Police vs NEC — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Premier League, Uganda
🕒 Friday 13th March, 13:00 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 3.5 Goals

Police have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 7/10 home matches (70%). NEC have struggled on the road, winning only 4/10 away games (40%). The hosts look strong favourites — see our Home Win stats.

Police frequently feature in matches with 2+ goals at home (80%), while NEC are more variable on the road (50%). Over 1.5 Goals may still land, mainly driven by the home side.

Both teams rarely see both sides score — Police at 40% at home and NEC at 40% away. Solid defensive records on both sides make BTTS – No a reasonable selection.

Corner trends are mixed for this fixture — view our Over 3.5 First Half Corners and Over 8.5 Corners pages for the full data.

Our Prediction: Under 3.5 Goals — Police have stayed under 4 goals in 90% of home matches, NEC in 100% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

League Table

The full Premier League table for the 2025/2026 season, with Police (6th) and NEC (7th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Premier League 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Vipers 22 15 7 0 43:12 +31 52
2 KCCA 23 15 3 5 35:18 +17 48
3 Kitara 22 13 5 4 31:14 +17 44
4 SC Villa 22 12 6 4 30:12 +18 42
5 NEC A 23 10 10 3 25:16 +9 40
6 Entebbe UPPC 23 11 7 5 21:15 +6 40
7 Police H 23 11 5 7 34:27 +7 38
8 BUL 23 8 7 8 25:22 +3 31
9 Express FC 23 7 8 8 22:23 -1 29
10 Maroons 23 7 8 8 18:16 +2 29
11 URA 23 4 11 8 19:24 -5 23
12 Lugazi Municipal 23 4 8 11 16:31 -15 20
13 UPDF 23 4 5 14 17:31 -14 17
14 Mbarara City 23 3 7 13 17:36 -19 16
15 Buhimba United Saints 23 4 3 16 16:48 -32 15
16 Calvary 22 1 6 15 9:33 -24 9

Team Form

Police have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 70% of their home matches compared to NEC's 40% away. The hosts hold a significant form advantage heading into this fixture.

Police (Home Form) NEC (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 7 (70%) 4 (40%)
Drawn 0 (0%) 3 (30%)
Lost 3 (30%) 3 (30%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Police (40% BTTS at home) and NEC (40% BTTS away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches this season. A clean sheet for one side looks the more likely outcome.

Police (Home Form) NEC (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 4 (40%) 4 (40%)

Match Goals

Police have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, NEC in 20% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Police (Home Form) NEC (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 8 (80%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Under Goals

Police (Home Form) NEC (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Under 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 8 (80%)
Under 3.5 Goals 9 (90%) 10 (100%)

Team Goals

Police have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, NEC in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Police (Home Form) NEC (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 8 (80%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 1 (10%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Police (Home Form) NEC (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Police (Home Form) NEC (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 16 (1.6 avg) 9 (0.9 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 8 (0.8 avg) 7 (0.7 avg)

Match Corners

Police have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 40% of home games, NEC in 30% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Police (Home Form) NEC (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 8.5 Corners 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 9.5 Corners 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 10.5 Corners 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 11.5 Corners 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Team Corners

Police have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

NEC have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of away matches.

Corners Won

Police (Home Form) NEC (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Police (Home Form) NEC (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Police and NEC. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

18 Oct 2025
NEC
2 – 2 HT: 1-0
Police
16 Feb 2025
Police
1 – 1 HT: 0-1
NEC
05 Nov 2024
NEC
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Police
10 Apr 2024
Police
0 – 2 HT: 0-1
NEC

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Police vs NEC across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Police 2.6
Draw 2.9
NEC 2.75

Half Time Result

Police 3.3
Draw 1.82
NEC 3.88

Double Chance

Police or Draw 1.32
Police or NEC 1.4
Draw or NEC 1.44

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2.06
No 1.78

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.57
Over 2.5 2.66
Over 3.5 5.7
Under 1.5 2.7
Under 2.5 1.53
Under 3.5 1.18

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.56
Over 1.5 3.4

Police Goals

Over 0.5 1.41
Over 1.5 2.98

NEC Goals

Over 0.5 1.47
Over 1.5 3.28

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • FC Bayern München vs VfB Stuttgart 16:30 BST | Bundesliga, Germany FC Bayern München have seen over 2.5 goals in 14/14 home matches this season · VfB Stuttgart have seen over 2.5 goals in 14/14 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    100% combined
  • Borussia Dortmund U19 vs Schalke 04 U19 10:00 BST | U19 Bundesliga, Germany Borussia Dortmund U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/10 home matches this season · Schalke 04 U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    90% combined
  • Sporting Cristal vs UTC Cajamarca 17:00 BST | Primera Division, Peru Sporting Cristal have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · UTC Cajamarca have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.7
    90% combined
  • Tainan City vs Tatung 08:30 BST | Taiwan Football Premier League, Taiwan Tainan City have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 home matches this season · Tatung have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 away matches this season · Odds: 1.57
    86% combined

Police vs NEC Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Police vs NEC?

Under 3.5 Goals — Police have stayed under 4 goals in 90% of home matches, NEC in 100% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

Which team is likely to win, Police or NEC?

Police hold a clear form advantage — they've won 70% of home games in Premier League this season, while NEC have won only 40% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Police and NEC?

Unlikely — Police (40% BTTS at home) and NEC (40% away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches in Premier League. A clean sheet for one side looks the more probable outcome.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Police and NEC?

Uncertain — Police have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, NEC in 20% of away games in Premier League. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Police or NEC?

Police have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 10% of home games compared to NEC's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Police and NEC?

Police have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 40% of home games, NEC in 30% of away games in Premier League. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

Discover match stats based on likely outcomes for the next 3–4 days.

Other Upcoming Fixtures

Mbarara City vs Maroons

📍 Premier League, Uganda

🕒 Tuesday 21st April, 14:00 BST

Buhimba United Saints vs Vipers

📍 Premier League, Uganda

🕒 Tuesday 21st April, 14:00 BST

BUL vs UPDF

📍 Premier League, Uganda

🕒 Tuesday 21st April, 14:00 BST

Police vs URA

📍 Premier League, Uganda

🕒 Tuesday 21st April, 14:00 BST

Entebbe UPPC vs KCCA

📍 Premier League, Uganda

🕒 Tuesday 21st April, 14:00 BST

Express FC vs NEC

📍 Premier League, Uganda

🕒 Tuesday 21st April, 18:00 BST

Kitara vs Calvary

📍 Premier League, Uganda

🕒 Wednesday 22nd April, 14:00 BST

Lugazi Municipal vs SC Villa

📍 Premier League, Uganda

🕒 Wednesday 22nd April, 14:00 BST

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