Penafiel vs Chaves — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Liga Portugal 2, Portugal
🕒 Saturday 30th August, 11:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Both teams are evenly matched — Penafiel have won 40% of home games, Chaves 40% of away games. A tight encounter is likely — see our Draw stats.

Both sides have rarely seen 3+ goals this season — Penafiel at 20% at home and Chaves at 40% away. The numbers lean towards Under 2.5 Goals as the likely outcome.

Both teams rarely see both sides score — Penafiel at 40% at home and Chaves at 30% away. Solid defensive records on both sides make BTTS – No a reasonable selection.

Both teams regularly see 8+ corners in recent games (60% and 70%) — Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals — Penafiel have stayed under 3 goals in 80% of home games, Chaves in 60% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

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League Table

The full Liga Portugal 2 table for the 2025/2026 season, with Penafiel (16th) and Chaves (12th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Marítimo 29 18 6 5 44:21 +23 60
2 Academico Viseu 29 15 5 9 53:33 +20 50
3 Torreense 29 14 4 11 36:30 +6 46
4 União de Leiria 29 12 10 7 45:36 +9 46
5 Vizela 29 12 8 9 37:34 +3 44
6 Feirense 29 11 8 10 32:32 0 41
7 Benfica II 29 10 11 8 41:35 +6 41
8 Porto II 28 12 5 11 36:35 +1 41
9 Sporting CP II 29 13 2 14 41:30 +11 41
10 Chaves A 29 11 6 12 31:29 +2 39
11 Leixões 29 11 5 13 35:50 -15 38
12 Lusitania FC Lourosa 28 10 8 10 37:44 -7 38
13 Penafiel H 29 9 8 12 28:30 -2 35
14 Felgueiras 1932 29 8 10 11 25:34 -9 34
15 Farense 29 8 8 13 25:35 -10 32
16 Paços de Ferreira 29 7 11 11 26:39 -13 32
17 Portimonense SAD 29 8 6 15 31:42 -11 30
18 UD Oliveirense 29 6 9 14 27:41 -14 27

Team Form

Penafiel (40% home wins) and Chaves (40% away wins) are evenly matched on current form. The table below suggests this could be a closely contested fixture.

Penafiel (Home Form) Chaves (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Drawn 3 (30%) 0 (0%)
Lost 3 (30%) 6 (60%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Penafiel (40% BTTS at home) and Chaves (30% BTTS away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches this season. A clean sheet for one side looks the more likely outcome.

Penafiel (Home Form) Chaves (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 4 (40%) 3 (30%)

Match Goals

Penafiel have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 20% of home games, Chaves in 40% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Penafiel (Home Form) Chaves (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals 1 (10%) 2 (20%)

Under Goals

Penafiel (Home Form) Chaves (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Under 2.5 Goals 8 (80%) 6 (60%)
Under 3.5 Goals 9 (90%) 8 (80%)

Team Goals

Penafiel have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Chaves in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Penafiel (Home Form) Chaves (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Penafiel (Home Form) Chaves (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Penafiel (Home Form) Chaves (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 11 (1.1 avg) 10 (1 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 10 (1 avg) 13 (1.3 avg)

Match Corners

Both Penafiel (60% Over 7.5 at home) and Chaves (70% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

Penafiel (Home Form) Chaves (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Over 8.5 Corners 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Over 9.5 Corners 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Over 10.5 Corners 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 12.5 Corners 3 (30%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

Penafiel have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Chaves have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

Corners Won

Penafiel (Home Form) Chaves (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Penafiel (Home Form) Chaves (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 2 (20%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Penafiel and Chaves. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

