Pachuca vs Toluca — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Liga MX, Mexico
🕒 Saturday 9th May, 01:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners

Pachuca have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 7/10 home matches (70%). Toluca have struggled on the road, winning only 3/10 away games (30%). The hosts look strong favourites — see our Home Win stats.

Pachuca frequently feature in matches with 2+ goals at home (90%), while Toluca are more variable on the road (70%). Over 1.5 Goals may still land, mainly driven by the home side.

Pachuca often see both teams score at home (70%), while Toluca are less consistent on the road (50%). There's still a reasonable case for BTTS – Yes, mainly driven by the home side's open style.

Toluca often produce high corner totals away (70%), while Pachuca are lower at home (60%). The visitors may push the game to Over 9.5 Corners.

Our Prediction: Over 8.5 Corners — Pachuca see 9+ corners in 70% of home games, Toluca in 70% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

View Today’s Tips

League Table

The full Liga MX table for the 2025/2026 season, with Pachuca (th) and Toluca (th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Liga MX 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Toluca A 40 22 11 7 78:40 +38 77
2 Cruz Azul 38 20 14 4 68:42 +26 74
3 Tigres UANL 40 19 12 9 72:41 +31 69
4 Guadalajara 36 20 6 10 64:42 +22 66
5 América 36 18 8 10 55:38 +17 62
6 Pumas UNAM 35 15 12 8 59:45 +14 57
7 Pachuca H 36 16 8 12 50:43 +7 56
8 Monterrey 38 16 7 15 61:58 +3 55
9 Tijuana 37 13 14 10 54:46 +8 53
10 Juárez 38 12 10 16 57:66 -9 46
11 Atlas 34 11 10 13 40:53 -13 43
12 Querétaro 34 10 10 14 36:50 -14 40
13 Necaxa 34 9 8 17 43:57 -14 35
14 León 34 10 5 19 36:63 -27 35
15 Atlético San Luis 34 10 4 20 49:56 -7 34
16 Santos Laguna 34 9 5 20 42:66 -24 32
17 Mazatlán 34 6 11 17 42:66 -24 29
18 Puebla 34 6 7 21 34:68 -34 25

Team Form

Pachuca have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 70% of their home matches compared to Toluca's 30% away. The hosts hold a significant form advantage heading into this fixture.

Pachuca (Home Form) Toluca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 7 (70%) 3 (30%)
Drawn 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Lost 1 (10%) 4 (40%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Pachuca frequently see both teams score at home (70%), while Toluca are less consistent on the road (50%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Pachuca (Home Form) Toluca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 7 (70%) 5 (50%)

Match Goals

Pachuca have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games, Toluca in 60% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Pachuca (Home Form) Toluca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals 9 (90%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 3.5 Goals 3 (30%) 3 (30%)

Under Goals

Pachuca (Home Form) Toluca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Under 1.5 Goals 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Under 3.5 Goals 7 (70%) 7 (70%)

Team Goals

Pachuca have scored 2+ goals in 30% of home games this season, Toluca in 40% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Pachuca (Home Form) Toluca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 7 (70%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Pachuca (Home Form) Toluca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 8 (80%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goal Totals

Pachuca (Home Form) Toluca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 19 (1.9 avg) 16 (1.6 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 10 (1 avg) 13 (1.3 avg)

Match Corners

Both Pachuca (70% Over 8.5 at home) and Toluca (70% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches. Expect plenty of set-piece opportunities from both sides.

Pachuca (Home Form) Toluca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 8.5 Corners 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Over 10.5 Corners 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

Pachuca have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Toluca have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 50% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of away matches.

Corners Won

Pachuca (Home Form) Toluca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 7 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 2 (20%)

Corners Conceded

Pachuca (Home Form) Toluca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Albirex Niigata S vs Tampines Rovers 12:30 BST | Premier League, Singapore Albirex Niigata S have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 home matches this season · Tampines Rovers have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    87% combined
  • Escola Varsovia U19 vs Lech Poznan U19 11:30 BST | Central Youth League, Poland Escola Varsovia U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Lech Poznan U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.33
    83% combined
  • Al Mesaimeer vs Al Mu'aidar 17:00 BST | Q League, Qatar Al Mesaimeer have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Al Mu'aidar have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.61
    83% combined
  • Wisla U19 vs Legia Warszawa U19 10:00 BST | Central Youth League, Poland Wisla U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/12 home matches this season · Legia Warszawa U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.33
    78% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.27
Explore all our tips & stats

Pachuca vs Toluca Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Pachuca vs Toluca?

