Penafiel vs Paços de Ferreira Football Stats

📍 Liga Portugal 2, Portugal
🕒 Sunday 4th January, 11:00 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Penafiel sit 12th in the table after 15 games, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1 conceded per home match this season. Paços de Ferreira are 17th after 14 games, averaging 0.9 scored and 1.5 conceded on the road. Penafiel have won 4/10 home games (40%) this season; Paços de Ferreira have won 3/10 on the road (30%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Both sides have been involved in low-scoring matches this season. Penafiel have seen 3+ goals in only 30% of home fixtures; Paços de Ferreira in 40% away. Penafiel average 1.3 scored and 1 conceded at home, Paços de Ferreira 0.9 and 1.5 on the road — the numbers point toward a tight game.

Both sides have solid defensive records in context. Penafiel have seen BTTS in only 40% of home games (4/10); Paços de Ferreira in 40% away (4/10). At least one clean sheet looks likely.

Corner data is available but trends are mixed — Penafiel see 9+ corners in 30% of home games, Paços de Ferreira in 60% away. No strong edge in this market for this fixture.

Our Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals — Penafiel have stayed under 3 goals in 70% of home games, Paços de Ferreira in 60% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

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See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

The full Liga Portugal 2 table for the 2025/2026 season, with Penafiel (12th) and Paços de Ferreira (17th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Marítimo 34 20 6 8 50:29 +21 66
2 Academico Viseu 34 17 8 9 58:33 +25 59
3 Torreense 34 18 5 11 46:33 +13 59
4 Vizela 34 14 9 11 39:40 -1 51
5 Porto II 34 15 6 13 41:42 -1 51
6 Leixões 34 15 5 14 46:55 -9 50
7 União de Leiria 34 13 11 10 52:46 +6 50
8 Feirense 34 12 10 12 37:40 -3 46
9 Chaves 34 13 6 15 42:40 +2 45
10 Benfica II 34 11 11 12 43:44 -1 44
11 Felgueiras 1932 34 11 11 12 34:38 -4 44
12 Lusitania FC Lourosa 34 11 10 13 44:52 -8 43
13 Sporting CP II 34 13 3 18 41:34 +7 42
14 Penafiel H 34 11 8 15 37:39 -2 41
15 Farense 34 10 10 14 31:37 -6 40
16 Portimonense SAD 34 11 7 16 39:49 -10 40
17 Paços de Ferreira A 34 9 12 13 34:48 -14 39
18 UD Oliveirense 34 8 10 16 34:49 -15 34

Team Form

Paços de Ferreira have lost 50% of their away matches this season, while Penafiel have been more solid at home (30% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

Penafiel (Home Form) Paços de Ferreira (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Drawn 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Lost 3 (30%) 5 (50%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Penafiel (40% BTTS at home) and Paços de Ferreira (40% BTTS away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches this season. A clean sheet for one side looks the more likely outcome.

Penafiel (Home Form) Paços de Ferreira (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 4 (40%) 4 (40%)

Match Goals

Penafiel have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 30% of home games, Paços de Ferreira in 40% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Penafiel (Home Form) Paços de Ferreira (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals 1 (10%) 2 (20%)

Under Goals

Penafiel (Home Form) Paços de Ferreira (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Under 3.5 Goals 9 (90%) 8 (80%)

Team Goals

Penafiel have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Paços de Ferreira in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Penafiel (Home Form) Paços de Ferreira (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 7 (70%) 5 (50%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Penafiel (Home Form) Paços de Ferreira (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Penafiel (Home Form) Paços de Ferreira (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 13 (1.3 avg) 9 (0.9 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 10 (1 avg) 15 (1.5 avg)

Match Corners

Penafiel have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 40% of home games, Paços de Ferreira in 60% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Penafiel (Home Form) Paços de Ferreira (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 4 (40%) 7 (70%)
Over 8.5 Corners 4 (40%) 6 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners 3 (30%) 6 (60%)
Over 10.5 Corners 1 (10%) 6 (60%)
Over 11.5 Corners 1 (10%) 6 (60%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 4 (40%)

Team Corners

Penafiel have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Paços de Ferreira have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of away matches.

