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Olympique Marseille or Ajax?

Olympique Marseille have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 40% of home games compared to Ajax's 20% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Olympique Marseille and Ajax?

Possibly — Olympique Marseille regularly reach high corner counts at home (80%), while Ajax are lower on the road (50%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

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