Tercera - Group 15 · Spain 🕒 Saturday 7th February, 14:30 GMT

Pamplona vs Ardoi Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Pamplona Home · 2nd 8W 1D 1L last 10 home
VS
Ardoi Away · 14th 2W 2D 6L last 10 away
Win Probability
Pamplona 40% Draw 28% Ardoi 31%
⭐ Our Prediction Pamplona to Win See why ↓

Pamplona vs Ardoi Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Pamplona to Win

High confidence

Pamplona have won 8/10 home games this season (80%), while Ardoi have lost 6/10 away (60%). A strong statistical case for the home side.

What the model says
40% Pamplona win 28% Draw 31% Ardoi win 50% BTTS 44% Over 2.5 Goals 1-1 most likely score
Also worth a look

Pamplona sit 2nd in the table after 18 games, averaging 2.3 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per home match this season. Ardoi are 14th after 18 games, averaging 1.6 scored and 2.1 conceded on the road. The home record backs Pamplona strongly — they've won 8/10 home games (80%), while Ardoi have lost 6/10 on the road (60%).

Goals look likely from both ends. Pamplona have seen 3+ goals in 80% of home fixtures this season (8/10), and Ardoi in 80% of away games (8/10). Pamplona average 2.3 scored and 1.1 conceded at home; Ardoi 1.6 and 2.1 on the road.

Both teams have regularly seen both sides score this season — Pamplona in 80% of home games (8/10), Ardoi in 70% away (7/10). Pamplona have scored in 100% of home fixtures; Ardoi in 80% of away games.

Corner data is available but trends are mixed — Pamplona see 9+ corners in 30% of home games, Ardoi in 0% away. No strong edge in this market for this fixture.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

League Table

Where Pamplona (2nd) and Ardoi (14th) sit in the Tercera - Group 15 table for the 2025/2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
2 Pamplona H 34 22 8 4 65:28 +37 74
15 Ardoi A 34 8 12 14 46:56 -10 36
View the full Tercera - Group 15 2025/2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Peña Sport 34 24 5 5 65:39 +26 77
2 Pamplona H 34 22 8 4 65:28 +37 74
3 Izarra 34 16 13 5 64:31 +33 61
4 Subiza 34 15 9 10 46:31 +15 54
5 San Juan 34 12 16 6 43:28 +15 52
6 Huarte 34 15 2 17 49:47 +2 47
7 Beti Kozkor 34 12 10 12 51:44 +7 46
8 Cirbonero 34 11 11 12 37:40 -3 44
9 Cortes 34 13 5 16 37:51 -14 44
10 Avance Ezcabarte 34 11 10 13 45:48 -3 43
11 Txantrea 34 12 7 15 52:67 -15 43
12 Valle Egüés 34 11 9 14 49:58 -9 42
13 Bidezarra 34 10 9 15 34:40 -6 39
14 Aoiz 34 9 9 16 43:51 -8 36
15 Ardoi A 34 8 12 14 46:56 -10 36
16 Beti Onak 34 9 9 16 42:55 -13 36
17 Atlético Artajonés 34 7 10 17 36:61 -25 31
18 Oberena 34 7 10 17 32:61 -29 31

Team Form

Pamplona have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 80% of their home matches compared to Ardoi's 20% away. The hosts hold a significant form advantage heading into this fixture.

H Pamplona — last 10 home A Ardoi — last 10 away
Won
H
8/10 (80%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Drawn
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Lost
H
1/10 (10%)
A
6/10 (60%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Pamplona have seen both teams score in 80% of home games this season, Ardoi in 70% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net — the stats support a goal at each end.

H Pamplona — last 10 home A Ardoi — last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
8/10 (80%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Scored Themselves
H
10/10 (100%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Conceded
H
8/10 (80%)
A
8/10 (80%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 50% · BTTS No 50%

Match Goals

Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 80% of Pamplona's home games and 80% of Ardoi's away games this season. Both sides have consistently featured in high-scoring matches.

