Peñarol vs Nacional Football Stats

📍 Primera Division, Uruguay
🕒 Sunday 23rd November, 19:30 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) – Yes

Peñarol sit 1st in the table after 38 games, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per home match this season. Nacional are 2nd after 38 games, averaging 1.7 scored and 2.4 conceded on the road. Peñarol have won 2/10 home games (20%) this season; Nacional have won 3/10 on the road (30%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Nacional have featured in high-scoring away games this season — Over 2.5 Goals in 90% of their away fixtures (9/10). Peñarol are lower at home (50%, 5/10), averaging 1.2 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Both teams have regularly seen both sides score this season — Peñarol in 80% of home games (8/10), Nacional in 90% away (9/10). Peñarol have scored in 80% of home fixtures; Nacional in 90% of away games.

Nacional are involved in high-corner games on the road (10+ corners in 70% of away fixtures, 7/10). Peñarol are lower at home (40%), but the visitors' style tends to push the total up.

Our Prediction: Both Teams To Score (BTTS) – Yes — Peñarol see both teams score in 80% of home games, Nacional in 90% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net this season.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

League Table

The full Primera Division table for the 2025 season, with Peñarol (1st) and Nacional (2nd) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Primera Division 2025

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Nacional A 24 15 8 1 43:19 +24 53
2 Peñarol H 25 16 5 4 47:21 +26 53
3 Defensor Sporting 21 10 4 7 22:24 -2 34
4 Boston River 21 8 9 4 34:20 +14 33
5 Montevideo City Torque 21 9 5 7 36:26 +10 32
6 Liverpool 22 9 5 8 30:30 0 32
7 Cerro 21 9 4 8 20:22 -2 31
8 Danubio 21 8 4 9 27:24 +3 28
9 Cerro Largo 21 7 7 7 24:22 +2 28
10 Juventud 21 8 4 9 19:22 -3 28
11 Racing 21 7 6 8 23:28 -5 27
12 Atlético Progreso 21 7 3 11 21:32 -11 24
13 River Plate 21 4 7 10 18:27 -9 19
14 Miramar Misiones 21 4 5 12 19:32 -13 17
15 Plaza Colonia 21 3 7 11 15:31 -16 16
16 Wanderers 21 3 7 11 12:30 -18 16

Team Form

Nacional have lost 60% of their away matches this season, while Peñarol have been more solid at home (40% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

Peñarol (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Drawn 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Lost 4 (40%) 6 (60%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Peñarol have seen both teams score in 80% of home games this season, Nacional in 90% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net — the stats support a goal at each end.

Peñarol (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 8 (80%) 9 (90%)

Match Goals

Nacional regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 90%), while Peñarol are lower at home (50%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Over Goals

Peñarol (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 9 (90%) 10 (100%)
Over 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 9 (90%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 6 (60%)

Under Goals

Peñarol (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Under 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 1 (10%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 4 (40%)

Team Goals

Peñarol have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Nacional in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Peñarol (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 8 (80%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Peñarol (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 10 (100%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 4 (40%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 5 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 2 (20%)

Goal Totals

Peñarol (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 12 (1.2 avg) 17 (1.7 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 14 (1.4 avg) 24 (2.4 avg)

Match Corners

Nacional frequently reach high corner counts away from home (70%), while Peñarol are lower at home (50%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Peñarol (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 8.5 Corners 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners 4 (40%) 7 (70%)
Over 10.5 Corners 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 2 (20%)

Team Corners

Peñarol have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Nacional have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of away matches.

Corners Won

Peñarol (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Peñarol (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 2 (20%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Peñarol and Nacional. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

9th Aug, 2025
Peñarol
3 – 0 HT: 2-0
Nacional
6th Jul, 2025
Nacional
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Peñarol
9th Feb, 2025
Nacional
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Peñarol
26th Jan, 2025
Nacional
2 – 1 HT: 2-0
Peñarol
21st Jan, 2025
Nacional
3 – 1 HT: 1-1
Peñarol
6th Oct, 2024
Nacional
2 – 1 HT: 1-0
Peñarol
4th Aug, 2024
Nacional
1 – 1 HT: 0-1
Peñarol
29th Mar, 2024
Peñarol
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Nacional
24th Jan, 2024
Peñarol
0 – 2 HT: 0-2
Nacional
18th Jan, 2024
Nacional
1 – 1 HT: 1-0
Peñarol

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Peñarol vs Nacional across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Peñarol 2.21
Draw 2.93
Nacional 4.09

Half Time Result

Peñarol 2.98
Draw 1.83
Nacional 4.73

Double Chance

Peñarol or Draw 1.28
Peñarol or Nacional 1.43
Draw or Nacional 1.7

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2.01
No 1.7

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.6
Over 2.5 2.8
Over 3.5 5.8
Under 1.5 2.62
Under 2.5 1.51
Under 3.5 1.19

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.54
Over 1.5 3.2

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.41
Over 9.5 1.7
Over 10.5 2.12
Over 11.5 2.75

Peñarol Goals

Over 0.5 1.31
Over 1.5 2.65

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5 1.6
Over 1.5 3.8

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Breiðablik / Augn U19 vs FH / ÍH U19 20:30 BST | U19 League, Iceland Breiðablik / Augn U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · FH / ÍH U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    91% combined
  • Tartu Welco vs Nõmme Kalju U21 17:00 BST | Esiliiga A, Estonia Tartu Welco have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Nõmme Kalju U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    90% combined
  • SønderjyskE U19 vs Nordsjaelland U19 15:00 BST | U19 League, Denmark SønderjyskE U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Nordsjaelland U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    79% combined
  • Kyzyl-Zhar vs Zhetysu 12:00 BST | Premier League, Kazakhstan Kyzyl-Zhar have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Zhetysu have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 away matches this season · Odds: 2.2
    75% combined

Peñarol vs Nacional Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Peñarol vs Nacional?

Both Teams to Score — Peñarol see BTTS in 80% of home games, Nacional in 90% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net this season.

Which team is likely to win, Peñarol or Nacional?

Nacional hold a slight form advantage away (30% wins) over Peñarol at home (20% wins) in Primera Division. A competitive fixture with the visitors potentially having the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between Peñarol and Nacional?

Yes — both sides have been regularly involved in matches where both teams score. Peñarol have seen BTTS in 80% of home games, Nacional in 90% of away games in Primera Division. Goals at both ends look likely.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Peñarol and Nacional?

Possibly — Nacional regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 90%), while Peñarol are lower at home (50%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Peñarol or Nacional?

Nacional have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of away games compared to Peñarol's 10% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Peñarol and Nacional?

Possibly — Nacional frequently reach high corner counts away (70%), while Peñarol are lower at home (50%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

Discover match stats based on likely outcomes for the next 3–4 days.

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