Police vs Tusker — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Premier League, Kenya
🕒 Monday 6th April, 12:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Tusker have a clear advantage in away form this season (6/10, 60%), while Police are less dominant at home (3/10, 30%). The visitors may have the edge — see our Away Win stats.

Both sides have rarely seen 3+ goals this season — Police at 10% at home and Tusker at 30% away. The numbers lean towards Under 2.5 Goals as the likely outcome.

Both teams rarely see both sides score — Police at 40% at home and Tusker at 30% away. Solid defensive records on both sides make BTTS – No a reasonable selection.

Both teams regularly see 8+ corners in recent games (80% and 80%) — Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals — Police have stayed under 3 goals in 90% of home games, Tusker in 70% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

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League Table

The full Premier League table for the 2025/2026 season, with Police (th) and Tusker (th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Premier League 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Gor Mahia 25 17 5 3 44:18 +26 56
2 Leopards 26 15 7 4 34:18 +16 52
3 Shabana 26 12 7 7 31:27 +4 43
4 Homeboyz 25 11 9 5 37:26 +11 42
5 Police H 25 10 10 5 22:17 +5 40
6 Murang'a SEAL 26 10 8 8 33:29 +4 38
7 Tusker A 25 11 4 10 23:25 -2 37
8 Bandari 26 8 13 5 21:18 +3 37
9 KCB 26 10 7 9 26:27 -1 37
10 Nairobi United 22 9 6 7 27:22 +5 33
11 Posta Rangers 26 7 10 9 23:31 -8 31
12 Mathare United 25 8 6 11 22:24 -2 30
13 Mara Sugar 25 6 12 7 23:24 -1 30
14 Kariobangi Sharks 26 5 10 11 18:29 -11 25
15 Ulinzi Stars 26 6 7 13 25:30 -5 25
16 Bidco United 26 4 10 12 16:29 -13 22
17 APS Bomet 24 3 9 12 22:32 -10 18
18 Sofapaka 26 3 6 17 15:36 -21 15

Team Form

Tusker have shown strong away form this season (60% wins), while Police have been less dominant at home (30%). The visitors may have the form edge in this one.

Police (Home Form) Tusker (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 3 (30%) 6 (60%)
Drawn 5 (50%) 0 (0%)
Lost 2 (20%) 4 (40%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Police (40% BTTS at home) and Tusker (30% BTTS away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches this season. A clean sheet for one side looks the more likely outcome.

Police (Home Form) Tusker (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 4 (40%) 3 (30%)

Match Goals

Police (10% Over 2.5 at home) and Tusker (30% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches this season. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

Over Goals

Police (Home Form) Tusker (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 8 (80%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Under Goals

Police (Home Form) Tusker (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Under 2.5 Goals 9 (90%) 7 (70%)
Under 3.5 Goals 10 (100%) 9 (90%)

Team Goals

Police have scored 2+ goals in 0% of home games this season, Tusker in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Police (Home Form) Tusker (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Police (Home Form) Tusker (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Police (Home Form) Tusker (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 8 (0.8 avg) 11 (1.1 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 7 (0.7 avg) 8 (0.8 avg)

Match Corners

Both Police (80% Over 7.5 at home) and Tusker (80% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

Police (Home Form) Tusker (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 8 (80%) 8 (80%)
Over 8.5 Corners 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Over 9.5 Corners 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 10.5 Corners 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

Police have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Tusker have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of away matches.

Corners Won

Police (Home Form) Tusker (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Police (Home Form) Tusker (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Puebla W vs Querétaro W 22:45 BST Puebla W have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/15 home matches this season · Querétaro W have seen over 2.5 goals in 12/15 away matches this season · Odds: 1.95
    76% combined
  • Kalsdorf vs FC Gleisdorf 18:00 BST Kalsdorf have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/10 home matches this season · FC Gleisdorf have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    73% combined
  • Linlithgow Rose vs Civil Service Strollers 19:45 BST Linlithgow Rose have seen over 2.5 goals in 12/15 home matches this season · Civil Service Strollers have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/14 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    72% combined
  • Újpest W vs Puskás W 14:30 BST Újpest W have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/8 home matches this season · Puskás W have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    68% combined
Acca odds (approx) 5.9
Explore all our tips & stats

Police vs Tusker Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Police vs Tusker?

Under 2.5 Goals — Police have stayed under 3 goals in 90% of home games, Tusker in 70% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, Police or Tusker?

Tusker arrive in the better form — winning 60% of away games in Premier League this season compared to Police's 30% at home. The visitors may have the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between Police and Tusker?

Unlikely — Police (40% BTTS at home) and Tusker (30% away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches in Premier League. A clean sheet for one side looks the more probable outcome.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Police and Tusker?

Unlikely — Police (10% Over 2.5 at home) and Tusker (30% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches in Premier League. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Police or Tusker?

Tusker have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 0% of away games compared to Police's 0% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Police and Tusker?

Police have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 60% of home games, Tusker in 50% of away games in Premier League. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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Home Win

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Mara Sugar vs Posta Rangers

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Murang'a SEAL vs Leopards

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Police vs Tusker

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Nairobi United vs Shabana

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"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

James T. (London, UK)

"I’m really impressed with the simplicity and focus of the stats on this site. Whether I’m checking for both teams to score or first half goals, I always get what I need quickly. It’s easy to navigate, and the range of stats really helps with my bets."

Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

"I love how this site makes betting easier by offering stats like home win, away win, and over 2.5 goals. The first half goals and team goals data have been particularly useful for me. If you’re into football betting, this is definitely worth checking out."

David H. (Glasgow, UK)

"I love the focus on stats like home goals over 1.5 and away goals over 1.5—these are the exact numbers I need before placing a bet. I’ve been able to use the over/under goals data to great effect. Highly recommend this site if you're looking for reliable stats."

Steve C. (Birmingham, UK)

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Luke H. (Cardiff, Wales)

"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

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