H Pamplona — last 10 home A Ardoi — last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
4/10 (40%)

Team Goals

Pamplona have scored 2+ goals in 40% of home games this season, Ardoi in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Pamplona 2.3 scored · 1.1 conceded per home game Ardoi 1.6 scored · 2.1 conceded per away game
H Pamplona — last 10 home A Ardoi — last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
10/10 (100%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
8/10 (80%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
8/10 (80%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
2/10 (20%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
1/10 (10%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Season totals: Pamplona 23 scored / 11 conceded at home · Ardoi 16 scored / 21 conceded away

Match Corners

Pamplona have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 40% of home games, Ardoi in 10% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is below.

H Pamplona — last 10 home A Ardoi — last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Team Corners

Pamplona have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Ardoi have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of away matches.

H Pamplona — last 10 home A Ardoi — last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Pamplona and Ardoi. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

27 Sep 2025
Ardoi
0 – 2 HT: 1-1
Pamplona
29 Mar 2025
Ardoi
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Pamplona
16 Nov 2024
Pamplona
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Ardoi
20 Apr 2024
Ardoi
3 – 1 HT: 2-1
Pamplona
Show 6 more meetings
01 Dec 2023
Pamplona
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Ardoi
08 Jan 2023
Ardoi
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Pamplona
11 Sep 2022
Pamplona
5 – 0 HT: 0-0
Ardoi
12 Jun 2021
Ardoi
2 – 1 HT: 0-0
Pamplona
08 Feb 2020
Pamplona
1 – 2 HT: 0-0
Ardoi
15 Sep 2019
Ardoi
0 – 2 HT: 0-0
Pamplona

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Pamplona vs Ardoi across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

Pamplona 1.72 Model: 40%
Draw 3.51 Model: 28%
Value Ardoi 4.5 Model: 31%

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.32 Model: 71%
Over 2.5 1.95 Model: 44%
Over 3.5 3.3 Model: 23%
Under 1.5 3.3 Model: 29%
Under 2.5 1.84 Model: 56%
Under 3.5 1.32 Model: 77%

1st Half Goals

Over 1.5 2.85
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

Pamplona 2.25 Model: 29%
Draw 2.2 Model: 46%
Value Ardoi 4.75 Model: 25%

Double Chance

Pamplona or Draw 1.16 Model: 69%
Pamplona or Ardoi 1.22 Model: 72%
Value Draw or Ardoi 2 Model: 60%

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Linero vs Karlskrona 13:00 BST | Division 2: Sodra Gotaland, Sweden Linero have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 home matches this season · Karlskrona have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.53
    90% combined
  • Phoenix vs Tammeka II 10:30 BST | Esiliiga B, Estonia Phoenix have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/8 home matches this season · Tammeka II have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.2
    90% combined
  • Toronto II vs Connecticut United 20:00 BST | MLS Next Pro, United States Toronto II have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Connecticut United have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 away matches this season · Odds: 1.6
    85% combined
  • Enkoping vs Vasalund 15:00 BST | Ettan: North, Sweden Enkoping have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 home matches this season · Vasalund have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    83% combined

Pamplona vs Ardoi Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Pamplona vs Ardoi?

Pamplona to Win — Pamplona have won 8/10 home games this season (80%), while Ardoi have lost 6/10 away (60%). A strong statistical case for the home side.

Which team is likely to win, Pamplona or Ardoi?

Pamplona hold a clear form advantage — they've won 80% of home games in Tercera - Group 15 this season, while Ardoi have won only 20% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Pamplona and Ardoi?

Yes — both sides have been regularly involved in matches where both teams score. Pamplona have seen BTTS in 80% of home games, Ardoi in 70% of away games in Tercera - Group 15. Goals at both ends look likely.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Pamplona and Ardoi?

Yes, likely — Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 80% of Pamplona's home games and 80% of Ardoi's away games in Tercera - Group 15. Both sides consistently feature in high-scoring matches.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Pamplona or Ardoi?

Pamplona have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 40% of home games compared to Ardoi's 20% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Pamplona and Ardoi?

Pamplona have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 40% of home games, Ardoi in 10% of away games in Tercera - Group 15. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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