Palmeiras vs Fortaleza Football Stats

📍 Serie A, Brazil
🕒 Sunday 21st September, 01:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Palmeiras sit 3rd in the table after 20 games, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per home match this season. Fortaleza are 19th after 21 games, averaging 0.6 scored and 1 conceded on the road. Palmeiras have the stronger home record this season (7/10, 70%) against a Fortaleza side who've won 3/10 away (30%).

Both sides have been involved in low-scoring matches this season. Palmeiras have seen 3+ goals in only 40% of home fixtures; Fortaleza in 30% away. Palmeiras average 1.4 scored and 0.6 conceded at home, Fortaleza 0.6 and 1 on the road — the numbers point toward a tight game.

BTTS figures are mid-range for both sides — Palmeiras at 50% in home games (5/10), Fortaleza at 30% away (3/10). Neither a clear yes nor no based on the stats alone.

Palmeiras regularly generate high corner counts at home (10+ corners in 70% of fixtures, 7/10). Fortaleza are lower on the road (50%). The home side's attacking style tends to produce set-piece volume regardless of the opponent.

Our Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals — Palmeiras have stayed under 3 goals in 60% of home games, Fortaleza in 70% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

League Table

The full Serie A table for the 2025 season, with Palmeiras (3rd) and Fortaleza (19th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Serie A 2025

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Flamengo 28 17 7 4 59:23 +36 58
2 Palmeiras H 28 16 6 6 55:27 +28 54
3 Mirassol 28 15 8 5 47:27 +20 53
4 Botafogo 29 14 9 6 48:33 +15 51
5 Cruzeiro 28 13 11 4 40:24 +16 50
6 Fluminense 28 14 5 9 37:27 +10 47
7 Bahia 28 13 6 9 41:36 +5 45
8 São Paulo 28 12 3 13 35:38 -3 39
9 Santos 28 10 9 9 37:39 -2 39
10 Grêmio 28 10 7 11 38:36 +2 37
11 Vitória 28 9 9 10 25:38 -13 36
12 Vasco da Gama 28 10 5 13 44:47 -3 35
13 Atlético Mineiro 28 9 7 12 33:34 -1 34
14 Fortaleza A 28 9 6 13 33:48 -15 33
15 Corinthians 28 8 9 11 30:33 -3 33
16 Internacional 28 9 6 13 32:43 -11 33
17 Ceará 29 7 7 15 23:33 -10 28
18 Bragantino 28 8 4 16 33:49 -16 28
19 Juventude 28 7 6 15 27:47 -20 27
20 Sport Recife 28 2 8 18 23:58 -35 14

Team Form

Palmeiras have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 70% of their home matches compared to Fortaleza's 30% away. The hosts hold a significant form advantage heading into this fixture.

Palmeiras (Home Form) Fortaleza (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 7 (70%) 3 (30%)
Drawn 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Lost 1 (10%) 3 (30%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Palmeiras have seen both teams score in 50% of home games, Fortaleza in 30% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Palmeiras (Home Form) Fortaleza (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 5 (50%) 3 (30%)

Match Goals

Palmeiras have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Fortaleza in 30% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Palmeiras (Home Form) Fortaleza (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Under Goals

Palmeiras (Home Form) Fortaleza (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 3 (30%)
Under 1.5 Goals 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Under 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Under 3.5 Goals 10 (100%) 9 (90%)

Team Goals

Palmeiras have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Fortaleza in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Palmeiras (Home Form) Fortaleza (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 9 (90%) 5 (50%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Palmeiras (Home Form) Fortaleza (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goal Totals

Palmeiras (Home Form) Fortaleza (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 14 (1.4 avg) 6 (0.6 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 6 (0.6 avg) 10 (1 avg)

Match Corners

Both Palmeiras (80% Over 8.5 at home) and Fortaleza (70% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches. Expect plenty of set-piece opportunities from both sides.

