USL League One · United States 🕒 Friday 26th September, 23:30 BST

One Knoxville vs Charlotte Independence Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

One Knoxville Home · 4th 5W 2D 3L last 10 home
VS
Charlotte Independence Away · 6th 4W 2D 4L last 10 away
Win Probability
One Knoxville 48% Draw 27% Charlotte Independence 25%
⭐ Our Prediction Over 8.5 Corners See why ↓

One Knoxville vs Charlotte Independence Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners

Medium confidence

One Knoxville see 9+ corners in 100% of home games, Charlotte Independence in 100% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

What the model says
48% One Knoxville win 27% Draw 25% Charlotte Independence win 54% BTTS 51% Over 2.5 Goals 1-1 most likely score
Also worth a look
74% Over 1.5 Goals 72% Under 3.5 Goals

One Knoxville sit 4th in the table after 21 games, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per home match this season. Charlotte Independence are 6th after 22 games, averaging 2 scored and 2.1 conceded on the road. One Knoxville have won 5/10 home games (50%) this season; Charlotte Independence have won 4/10 on the road (40%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Charlotte Independence have featured in high-scoring away games this season. Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 90% of their away fixtures (9/10). One Knoxville are lower at home (40%, 4/10), averaging 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Charlotte Independence regularly see both teams score in away fixtures (90%, 9/10). One Knoxville are lower at home (50%, 5/10). They've conceded in 60% of home games, which keeps BTTS in play.

High corner counts are a feature of both teams' games this season. One Knoxville have seen 10+ corners in 100% of home fixtures (10/10), Charlotte Independence in 80% away (8/10). Over 9.5 Corners looks well supported.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

View Today’s Tips

League Table

Where One Knoxville (4th) and Charlotte Independence (6th) sit in the USL League One table for the 2025 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 One Knoxville H 32 18 9 5 46:27 +19 63
8 Charlotte Independence A 31 10 7 14 46:52 -6 37
View the full USL League One 2025 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 One Knoxville H 32 18 9 5 46:27 +19 63
2 Chattanooga Red Wolves 31 15 10 6 42:31 +11 55
3 Spokane Velocity 32 14 11 7 44:37 +7 53
4 Portland Hearts of Pine 32 12 13 7 51:40 +11 49
5 Naples 32 13 9 10 40:33 +7 48
6 Union Omaha 31 13 8 10 51:39 +12 47
7 Tormenta 31 13 7 11 56:48 +8 46
8 Charlotte Independence A 31 10 7 14 46:52 -6 37
9 Alta 30 8 12 10 42:47 -5 36
10 Forward Madison 30 8 11 11 31:43 -12 35
11 Greenville Triumph 30 8 8 14 38:43 -5 32
12 Texoma 30 7 9 14 35:55 -20 30
13 Richmond Kickers 29 8 5 16 43:51 -8 29
14 Westchester SC 29 4 9 16 40:59 -19 21

Team Form

Charlotte Independence have lost 40% of their away matches this season, while One Knoxville have been more solid at home (30% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

H One Knoxville: last 10 home A Charlotte Independence: last 10 away
Won
H
5/10 (50%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Drawn
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Lost
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Charlotte Independence regularly see both teams score in away matches (90%), while One Knoxville are lower at home (50%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

H One Knoxville: last 10 home A Charlotte Independence: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
5/10 (50%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Scored Themselves
H
8/10 (80%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Conceded
H
6/10 (60%)
A
10/10 (100%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 54% · BTTS No 46%

Match Goals

Charlotte Independence regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 90%), while One Knoxville are lower at home (40%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

H One Knoxville: last 10 home A Charlotte Independence: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
4/10 (40%)

Team Goals

One Knoxville have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Charlotte Independence in 30% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

One Knoxville 1.3 scored · 0.8 conceded per home game Charlotte Independence 2 scored · 2.1 conceded per away game
H One Knoxville: last 10 home A Charlotte Independence: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
8/10 (80%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
4/10 (40%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
6/10 (60%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
2/10 (20%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Season totals: One Knoxville 13 scored / 8 conceded at home · Charlotte Independence 20 scored / 21 conceded away

Match Corners

Both One Knoxville (100% Over 8.5 at home) and Charlotte Independence (100% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches. Expect plenty of set-piece opportunities from both sides.

H One Knoxville: last 10 home A Charlotte Independence: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
10/10 (100%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
10/10 (100%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
10/10 (100%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
8/10 (80%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
7/10 (70%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
5/10 (50%)

Team Corners

One Knoxville have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 50% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 50% of home matches.