Corners Won

Penafiel (Home Form) Paços de Ferreira (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 2 (20%)

Corners Conceded

Penafiel (Home Form) Paços de Ferreira (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 7 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 6 (60%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 3 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 3 (30%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Penafiel and Paços de Ferreira. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

04 Jan 2026
Penafiel
1 – 2 HT: 1-1
Paços de Ferreira
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
08 Feb 2025
Penafiel
1 – 2 HT: 1-2
Paços de Ferreira
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
01 Sep 2024
Paços de Ferreira
1 – 3 HT: 1-1
Penafiel
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
20 Apr 2024
Penafiel
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Paços de Ferreira
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
09 Dec 2023
Paços de Ferreira
2 – 1 HT: 1-1
Penafiel
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
15 Jul 2023
Paços de Ferreira
1 – 1 HT: 0-1
Penafiel
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
13 Oct 2019
Penafiel
1 – 2 HT: 1-0
Paços de Ferreira
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
30 Mar 2019
Penafiel
1 – 1 HT: 1-1
Paços de Ferreira
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
02 Dec 2018
Paços de Ferreira
2 – 0 HT: 0-0
Penafiel
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
08 Feb 2015
Paços de Ferreira
2 – 1 HT: 0-0
Penafiel
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Penafiel vs Paços de Ferreira across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Penafiel 2.06
Draw 3.4
Paços de Ferreira 4.2

Half Time Result

Penafiel 2.74
Draw 2.17
Paços de Ferreira 3.65

Double Chance

Penafiel or Draw 1.26
Penafiel or Paços de Ferreira 1.35
Draw or Paços de Ferreira 1.79

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.9
No 1.97

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.4
Over 2.5 2.19
Over 3.5 4.2
Under 1.5 3.2
Under 2.5 1.74
Under 3.5 1.23

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.43
Over 1.5 2.98

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.11
Over 9.5 1.49
Over 10.5 1.86
Over 11.5 2.07

Penafiel Goals

Over 0.5 1.24
Over 1.5 2.23

Paços de Ferreira Goals

Over 0.5 1.52
Over 1.5 3.1

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Breiðablik / Augn U19 vs FH / ÍH U19 20:30 BST | U19 League, Iceland Breiðablik / Augn U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · FH / ÍH U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    91% combined
  • Tartu Welco vs Nõmme Kalju U21 17:00 BST | Esiliiga A, Estonia Tartu Welco have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Nõmme Kalju U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    90% combined
  • SønderjyskE U19 vs Nordsjaelland U19 15:00 BST | U19 League, Denmark SønderjyskE U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Nordsjaelland U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    79% combined
  • Kyzyl-Zhar vs Zhetysu 12:00 BST | Premier League, Kazakhstan Kyzyl-Zhar have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Zhetysu have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 away matches this season · Odds: 2.2
    75% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.47
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Penafiel vs Paços de Ferreira Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Penafiel vs Paços de Ferreira?

Under 2.5 Goals — Penafiel have stayed under 3 goals in 70% of home games, Paços de Ferreira in 60% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, Penafiel or Paços de Ferreira?

Penafiel have a slight form edge at home (40% wins) over Paços de Ferreira on the road (30% wins) in Liga Portugal 2. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Penafiel and Paços de Ferreira?

Unlikely — Penafiel (40% BTTS at home) and Paços de Ferreira (40% away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches in Liga Portugal 2. A clean sheet for one side looks the more probable outcome.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Penafiel and Paços de Ferreira?

Uncertain — Penafiel have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 30% of home games, Paços de Ferreira in 40% of away games in Liga Portugal 2. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Penafiel or Paços de Ferreira?

Penafiel have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of home games compared to Paços de Ferreira's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Penafiel and Paços de Ferreira?

Penafiel have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 40% of home games, Paços de Ferreira in 60% of away games in Liga Portugal 2. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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