Peñarol vs Danubio Football Stats

📍 Primera Division, Uruguay
🕒 Sunday 5th October, 22:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

Peñarol sit 1st in the table after 31 games, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per home match this season. Danubio are 9th after 30 games, averaging 0.8 scored and 1.9 conceded on the road. Peñarol have won 3/10 home games (30%) this season; Danubio have won 2/10 on the road (20%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Both sides consistently see 2+ goals — Peñarol in 100% of home games, Danubio in 80% away. Three or more is less certain, but Over 1.5 Goals is well supported by the data from both sides.

Peñarol frequently see both teams score at home (90%, 9/10). Danubio are lower on the road (50%, 5/10) — they've scored in 60% of away games this season, which is the key variable.

Corner data is available but trends are mixed — Peñarol see 9+ corners in 40% of home games, Danubio in 30% away. No strong edge in this market for this fixture.

Our Prediction: Over 1.5 Goals — Peñarol see 2+ goals in 100% of home games, Danubio in 80% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

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See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

The full Primera Division table for the 2025 season, with Peñarol (1st) and Danubio (9th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Primera Division 2025

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Nacional 24 15 8 1 43:19 +24 53
2 Peñarol H 25 16 5 4 47:21 +26 53
3 Defensor Sporting 21 10 4 7 22:24 -2 34
4 Boston River 21 8 9 4 34:20 +14 33
5 Montevideo City Torque 21 9 5 7 36:26 +10 32
6 Liverpool 22 9 5 8 30:30 0 32
7 Cerro 21 9 4 8 20:22 -2 31
8 Danubio A 21 8 4 9 27:24 +3 28
9 Cerro Largo 21 7 7 7 24:22 +2 28
10 Juventud 21 8 4 9 19:22 -3 28
11 Racing 21 7 6 8 23:28 -5 27
12 Atlético Progreso 21 7 3 11 21:32 -11 24
13 River Plate 21 4 7 10 18:27 -9 19
14 Miramar Misiones 21 4 5 12 19:32 -13 17
15 Plaza Colonia 21 3 7 11 15:31 -16 16
16 Wanderers 21 3 7 11 12:30 -18 16

Team Form

Danubio have lost 60% of their away matches this season, while Peñarol have been more solid at home (30% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

Peñarol (Home Form) Danubio (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Drawn 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Lost 3 (30%) 6 (60%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Peñarol frequently see both teams score at home (90%), while Danubio are less consistent on the road (50%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Peñarol (Home Form) Danubio (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 9 (90%) 5 (50%)

Match Goals

Both sides regularly see 2+ goals in their matches (Peñarol 100% at home, Danubio 80% away), though 3+ is less consistent. Over 1.5 Goals looks the more reliable selection.

Over Goals

Peñarol (Home Form) Danubio (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 10 (100%) 8 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 3 (30%)

Under Goals

Peñarol (Home Form) Danubio (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 7 (70%)

Team Goals

Peñarol have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Danubio in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Peñarol (Home Form) Danubio (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 9 (90%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Peñarol (Home Form) Danubio (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 10 (100%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 4 (40%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goal Totals

Peñarol (Home Form) Danubio (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 14 (1.4 avg) 8 (0.8 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 14 (1.4 avg) 19 (1.9 avg)

Match Corners

Peñarol have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 50% of home games, Danubio in 30% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Peñarol (Home Form) Danubio (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 7 (70%) 4 (40%)
Over 8.5 Corners 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 9.5 Corners 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 10.5 Corners 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners 2 (20%) 2 (20%)

Team Corners

Peñarol have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Danubio have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of away matches.

Corners Won

Peñarol (Home Form) Danubio (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 0 (0%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Peñarol (Home Form) Danubio (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 3 (30%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Peñarol and Danubio. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

5th Apr, 2025
Danubio
0 – 1 HT: 0-1
Peñarol
Corners 2–5 Cards 1–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
16th Oct, 2024
Danubio
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Peñarol
Corners 3–5 Cards 4–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
14th Apr, 2024
Peñarol
2 – 0 HT: 1-0
Danubio
Corners 9–3 Cards 1–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
19th Nov, 2023
Danubio
2 – 1 HT: 2-0
Peñarol
Corners 6–7 Cards 0–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
8th Jul, 2023
Danubio
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Peñarol
Corners 4–7 Cards 3–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
15th Apr, 2023
Peñarol
2 – 0 HT: 1-0
Danubio
Corners 1–2 Cards 3–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
28th Aug, 2022
Peñarol
1 – 1 HT: 0-1
Danubio
Corners 1–7 Cards 7–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
5th Mar, 2022
Danubio
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Peñarol
Corners 3–10 Cards 6–5 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
31st Jan, 2021
Danubio
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Peñarol
Corners 4–2 Cards 5–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
19th Dec, 2020
Danubio
1 – 4 HT: 0-3
Peñarol
Corners 11–2 Cards 8–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Peñarol vs Danubio across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Peñarol 1.44
Draw 4.65
Danubio 8.4

Half Time Result

Peñarol 1.9
Draw 2.34
Danubio 7.54

Double Chance

Peñarol or Draw 1.11
Peñarol or Danubio 1.15
Draw or Danubio 2.61

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2.09
No 1.78

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.27
Over 2.5 1.9
Over 3.5 3.26
Under 1.5 3.68
Under 2.5 2.04
Under 3.5 1.34

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.31
Over 1.5 2.78

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.2
Over 9.5 1.46
Over 10.5 2.22
Over 11.5 2.35

Peñarol Goals

Over 0.5 1.14
Over 1.5 1.61

Danubio Goals

Over 0.5 1.82
Over 1.5 4.97

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Breiðablik / Augn U19 vs FH / ÍH U19 20:30 BST | U19 League, Iceland Breiðablik / Augn U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · FH / ÍH U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    91% combined
  • Tartu Welco vs Nõmme Kalju U21 17:00 BST | Esiliiga A, Estonia Tartu Welco have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Nõmme Kalju U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    90% combined
  • SønderjyskE U19 vs Nordsjaelland U19 15:00 BST | U19 League, Denmark SønderjyskE U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Nordsjaelland U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    79% combined
  • Kyzyl-Zhar vs Zhetysu 12:00 BST | Premier League, Kazakhstan Kyzyl-Zhar have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Zhetysu have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 away matches this season · Odds: 2.2
    75% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.47
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Peñarol vs Danubio Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Peñarol vs Danubio?

Over 1.5 Goals — Peñarol see 2+ goals in 100% of home games, Danubio in 80% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Peñarol or Danubio?

Peñarol have a slight form edge at home (30% wins) over Danubio on the road (20% wins) in Primera Division. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Peñarol and Danubio?

Possibly — Peñarol frequently see both teams score at home (90%), while Danubio are lower on the road (50%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Peñarol and Danubio?

Uncertain — Peñarol have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games, Danubio in 60% of away games in Primera Division. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Peñarol or Danubio?

Peñarol have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 10% of home games compared to Danubio's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Peñarol and Danubio?

Peñarol have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 50% of home games, Danubio in 30% of away games in Primera Division. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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Over 2.5 Goals

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Home Win

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10 Teams to Win Today

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Steve C. (Birmingham, UK)

"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

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Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

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