Palmeiras (Home Form) Fortaleza (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 8 (80%) 8 (80%)
Over 8.5 Corners 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners 7 (70%) 5 (50%)
Over 10.5 Corners 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Over 11.5 Corners 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners 2 (20%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

Palmeiras win 6+ corners in 60% of home games, generating decent attacking corner opportunities, and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Fortaleza have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

Corners Won

Palmeiras (Home Form) Fortaleza (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 9 (90%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 9 (90%) 5 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Palmeiras (Home Form) Fortaleza (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Palmeiras and Fortaleza. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

20th Apr, 2025
Fortaleza
1 – 2 HT: 0-1
Palmeiras
26th Oct, 2024
Palmeiras
2 – 2 HT: 1-1
Fortaleza
27th Jun, 2024
Fortaleza
3 – 0 HT: 1-0
Palmeiras
26th Nov, 2023
Fortaleza
2 – 2 HT: 1-0
Palmeiras
22nd Jul, 2023
Palmeiras
3 – 1 HT: 1-1
Fortaleza
31st May, 2023
Fortaleza
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Palmeiras
17th May, 2023
Palmeiras
3 – 0 HT: 2-0
Fortaleza
3rd Nov, 2022
Palmeiras
4 – 0 HT: 2-0
Fortaleza
10th Jul, 2022
Fortaleza
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Palmeiras
20th Nov, 2021
Fortaleza
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Palmeiras

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Palmeiras vs Fortaleza across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Palmeiras 1.44
Draw 4.5
Fortaleza 8

Half Time Result

Palmeiras 2
Draw 2.48
Fortaleza 7.3

Double Chance

Palmeiras or Draw 1.1
Palmeiras or Fortaleza 1.18
Draw or Fortaleza 3.03

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2.15
No 1.75

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.29
Over 2.5 1.9
Over 3.5 3.27
Under 1.5 3.79
Under 2.5 1.95
Under 3.5 1.36

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.37
Over 1.5 2.85

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.17
Over 9.5 1.41
Over 10.5 1.86
Over 11.5 1.94

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5 1.08
Over 1.5 1.55
Over 2.5 2.75

Fortaleza Goals

Over 0.5 1.8
Over 1.5 5.5
Over 2.5 19

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Tartu Welco vs Nõmme Kalju U21 17:00 BST | Esiliiga A, Estonia Tartu Welco have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Nõmme Kalju U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    90% combined
  • PR Surf vs Ponce 01:30 BST | Liga Puerto Rico, Puerto Rico PR Surf have seen over 2.5 goals in 13/18 home matches this season · Ponce have seen over 2.5 goals in 16/18 away matches this season · Odds: 1.36
    80% combined
  • SønderjyskE U19 vs Nordsjaelland U19 15:00 BST | U19 League, Denmark SønderjyskE U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Nordsjaelland U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    79% combined
  • Kyzyl-Zhar vs Zhetysu 12:00 BST | Premier League, Kazakhstan Kyzyl-Zhar have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Zhetysu have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 away matches this season · Odds: 2.37
    75% combined

Palmeiras vs Fortaleza Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Palmeiras vs Fortaleza?

Under 2.5 Goals — Palmeiras have stayed under 3 goals in 60% of home games, Fortaleza in 70% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, Palmeiras or Fortaleza?

Palmeiras hold a clear form advantage — they've won 70% of home games in Serie A this season, while Fortaleza have won only 30% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Palmeiras and Fortaleza?

Mixed — Palmeiras have seen BTTS in 50% of home games, Fortaleza in 30% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Serie A fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Palmeiras and Fortaleza?

Uncertain — Palmeiras have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Fortaleza in 30% of away games in Serie A. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Palmeiras or Fortaleza?

Palmeiras have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 10% of home games compared to Fortaleza's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Palmeiras and Fortaleza?

Yes — both Palmeiras (80% Over 8.5 at home) and Fortaleza (70% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches in Serie A. Plenty of set-piece opportunities expected.

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