Paris Saint Germain vs Lorient — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Ligue 1, France
🕒 Saturday 2nd May, 16:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

Paris Saint Germain hold a clear edge at home this season (6/10, 60%), while Lorient are less consistent on the road (4/10, 40%). The match may be competitive, but home advantage is meaningful here — see our Home Win stats.

Paris Saint Germain consistently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 Goals in 70%), while Lorient are lower on the road (40%). The hosts' attacking threat could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

BTTS trends are mixed for this fixture (Paris Saint Germain 50% at home, Lorient 40% away). Browse the full Both Teams to Score stats for more context.

Lorient regularly hit 8+ corners on the road (60%). Expect them to create set-piece pressure, supporting Over 8.5 Corners.

Our Prediction: Over 1.5 Goals — Paris Saint Germain see 2+ goals in 90% of home games, Lorient in 80% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

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League Table

The full Ligue 1 table for the 2025/2026 season, with Paris Saint Germain (th) and Lorient (th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Ligue 1 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Paris Saint Germain H 27 20 3 4 61:23 +38 63
2 Lens 29 20 2 7 57:29 +28 62
3 LOSC Lille 29 16 5 8 49:34 +15 53
4 Olympique Marseille 30 16 4 10 58:40 +18 52
5 Olympique Lyonnais 29 15 6 8 43:29 +14 51
6 Rennes 29 14 8 7 49:41 +8 50
7 Monaco 29 15 4 10 50:43 +7 49
8 Strasbourg 28 12 7 9 46:34 +12 43
9 Lorient A 30 10 11 9 40:44 -4 41
10 Toulouse 30 10 7 13 41:42 -1 37
11 Brest 28 10 6 12 37:43 -6 36
12 Paris 29 8 11 10 37:45 -8 35
13 Angers SCO 30 9 7 14 26:40 -14 34
14 Le Havre 30 6 12 12 25:38 -13 30
15 Nice 29 7 7 15 34:56 -22 28
16 Auxerre 29 5 9 15 23:37 -14 24
17 Nantes 28 4 7 17 24:45 -21 19
18 Metz 29 3 6 20 26:63 -37 15

Team Form

Paris Saint Germain hold a clear edge in home form this season (60% wins), while Lorient have been less consistent on the road (40%). Home advantage could be decisive here.

Paris Saint Germain (Home Form) Lorient (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Drawn 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Lost 2 (20%) 3 (30%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Paris Saint Germain have seen both teams score in 50% of home games, Lorient in 40% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Paris Saint Germain (Home Form) Lorient (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 5 (50%) 4 (40%)

Match Goals

Paris Saint Germain frequently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Lorient are lower on the road (40%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Over Goals

Paris Saint Germain (Home Form) Lorient (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 9 (90%) 8 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals 7 (70%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals 5 (50%) 4 (40%)

Under Goals

Paris Saint Germain (Home Form) Lorient (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals 3 (30%) 6 (60%)
Under 3.5 Goals 5 (50%) 6 (60%)

Team Goals

Paris Saint Germain have scored 2+ goals in 50% of home games this season, Lorient in 40% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Paris Saint Germain (Home Form) Lorient (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 9 (90%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 7 (70%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 1 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Paris Saint Germain (Home Form) Lorient (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Paris Saint Germain (Home Form) Lorient (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 25 (2.5 avg) 19 (1.9 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 10 (1 avg) 11 (1.1 avg)

Match Corners

Paris Saint Germain have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 20% of home games, Lorient in 60% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Paris Saint Germain (Home Form) Lorient (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 3 (30%) 6 (60%)
Over 8.5 Corners 2 (20%) 6 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Over 10.5 Corners 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners 0 (0%) 2 (20%)

Team Corners

Paris Saint Germain have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Lorient have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of away matches.

Corners Won

Paris Saint Germain (Home Form) Lorient (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Paris Saint Germain (Home Form) Lorient (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 2 (20%)

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • FC Bayern München vs VfB Stuttgart 16:30 BST | Bundesliga, Germany FC Bayern München have seen over 2.5 goals in 14/14 home matches this season · VfB Stuttgart have seen over 2.5 goals in 14/14 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    100% combined
  • Borussia Dortmund U19 vs Schalke 04 U19 10:00 BST | U19 Bundesliga, Germany Borussia Dortmund U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/10 home matches this season · Schalke 04 U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    90% combined
  • Sporting Cristal vs UTC Cajamarca 17:00 BST | Primera Division, Peru Sporting Cristal have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · UTC Cajamarca have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.7
    90% combined
  • Tainan City vs Tatung 08:30 BST | Taiwan Football Premier League, Taiwan Tainan City have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 home matches this season · Tatung have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 away matches this season · Odds: 1.57
    86% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.27
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Paris Saint Germain vs Lorient Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Paris Saint Germain vs Lorient?

Over 1.5 Goals — Paris Saint Germain see 2+ goals in 90% of home games, Lorient in 80% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Paris Saint Germain or Lorient?

Paris Saint Germain hold a clear form advantage — they've won 60% of home games in Ligue 1 this season, while Lorient have won only 40% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Paris Saint Germain and Lorient?

Mixed — Paris Saint Germain have seen BTTS in 50% of home games, Lorient in 40% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Ligue 1 fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Paris Saint Germain and Lorient?

Possibly — Paris Saint Germain frequently feature in high-scoring home games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Lorient are lower on the road (40%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Paris Saint Germain or Lorient?

Paris Saint Germain have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 50% of home games compared to Lorient's 40% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Paris Saint Germain and Lorient?

Paris Saint Germain have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 20% of home games, Lorient in 60% of away games in Ligue 1. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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Steve C. (Birmingham, UK)

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David H. (Glasgow, UK)

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James T. (London, UK)

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