Charlotte Independence have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 30% of games), while conceding 6+ corners in 70% of away matches. The home side can expect some set-piece chances.

H One Knoxville: last 10 home A Charlotte Independence: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
7/10 (70%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
6/10 (60%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
5/10 (50%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
6/10 (60%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
5/10 (50%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
5/10 (50%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between One Knoxville and Charlotte Independence. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up. Use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

30th Jul, 2025
One Knoxville
2 – 2 HT: 1-1
Charlotte Independence
Corners 5–5 Cards 2–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
16th May, 2025
Charlotte Independence
3 – 1 HT: 1-1
One Knoxville
Corners 3–12 Cards 1–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
7th Sep, 2024
One Knoxville
1 – 1 HT: 0-1
Charlotte Independence
Corners 5–1 Cards 2–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
16th Mar, 2024
Charlotte Independence
1 – 2 HT: 0-0
One Knoxville
Corners 5–7 Cards 2–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
Show 3 more meetings
30th Sep, 2023
Charlotte Independence
1 – 1 HT: 0-1
One Knoxville
Corners 8–6 Cards 3–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
26th Aug, 2023
One Knoxville
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Charlotte Independence
Corners 12–5 Cards 2–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
17th Jun, 2023
One Knoxville
2 – 0 HT: 1-0
Charlotte Independence
Corners 2–6 Cards 3–5 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for One Knoxville vs Charlotte Independence across a range of markets: full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change. Always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

One Knoxville 2.08 Model: 48%
Draw 3.65 Model: 27%
Charlotte Independence 3.95 Model: 25%

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.8 Model: 54%
No 2.1 Model: 46%

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.33 Model: 74%
Over 2.5 1.99 Model: 51%
Over 3.5 3.56 Model: 28%
Under 1.5 3.75 Model: 26%
Under 2.5 1.94 Model: 49%
Under 3.5 1.36 Model: 72%

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.38
Over 1.5 2.79
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

One Knoxville 2.51 Model: 37%
Draw 2.12 Model: 40%
Charlotte Independence 4.26 Model: 22%

Double Chance

One Knoxville or Draw 1.28 Model: 75%
One Knoxville or Charlotte Independence 1.31 Model: 73%
Draw or Charlotte Independence 1.83 Model: 52%

One Knoxville Goals

Over 0.5 1.18 Model: 78%
Over 1.5 2.04 Model: 46%
Over 2.5 4.3

Charlotte Independence Goals

Over 0.5 1.46 Model: 62%
Over 1.5 2.92 Model: 28%
Over 2.5 7.1

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • GIF Sundsvall vs Öster 18:00 BST | Superettan, Sweden GIF Sundsvall have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 home matches this season · Öster have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.72
    90% combined
  • Ranheim II vs Kvik Trondheim 18:00 BST | 3. Division - Group 2, Norway Ranheim II have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Kvik Trondheim have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.2
    90% combined
  • Staal Jørpeland vs Odd II 17:00 BST | 3. Division - Group 4, Norway Staal Jørpeland have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 home matches this season · Odd II have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    80% combined
  • Vänersborgs IF vs Herrestads 18:30 BST | Division 2: Norra Gotaland, Sweden Vänersborgs IF have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 home matches this season · Herrestads have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    80% combined
Acca odds (approx) 3.72
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One Knoxville vs Charlotte Independence Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for One Knoxville vs Charlotte Independence?

Over 8.5 Corners: One Knoxville see 9+ corners in 100% of home games, Charlotte Independence in 100% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Which team is likely to win, One Knoxville or Charlotte Independence?

One Knoxville have a slight form edge at home (50% wins) over Charlotte Independence on the road (40% wins) in USL League One. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between One Knoxville and Charlotte Independence?

Possibly. Charlotte Independence regularly see both teams score away (90%), while One Knoxville are lower at home (50%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between One Knoxville and Charlotte Independence?

Possibly. Charlotte Independence regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 90%), while One Knoxville are lower at home (40%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: One Knoxville or Charlotte Independence?

Charlotte Independence have the stronger away scoring record. 2+ goals in 30% of away games compared to One Knoxville's 10% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between One Knoxville and Charlotte Independence?

Yes. Both One Knoxville (100% Over 8.5 at home) and Charlotte Independence (100% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches in USL League One. Plenty of set-piece opportunities expected.

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