Ligue 1 · France 🕒 Saturday 31st January, 16:00 GMT

Paris vs Olympique Marseille Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Paris Home · 14th 5W 2D 3L last 10 home
VS
Olympique Marseille Away · 3rd 3W 1D 6L last 10 away
Win Probability
Paris 32% Draw 24% Olympique Marseille 45%
⭐ Our Prediction Over 2.5 Goals See why ↓

Paris vs Olympique Marseille Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals

High confidence

Paris have seen 3+ goals in 70% of home games, Olympique Marseille in 60% of away games. The numbers suggest an open, high-scoring fixture.

What the model says
32% Paris win 24% Draw 45% Olympique Marseille win 61% BTTS 62% Over 2.5 Goals 1-1 most likely score
Also worth a look
82% Over 1.5 Goals

Paris sit 14th in the table after 17 games, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per home match this season. Olympique Marseille are 3rd after 17 games, averaging 1 scored and 2.1 conceded on the road. Paris have won 5/10 home games (50%) this season; Olympique Marseille have won 3/10 on the road (30%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Paris have been involved in high-scoring home games this season — Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 70% of their home fixtures (7/10). Olympique Marseille are lower on the road (60%, 6/10), averaging 1 scored and 2.1 conceded away from home.

Both sides have solid defensive records in context. Paris have seen BTTS in only 40% of home games (4/10); Olympique Marseille in 30% away (3/10). At least one clean sheet looks likely.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season — Paris see 8+ in 80% of home games, Olympique Marseille in 60% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

Where Paris (14th) and Olympique Marseille (3rd) sit in the Ligue 1 table for the 2025/2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
5 Olympique Marseille A 34 18 5 11 63:45 +18 59
11 Paris H 34 11 11 12 47:50 -3 44
View the full Ligue 1 2025/2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Paris Saint Germain 34 24 4 6 74:29 +45 76
2 Lens 34 22 4 8 66:35 +31 70
3 LOSC Lille 34 18 7 9 52:37 +15 61
4 Olympique Lyonnais 34 18 6 10 53:40 +13 60
5 Olympique Marseille A 34 18 5 11 63:45 +18 59
6 Rennes 34 17 8 9 59:50 +9 59
7 Monaco 34 16 6 12 60:54 +6 54
8 Strasbourg 34 15 8 11 58:47 +11 53
9 Lorient 34 11 12 11 48:51 -3 45
10 Toulouse 33 12 8 13 47:46 +1 44
11 Paris H 34 11 11 12 47:50 -3 44
12 Brest 34 10 9 15 43:55 -12 39
13 Angers SCO 34 9 9 16 29:48 -19 36
14 Le Havre 34 7 14 13 32:44 -12 35
15 Auxerre 34 8 10 16 34:44 -10 34
16 Nice 34 7 11 16 37:60 -23 32
17 Nantes 33 5 8 20 29:52 -23 23
18 Metz 34 3 8 23 32:76 -44 17

Team Form

Olympique Marseille have lost 60% of their away matches this season, while Paris have been more solid at home (30% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

H Paris — last 10 home A Olympique Marseille — last 10 away
Won
H
5/10 (50%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Drawn
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Lost
H
3/10 (30%)
A
6/10 (60%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Paris (40% BTTS at home) and Olympique Marseille (30% BTTS away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches this season. A clean sheet for one side looks the more likely outcome.

H Paris — last 10 home A Olympique Marseille — last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
4/10 (40%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Scored Themselves
H
6/10 (60%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Conceded
H
7/10 (70%)
A
8/10 (80%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 61% · BTTS No 39%

Match Goals

Paris frequently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Olympique Marseille are lower on the road (60%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

H Paris — last 10 home A Olympique Marseille — last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
7/10 (70%)

Team Goals

Paris have scored 2+ goals in 30% of home games this season, Olympique Marseille in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Paris 1.6 scored · 1.5 conceded per home game Olympique Marseille 1 scored · 2.1 conceded per away game
H Paris — last 10 home A Olympique Marseille — last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
6/10 (60%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
5/10 (50%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
7/10 (70%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
4/10 (40%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Season totals: Paris 16 scored / 15 conceded at home · Olympique Marseille 10 scored / 21 conceded away

Match Corners

Both Paris (80% Over 7.5 at home) and Olympique Marseille (60% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

H Paris — last 10 home A Olympique Marseille — last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
8/10 (80%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Team Corners

Paris have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 50% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Olympique Marseille have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of away matches.

H Paris — last 10 home A Olympique Marseille — last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
5/10 (50%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
5/10 (50%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
5/10 (50%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
4/10 (40%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Paris and Olympique Marseille. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

23 Aug 2025
Olympique Marseille
5 – 2 HT: 2-1
Paris
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Paris vs Olympique Marseille across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

Value Paris 4.33 Model: 32%
Draw 3.9 Model: 24%
Olympique Marseille 1.75 Model: 45%

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.63 Model: 61%
No 2.17 Model: 39%

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.19 Model: 82%
Value Over 2.5 1.72 Model: 62%
Over 3.5 2.62 Model: 40%
Under 1.5 4.05 Model: 18%
Under 2.5 2.1 Model: 38%
Under 3.5 1.42 Model: 60%

1st Half Goals

Value Over 0.5 1.32 Model: 83%
Over 1.5 2.47

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.45 Model: 50%
Over 9.5 1.82 Model: 39%
Over 10.5 2.26 Model: 30%
Over 11.5 3.1 Model: 22%
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

Value Paris 4.5 Model: 26%
Draw 2.47 Model: 39%
Olympique Marseille 2.3 Model: 34%

Double Chance

Value Paris or Draw 2.02 Model: 55%
Paris or Olympique Marseille 1.28 Model: 76%
Draw or Olympique Marseille 1.26 Model: 68%

Paris Goals

Over 0.5 1.39 Model: 69%
Value Over 1.5 2.94 Model: 38%

Olympique Marseille Goals

Over 0.5 1.13 Model: 77%
Over 1.5 1.78 Model: 50%

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Linero vs Karlskrona 13:00 BST | Division 2: Sodra Gotaland, Sweden Linero have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 home matches this season · Karlskrona have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.53
    90% combined
  • Phoenix vs Tammeka II 10:30 BST | Esiliiga B, Estonia Phoenix have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/8 home matches this season · Tammeka II have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.2
    90% combined
  • Toronto II vs Connecticut United 20:00 BST | MLS Next Pro, United States Toronto II have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Connecticut United have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 away matches this season · Odds: 1.6
    85% combined
  • Enkoping vs Vasalund 15:00 BST | Ettan: North, Sweden Enkoping have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 home matches this season · Vasalund have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    83% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.23
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Paris vs Olympique Marseille Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Paris vs Olympique Marseille?

Over 2.5 Goals — Paris have seen 3+ goals in 70% of home games, Olympique Marseille in 60% of away games. The numbers suggest an open, high-scoring fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Paris or Olympique Marseille?

Paris have a slight form edge at home (50% wins) over Olympique Marseille on the road (30% wins) in Ligue 1. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Paris and Olympique Marseille?

Unlikely — Paris (40% BTTS at home) and Olympique Marseille (30% away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches in Ligue 1. A clean sheet for one side looks the more probable outcome.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Paris and Olympique Marseille?

Possibly — Paris frequently feature in high-scoring home games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Olympique Marseille are lower on the road (60%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Paris or Olympique Marseille?

Paris have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 30% of home games compared to Olympique Marseille's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Paris and Olympique Marseille?

Paris have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 60% of home games, Olympique Marseille in 20% of away games in Ligue 1. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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