Olympique Marseille vs Ajax — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Champions League, Europe
🕒 Tuesday 30th September, 20:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals

Olympique Marseille (50% home wins) hold a slight edge over Ajax on the road (40% away wins), but the difference is minimal. View our Home Win, Away Win and Draw stats for more context.

Olympique Marseille consistently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 Goals in 80%), while Ajax are lower on the road (60%). The hosts' attacking threat could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Both Olympique Marseille and Ajax frequently see both teams scoring (70% and 60% respectively). BTTS – Yes looks highly probable with both sides regularly finding the net this season.

Both teams regularly see 8+ corners in recent games (80% and 60%) — Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Over 2.5 Goals — Olympique Marseille have seen 3+ goals in 80% of home games, Ajax in 60% of away games. The numbers suggest an open, high-scoring fixture.

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League Table

The full Champions League table for the 2025/2026 season, with Olympique Marseille (26th) and Ajax (33th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Champions League 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Paris Saint Germain 15 10 3 2 43:21 +22 33
2 Arsenal 13 10 3 0 28:6 +22 33
3 FC Bayern München 13 11 0 2 42:19 +23 33
4 Real Madrid 14 9 0 5 33:20 +13 27
5 Qarabağ 16 8 1 7 31:35 -4 25
6 Atlético Madrid 15 7 3 5 35:27 +8 24
7 FC Barcelona 12 7 2 3 32:20 +12 23
8 Club Brugge 14 7 2 5 32:27 +5 23
9 Pafos FC 14 6 5 3 16:14 +2 23
10 FC København 14 6 4 4 23:22 +1 22
11 Newcastle United 12 6 3 3 29:18 +11 21
12 Liverpool 12 7 0 5 24:13 +11 21
13 Bodø / Glimt 14 6 3 5 28:24 +4 21
14 Sporting CP 12 6 2 4 22:15 +7 20
15 Tottenham Hotspur 10 6 2 2 22:14 +8 20
16 Benfica 14 6 1 7 16:15 +1 19
17 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 12 4 5 3 16:17 -1 17
18 Galatasaray 12 5 1 6 17:20 -3 16
19 Manchester City 10 5 1 4 16:14 +2 16
20 Juventus 10 4 4 2 19:17 +2 16
21 Chelsea 10 5 1 4 19:18 +1 16
22 Atalanta 12 5 1 6 16:23 -7 16
23 Inter 10 5 0 5 17:12 +5 15
24 Borussia Dortmund 10 4 2 4 22:21 +1 14
25 Ferencvárosi 6 4 1 1 13:9 +4 13
26 Kairat 16 3 4 9 14:26 -12 13
27 Malmö FF 6 4 1 1 11:8 +3 13
28 Olympiacos F.C. 10 3 3 4 10:16 -6 12
29 Monaco 10 2 5 3 12:19 -7 11
30 Crvena Zvezda 6 3 2 1 12:6 +6 11
31 Skendija 79 6 3 1 2 6:8 -2 10
32 Ludogorets 6 2 3 1 6:6 0 9
33 Olympique Marseille H 8 3 0 5 11:14 -3 9
34 Union Saint-Gilloise 8 3 0 5 8:17 -9 9
35 PSV 8 2 2 4 16:16 0 8
36 Athletic Club 8 2 2 4 9:14 -5 8
37 Napoli 8 2 2 4 9:15 -6 8
38 Rangers 6 2 1 3 8:12 -4 7
39 KuPS 4 2 1 1 3:3 0 7
40 Slovan Bratislava 4 2 1 1 7:3 +4 7
41 Zrinjski 4 2 1 1 6:7 -1 7
42 Lech Poznań 4 2 1 1 10:5 +5 7
43 Ajax A 8 2 0 6 8:21 -13 6
44 Dynamo Kyiv 4 2 0 2 6:3 +3 6
45 Viktoria Plzeň 4 2 0 2 5:6 -1 6
46 Drita 4 2 0 2 4:5 -1 6
47 Rīgas FS 4 2 0 2 3:5 -2 6
48 Lincoln Red Imps 4 2 0 2 5:8 -3 6
49 Salzburg 4 1 1 2 7:6 +1 4
50 Fenerbahçe 4 1 1 2 6:5 +1 4
51 Shelbourne 4 1 1 2 2:5 -3 4
52 Eintracht Frankfurt 8 1 1 6 10:21 -11 4
53 Noah 4 1 1 2 7:8 -1 4
54 Feyenoord 2 1 0 1 4:6 -2 3
55 Hamrun Spartans 4 1 0 3 2:8 -6 3
56 Servette 2 1 0 1 2:3 -1 3
57 Sturm Graz 2 1 0 1 2:6 -4 3
58 FCSB 4 1 0 3 5:6 -1 3
59 Žalgiris 2 1 0 1 2:2 0 3
60 Inter Club d'Escaldes 2 1 0 1 3:4 -1 3
61 Breidablik 4 1 0 3 6:9 -3 3
62 Egnatia Rrogozhinë 2 1 0 1 1:5 -4 3
63 Slavia Praha 8 0 3 5 5:19 -14 3
64 Celtic 2 0 2 0 0:0 0 2
65 Brann 2 0 1 1 2:5 -3 1
66 Basel 2 0 1 1 1:3 -2 1
67 Villarreal 8 0 1 7 5:18 -13 1
68 Maccabi Tel Aviv 2 0 1 1 1:2 -1 1
69 Dinamo Minsk 2 0 1 1 2:3 -1 1
70 Rijeka 2 0 1 1 1:3 -2 1
71 Panathinaikos 2 0 1 1 1:3 -2 1
72 Olimpija 2 0 1 1 1:3 -2 1
73 Budućnost 2 0 1 1 2:3 -1 1
74 The New Saints 2 0 1 1 1:2 -1 1
75 Linfield 2 0 1 1 1:2 -1 1
76 Milsami 2 0 1 1 0:1 -1 1
77 Nice 2 0 0 2 0:4 -4 0
78 FC Iberia 1999 2 0 0 2 2:6 -4 0
79 Virtus 2 0 0 2 1:4 -3 0
80 Differdange 03 2 0 0 2 2:4 -2 0
81 Levadia 2 0 0 2 0:2 -2 0
82 Víkingur 2 0 0 2 2:4 -2 0

