Penybont vs Caernarfon Town — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Premier League, Wales
🕒 Saturday 25th October, 14:30 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Penybont (10% home wins) hold a slight edge over Caernarfon Town on the road (40% away wins), but the difference is minimal. View our Home Win, Away Win and Draw stats for more context.

Caernarfon Town tend to be involved in matches with 2+ goals away from home (80%), while Penybont are lower (60%). Expect goals on the night, supporting Over 1.5 Goals.

Caernarfon Town regularly see both teams score in away matches (60%), while Penybont are lower at home (50%). The visitors' tendency to be involved in goal-heavy games supports BTTS – Yes.

Both teams regularly see 8+ corners in recent games (70% and 90%) — Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals — Penybont have stayed under 3 goals in 80% of home games, Caernarfon Town in 60% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

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See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

The full Premier League table for the 2025/2026 season, with Penybont (2nd) and Caernarfon Town (3rd) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Premier League 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 The New Saints 32 26 2 4 81:25 +56 80
2 Connah's Quay 32 16 10 6 61:38 +23 58
3 Haverfordwest County 32 14 6 12 48:43 +5 48
4 Barry Town United 32 12 10 10 43:33 +10 46
5 Caernarfon Town A 32 12 9 11 56:47 +9 45
6 Colwyn Bay 32 12 9 11 41:37 +4 45
7 Briton Ferry 32 12 9 11 46:47 -1 45
8 Penybont H 32 11 8 13 39:49 -10 41
9 Cardiff MU 32 8 14 10 43:51 -8 38
10 Flint Town United 32 8 11 13 48:59 -11 35
11 Bala Town 32 8 8 16 33:45 -12 32
12 Llanelli Town 32 3 4 25 17:82 -65 13

Team Form

Caernarfon Town have lost 30% of their away matches this season, while Penybont have been more solid at home (20% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

Penybont (Home Form) Caernarfon Town (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Drawn 7 (70%) 3 (30%)
Lost 2 (20%) 3 (30%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Caernarfon Town regularly see both teams score in away matches (60%), while Penybont are lower at home (50%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Penybont (Home Form) Caernarfon Town (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 5 (50%) 6 (60%)

Match Goals

Penybont have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 20% of home games, Caernarfon Town in 40% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Penybont (Home Form) Caernarfon Town (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 6 (60%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 6 (60%) 8 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Under Goals

Penybont (Home Form) Caernarfon Town (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals 8 (80%) 6 (60%)
Under 3.5 Goals 10 (100%) 9 (90%)

Team Goals

Penybont have scored 2+ goals in 0% of home games this season, Caernarfon Town in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Penybont (Home Form) Caernarfon Town (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 5 (50%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Penybont (Home Form) Caernarfon Town (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Penybont (Home Form) Caernarfon Town (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 6 (0.6 avg) 13 (1.3 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 8 (0.8 avg) 11 (1.1 avg)

Match Corners

Caernarfon Town frequently reach high corner counts away from home (90%), while Penybont are lower at home (50%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Penybont (Home Form) Caernarfon Town (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 7 (70%) 9 (90%)
Over 8.5 Corners 5 (50%) 9 (90%)
Over 9.5 Corners 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Over 10.5 Corners 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

Penybont have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of home matches.

Caernarfon Town have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of away matches.

Corners Won

Penybont (Home Form) Caernarfon Town (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 7 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 5 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Penybont (Home Form) Caernarfon Town (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Penybont and Caernarfon Town. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

20th Sep, 2025
Caernarfon Town
1 – 2 HT: 0-0
Penybont
Corners 3–8 Cards 2–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
13th Apr, 2025
Penybont
3 – 1 HT: 1-1
Caernarfon Town
Corners 8–2 Cards 0–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
22nd Feb, 2025
Caernarfon Town
3 – 2 HT: 1-0
Penybont
Corners 4–8 Cards 0–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
2nd Nov, 2024
Caernarfon Town
1 – 5 HT: 0-2
Penybont
Corners 2–3 Cards 2–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
7th Sep, 2024
Penybont
2 – 0 HT: 1-0
Caernarfon Town
Corners 8–6 Cards 1–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
18th May, 2024
Caernarfon Town
3 – 1 HT: 3-0
Penybont
Corners 4–7 Cards 2–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
4th Nov, 2023
Caernarfon Town
2 – 4 HT: 0-2
Penybont
Corners 3–2 Cards 3–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
16th Sep, 2023
Penybont
3 – 2 HT: 1-1
Caernarfon Town
Corners 10–9 Cards 3–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
7th Jan, 2023
Penybont
5 – 1 HT: 3-0
Caernarfon Town
Corners 4–5 Cards 1–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
5th Nov, 2022
Caernarfon Town
0 – 2 HT: 0-1
Penybont
Corners 4–4 Cards 1–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Penybont vs Caernarfon Town across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Penybont 1.81
Draw 3.84
Caernarfon Town 3.95

Half Time Result

Penybont 2.3
Draw 2.46
Caernarfon Town 4.34

Double Chance

Penybont or Draw 1.26
Penybont or Caernarfon Town 1.27
Draw or Caernarfon Town 2.02

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.62
No 2.3

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.14
Over 2.5 1.65
Over 3.5 2.46
Under 1.5 4.3
Under 2.5 2.2
Under 3.5 1.49

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.3
Over 1.5 2.4

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.25
Over 9.5 1.54
Over 10.5 2.41
Over 11.5 2.55

Penybont Goals

Over 0.5 1.12
Over 1.5 1.72

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 0.5 1.38
Over 1.5 2.75

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • FC Bayern München vs VfB Stuttgart 16:30 BST | Bundesliga, Germany FC Bayern München have seen over 2.5 goals in 14/14 home matches this season · VfB Stuttgart have seen over 2.5 goals in 14/14 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    100% combined
  • Borussia Dortmund U19 vs Schalke 04 U19 10:00 BST | U19 Bundesliga, Germany Borussia Dortmund U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/10 home matches this season · Schalke 04 U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    90% combined
  • Sporting Cristal vs UTC Cajamarca 17:00 BST | Primera Division, Peru Sporting Cristal have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · UTC Cajamarca have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.7
    90% combined
  • Tainan City vs Tatung 08:30 BST | Taiwan Football Premier League, Taiwan Tainan City have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 home matches this season · Tatung have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 away matches this season · Odds: 1.57
    86% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.27
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Penybont vs Caernarfon Town Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Penybont vs Caernarfon Town?

Under 2.5 Goals — Penybont have stayed under 3 goals in 80% of home games, Caernarfon Town in 60% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, Penybont or Caernarfon Town?

Caernarfon Town hold a slight form advantage away (40% wins) over Penybont at home (10% wins) in Premier League. A competitive fixture with the visitors potentially having the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between Penybont and Caernarfon Town?

Mixed — Penybont have seen BTTS in 50% of home games, Caernarfon Town in 60% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Premier League fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Penybont and Caernarfon Town?

Uncertain — Penybont have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 20% of home games, Caernarfon Town in 40% of away games in Premier League. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Penybont or Caernarfon Town?

Caernarfon Town have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 10% of away games compared to Penybont's 0% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Penybont and Caernarfon Town?

Possibly — Caernarfon Town frequently reach high corner counts away (90%), while Penybont are lower at home (50%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

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