Pogradeci vs Besa Kavajë

📍 1st Division, Albania
🕒 Monday 11th May, 16:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals

Pogradeci sit 1st in the table after 34 games, averaging 2.9 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per home match this season. Besa Kavajë are 2nd after 34 games, averaging 1.5 scored and 1.6 conceded on the road. Pogradeci have the stronger home record this season (8/10, 80%) against a Besa Kavajë side who've won 4/10 away (40%).

Pogradeci have been involved in high-scoring home games this season — Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 70% of their home fixtures (7/10). Besa Kavajë are lower on the road (60%, 6/10), averaging 1.5 scored and 1.6 conceded away from home.

Both teams have regularly seen both sides score this season — Pogradeci in 60% of home games (6/10), Besa Kavajë in 60% away (6/10). Pogradeci have scored in 90% of home fixtures; Besa Kavajë in 70% of away games.

Corner data is available but trends are mixed — Pogradeci see 9+ corners in 30% of home games, Besa Kavajë in 10% away. No strong edge in this market for this fixture.

Our Prediction: Over 2.5 Goals — Pogradeci have seen 3+ goals in 70% of home games, Besa Kavajë in 60% of away games. The numbers suggest an open, high-scoring fixture.

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League Table

The full 1st Division table for the 2025/2026 season, with Pogradeci (1st) and Besa Kavajë (2nd) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

1st Division 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Laçi 33 24 7 2 60:23 +37 79
2 Skënderbeu Korçë 33 24 5 4 57:25 +32 77
3 Pogradeci H 34 22 7 5 68:32 +36 73
4 Iliria Fushë-Krujë 34 11 11 12 33:37 -4 44
5 Besa Kavajë A 34 11 9 14 43:43 0 42
6 Kastrioti Krujë 34 11 6 17 44:60 -16 39
7 Burreli 33 9 10 14 27:45 -18 37
8 Korabi Peshkopi 33 8 12 13 31:39 -8 36
9 Af Luftetari 33 7 13 13 37:43 -6 34
10 Kukësi 33 8 7 18 31:50 -19 31
11 Apolonia Fier 33 6 10 17 31:44 -13 28
12 Lushnja 33 5 11 17 26:47 -21 26

Team Form

Pogradeci have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 80% of their home matches compared to Besa Kavajë's 40% away. The hosts hold a significant form advantage heading into this fixture.

Pogradeci (Home Form) Besa Kavajë (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 8 (80%) 4 (40%)
Drawn 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Lost 0 (0%) 5 (50%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Pogradeci have seen both teams score in 60% of home games this season, Besa Kavajë in 60% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net — the stats support a goal at each end.

Pogradeci (Home Form) Besa Kavajë (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 6 (60%) 6 (60%)

Match Goals

Pogradeci frequently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Besa Kavajë are lower on the road (60%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Over Goals

Pogradeci (Home Form) Besa Kavajë (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 9 (90%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Over 3.5 Goals 5 (50%) 3 (30%)

Under Goals

Pogradeci (Home Form) Besa Kavajë (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Under 3.5 Goals 5 (50%) 7 (70%)

Team Goals

Pogradeci have scored 2+ goals in 70% of home games this season, Besa Kavajë in 30% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Pogradeci (Home Form) Besa Kavajë (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 9 (90%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 8 (80%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 7 (70%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Pogradeci (Home Form) Besa Kavajë (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goal Totals

Pogradeci (Home Form) Besa Kavajë (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 29 (2.9 avg) 15 (1.5 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 6 (0.6 avg) 16 (1.6 avg)

Match Corners

Pogradeci (30% Over 8.5 at home) and Besa Kavajë (20% away) have both featured in predominantly low-corner matches this season. Set-piece opportunities may be limited.

Pogradeci (Home Form) Besa Kavajë (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 9.5 Corners 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 10.5 Corners 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 11.5 Corners 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

Pogradeci have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Besa Kavajë have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of away matches.

Corners Won

Pogradeci (Home Form) Besa Kavajë (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Pogradeci (Home Form) Besa Kavajë (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • San Lorenzo Res. vs Olimpia Res. 11:30 BST | Division Profesional Reserva, Paraguay San Lorenzo Res. have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/9 home matches this season · Olimpia Res. have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.2
    72% combined
  • Sharjah U23 vs Al Bataeh U23 15:10 BST | Arabian Gulf Reserve League, United Arab Emirates Sharjah U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 home matches this season · Al Bataeh U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.36
    71% combined
  • Ajman U23 vs Dibba Al Fujairah U23 15:10 BST | Arabian Gulf Reserve League, United Arab Emirates Ajman U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/12 home matches this season · Dibba Al Fujairah U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    71% combined
  • Neuchâtel Xamax vs Étoile Carouge 19:15 BST | Challenge League, Switzerland Neuchâtel Xamax have seen over 2.5 goals in 12/17 home matches this season · Étoile Carouge have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/17 away matches this season · Odds: 1.53
    68% combined
Acca odds (approx) 3.5
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Pogradeci vs Besa Kavajë Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Pogradeci vs Besa Kavajë?

Over 2.5 Goals — Pogradeci have seen 3+ goals in 70% of home games, Besa Kavajë in 60% of away games. The numbers suggest an open, high-scoring fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Pogradeci or Besa Kavajë?

Pogradeci hold a clear form advantage — they've won 80% of home games in 1st Division this season, while Besa Kavajë have won only 40% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Pogradeci and Besa Kavajë?

Mixed — Pogradeci have seen BTTS in 60% of home games, Besa Kavajë in 60% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this 1st Division fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Pogradeci and Besa Kavajë?

Possibly — Pogradeci frequently feature in high-scoring home games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Besa Kavajë are lower on the road (60%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Pogradeci or Besa Kavajë?

Pogradeci have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 70% of home games compared to Besa Kavajë's 30% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Pogradeci and Besa Kavajë?

Unlikely — Pogradeci (30% Over 8.5 at home) and Besa Kavajë (20% away) have both featured in predominantly low-corner matches in 1st Division.

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