Team Form

Olympique Marseille have won 50% of home games this season, Ajax 40% away. The form table below gives the full picture heading into this match.

Olympique Marseille (Home Form) Ajax (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Drawn 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Lost 2 (20%) 2 (20%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Olympique Marseille have seen both teams score in 70% of home games this season, Ajax in 60% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net — the stats support a goal at each end.

Olympique Marseille (Home Form) Ajax (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 7 (70%) 6 (60%)

Match Goals

Olympique Marseille frequently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 in 80%), while Ajax are lower on the road (60%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Over Goals

Olympique Marseille (Home Form) Ajax (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 9 (90%) 9 (90%)
Over 2.5 Goals 8 (80%) 6 (60%)
Over 3.5 Goals 5 (50%) 4 (40%)

Under Goals

Olympique Marseille (Home Form) Ajax (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Under 2.5 Goals 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Under 3.5 Goals 5 (50%) 6 (60%)

Team Goals

Olympique Marseille have scored 2+ goals in 40% of home games this season, Ajax in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Olympique Marseille (Home Form) Ajax (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 9 (90%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Olympique Marseille (Home Form) Ajax (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goal Totals

Olympique Marseille (Home Form) Ajax (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 19 (1.9 avg) 15 (1.5 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 14 (1.4 avg) 16 (1.6 avg)

Match Corners

Olympique Marseille regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while Ajax are lower on the road (60%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

Olympique Marseille (Home Form) Ajax (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 8 (80%) 6 (60%)
Over 8.5 Corners 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 10.5 Corners 4 (40%) 6 (60%)
Over 11.5 Corners 1 (10%) 5 (50%)
Over 12.5 Corners 0 (0%) 3 (30%)

Team Corners

Olympique Marseille have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 50% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Ajax have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 50% of away matches.