Over 8.5 Corners — Pachuca see 9+ corners in 70% of home games, Toluca in 70% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Which team is likely to win, Pachuca or Toluca?

Pachuca hold a clear form advantage — they've won 70% of home games in Liga MX this season, while Toluca have won only 30% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Pachuca and Toluca?

Possibly — Pachuca frequently see both teams score at home (70%), while Toluca are lower on the road (50%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Pachuca and Toluca?

Uncertain — Pachuca have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games, Toluca in 60% of away games in Liga MX. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Pachuca or Toluca?

Toluca have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 40% of away games compared to Pachuca's 30% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Pachuca and Toluca?

Yes — both Pachuca (70% Over 8.5 at home) and Toluca (70% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches in Liga MX. Plenty of set-piece opportunities expected.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

Discover match stats based on likely outcomes for the next 3–4 days.

Free+

All Stats

View all of our stats for upcoming matches.

View stats

Free

Over 2.5 Goals

View all our stats for matches that have a likely outcome of over 2.5 goals.

View stats

Free

Both Teams to Score

View all our stats for matches that have a likely outcome of both teams to score.

View stats

Free

Home Win

View all our stats for matches that have a likely outcome of a home win.

View stats

Over 1.5 Goals

View all our stats for matches that have a likely outcome of over 1.5 goals.

View stats

Free

10 Teams to Win Today

Discover the 10 teams most likely to win today based on previous form.

View stats
View more stats

Other Upcoming Fixtures

América vs Pumas UNAM

📍 Liga MX, Mexico

🕒 Saturday 2nd May, 01:00 BST

Match Stats

Tigres UANL vs Guadalajara

📍 Liga MX, Mexico

🕒 Saturday 2nd May, 01:00 BST

Match Stats

Atlas vs Cruz Azul

📍 Liga MX, Mexico

🕒 Saturday 2nd May, 01:00 BST

Match Stats

Toluca vs Pachuca

📍 Liga MX, Mexico

🕒 Saturday 2nd May, 01:00 BST

Match Stats

Cruz Azul vs Atlas

📍 Liga MX, Mexico

🕒 Saturday 9th May, 01:00 BST

Match Stats

Guadalajara vs Tigres UANL

📍 Liga MX, Mexico

🕒 Saturday 9th May, 01:00 BST

Match Stats

Pumas UNAM vs América

📍 Liga MX, Mexico

🕒 Saturday 9th May, 01:00 BST

Match Stats

Pachuca vs Toluca

📍 Liga MX, Mexico

🕒 Saturday 9th May, 01:00 BST

Match Stats

"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

"I’ve been betting for a while, and this site’s focus on key stats like home win, away goals over 1.5, and over 0.5 first half goals has made my bets more informed. The data is clear and easy to use, which is a big plus. I highly recommend it for anyone who bets on football!"

Luke H. (Cardiff, Wales)

"I love how this site makes betting easier by offering stats like home win, away win, and over 2.5 goals. The first half goals and team goals data have been particularly useful for me. If you’re into football betting, this is definitely worth checking out."

David H. (Glasgow, UK)

"I love the focus on stats like home goals over 1.5 and away goals over 1.5—these are the exact numbers I need before placing a bet. I’ve been able to use the over/under goals data to great effect. Highly recommend this site if you're looking for reliable stats."

Steve C. (Birmingham, UK)

"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

James T. (London, UK)

"I’m really impressed with the simplicity and focus of the stats on this site. Whether I’m checking for both teams to score or first half goals, I always get what I need quickly. It’s easy to navigate, and the range of stats really helps with my bets."

Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

Latest Blogs

View all posts →