15th May, 2025
Penafiel
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Chaves
Corners 0–0 Cards 2–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
4th Jan, 2025
Chaves
0 – 1 HT: 0-1
Penafiel
Corners 10–4 Cards 2–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
6th Mar, 2022
Penafiel
2 – 1 HT: 0-1
Chaves
Corners 7–8 Cards 2–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
10th Oct, 2021
Chaves
3 – 1 HT: 0-1
Penafiel
Corners 5–3 Cards 3–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
29th Mar, 2021
Chaves
2 – 1 HT: 1-1
Penafiel
Corners 5–6 Cards 0–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
9th Nov, 2020
Penafiel
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Chaves
Corners 8–7 Cards 3–6 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
17th Feb, 2020
Penafiel
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Chaves
Corners 5–7 Cards 2–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
1st Sep, 2019
Chaves
2 – 1 HT: 1-0
Penafiel
Corners 6–4 Cards 2–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
21st Feb, 2016
Chaves
1 – 1 HT: 0-1
Penafiel
Corners – Cards 0–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
20th Sep, 2015
Penafiel
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Chaves
Corners – Cards 0–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Penafiel vs Chaves across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Penafiel 3.68
Draw 3.3
Chaves 2.21

Half Time Result

Penafiel 4
Draw 2.19
Chaves 2.75

Double Chance

Penafiel or Draw 1.72
Penafiel or Chaves 1.36
Draw or Chaves 1.28

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.82
No 1.99

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.33
Over 2.5 2.07
Over 3.5 3.5
Under 1.5 2.88
Under 2.5 1.76
Under 3.5 1.25

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.44
Over 1.5 2.9

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.4
Over 9.5 1.72
Over 10.5 2.1
Over 11.5 2.75

Penafiel Goals

Over 0.5 1.44
Over 1.5 3.4
Over 2.5 10

Chaves Goals

Over 0.5 1.28
Over 1.5 2.2
Over 2.5 5

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Manchester City U21 vs Norwich City U21 19:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Manchester City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 home matches this season · Norwich City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    89% combined
  • Crewe Alexandra U21 vs Queens Park Rangers U21 13:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Crewe Alexandra U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/13 home matches this season · Queens Park Rangers U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.33
    81% combined
  • Sheffield United U21 vs Bristol City U21 14:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Sheffield United U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 home matches this season · Bristol City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    76% combined
  • Alianza U20 vs FAS U20 02:00 BST | Reserve League, El Salvador Alianza U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 18/21 home matches this season · FAS U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 12/20 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    73% combined
Acca odds (approx) 2.92
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Penafiel vs Chaves Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Penafiel vs Chaves?

Under 2.5 Goals — Penafiel have stayed under 3 goals in 80% of home games, Chaves in 60% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, Penafiel or Chaves?

Both sides are evenly matched on current form — Penafiel have won 40% of home games, Chaves 40% away in Liga Portugal 2. This looks like a closely contested fixture.

Will both teams score in the match between Penafiel and Chaves?

Unlikely — Penafiel (40% BTTS at home) and Chaves (30% away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches in Liga Portugal 2. A clean sheet for one side looks the more probable outcome.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Penafiel and Chaves?

Uncertain — Penafiel have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 20% of home games, Chaves in 40% of away games in Liga Portugal 2. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Penafiel or Chaves?

Chaves have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 10% of away games compared to Penafiel's 10% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Penafiel and Chaves?

Penafiel have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 60% of home games, Chaves in 50% of away games in Liga Portugal 2. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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Other Upcoming Fixtures

Lusitania FC Lourosa vs Porto II

📍 Liga Portugal 2, Portugal

🕒 Monday 13th April, 18:00 BST

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Academico Viseu vs Feirense

📍 Liga Portugal 2, Portugal

🕒 Friday 17th April, 18:45 BST

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Paços de Ferreira vs Chaves

📍 Liga Portugal 2, Portugal

🕒 Saturday 18th April, 11:00 BST

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União de Leiria vs Penafiel

📍 Liga Portugal 2, Portugal

🕒 Saturday 18th April, 14:00 BST

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Torreense vs Marítimo

📍 Liga Portugal 2, Portugal

🕒 Saturday 18th April, 18:00 BST

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Portimonense SAD vs Lusitania FC Lourosa

📍 Liga Portugal 2, Portugal

🕒 Sunday 19th April, 11:00 BST

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Vizela vs Farense

📍 Liga Portugal 2, Portugal

🕒 Sunday 19th April, 14:00 BST

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Porto II vs Leixões

📍 Liga Portugal 2, Portugal

🕒 Monday 20th April, 18:45 BST

Match Stats

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