Corners Won

Olympique Marseille (Home Form) Ajax (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 8 (80%) 3 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 7 (70%) 1 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Olympique Marseille (Home Form) Ajax (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 7 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 6 (60%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 5 (50%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 3 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 2 (20%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Olympique Marseille and Ajax. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

30th Nov, 2023
Olympique Marseille
4 – 3 HT: 2-2
Ajax
Corners 7–2 Cards 2–5 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
21st Sep, 2023
Ajax
3 – 3 HT: 2-2
Olympique Marseille
Corners 5–3 Cards 4–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
20th Jul, 2016
Olympique Marseille
2 – 2 HT:
Ajax
Corners – Cards 0–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
18th Mar, 2009
Ajax
2 – 2 HT: 1-1
Olympique Marseille
Corners – Cards 0–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
12th Mar, 2009
Olympique Marseille
2 – 1 HT: 2-1
Ajax
Corners – Cards 0–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Olympique Marseille vs Ajax across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Olympique Marseille 1.55
Draw 4.2
Ajax 5.75

Half Time Result

Olympique Marseille 2
Draw 2.5
Ajax 5.87

Double Chance

Olympique Marseille or Draw 1.14
Olympique Marseille or Ajax 1.22
Draw or Ajax 2.66

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.66
No 2.04

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.14
Over 2.5 1.57
Over 3.5 2.37
Under 1.5 4.55
Under 2.5 2.37
Under 3.5 1.57

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.27
Over 1.5 2.38

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.33
Over 9.5 1.58
Over 10.5 2.3
Over 11.5 2.57

Olympique Marseille Goals

Over 0.5 1.08
Over 1.5 1.49
Over 2.5 2.49

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5 1.53
Over 1.5 3.4
Over 2.5 9.2

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Nagykanizsa W vs PELC-Nyárád W 11:00 BST | Nöi NB II, Hungary Nagykanizsa W have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 home matches this season · PELC-Nyárád W have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 away matches this season · Odds: 1.36
    93% combined
  • Hills United vs Mt Druitt Town 08:00 BST | New South Wales NPL 2, Australia Hills United have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 home matches this season · Mt Druitt Town have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.53
    90% combined
  • Spartaan'20 U21 vs Westlandia U21 11:45 BST | U21 Divisie 4, Netherlands Spartaan'20 U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/12 home matches this season · Westlandia U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 12/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    87% combined
  • TSG Hoffenheim vs VfB Stuttgart 14:30 BST | Bundesliga, Germany TSG Hoffenheim have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/15 home matches this season · VfB Stuttgart have seen over 2.5 goals in 15/15 away matches this season · Odds: 1.36
    86% combined
Acca odds (approx) 3.45
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Olympique Marseille vs Ajax Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Olympique Marseille vs Ajax?

Over 2.5 Goals — Olympique Marseille have seen 3+ goals in 80% of home games, Ajax in 60% of away games. The numbers suggest an open, high-scoring fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Olympique Marseille or Ajax?

Olympique Marseille have a slight form edge at home (50% wins) over Ajax on the road (40% wins) in Champions League. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Olympique Marseille and Ajax?

Possibly — Olympique Marseille frequently see both teams score at home (70%), while Ajax are lower on the road (60%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Olympique Marseille and Ajax?

Possibly — Olympique Marseille frequently feature in high-scoring home games (Over 2.5 in 80%), while Ajax are lower on the road (60%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Olympique Marseille or Ajax?

Olympique Marseille have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 40% of home games compared to Ajax's 20% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Olympique Marseille and Ajax?

Possibly — Olympique Marseille regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while Ajax are lower on the road (60%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

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"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

James T. (London, UK)

"I’ve been betting for a while, and this site’s focus on key stats like home win, away goals over 1.5, and over 0.5 first half goals has made my bets more informed. The data is clear and easy to use, which is a big plus. I highly recommend it for anyone who bets on football!"

Luke H. (Cardiff, Wales)

"I’m really impressed with the simplicity and focus of the stats on this site. Whether I’m checking for both teams to score or first half goals, I always get what I need quickly. It’s easy to navigate, and the range of stats really helps with my bets."

Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

"I love how this site makes betting easier by offering stats like home win, away win, and over 2.5 goals. The first half goals and team goals data have been particularly useful for me. If you’re into football betting, this is definitely worth checking out."

David H. (Glasgow, UK)

"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

"I love the focus on stats like home goals over 1.5 and away goals over 1.5—these are the exact numbers I need before placing a bet. I’ve been able to use the over/under goals data to great effect. Highly recommend this site if you're looking for reliable stats."

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