Police vs Tusker Football Stats

📍 Premier League, Kenya
🕒 Friday 3rd April, 14:15 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Police sit 5th in the table after 24 games, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per home match this season. Tusker are 9th after 23 games, averaging 0.7 scored and 1.2 conceded on the road. Police have won 5/10 home games (50%) this season; Tusker have won 3/10 on the road (30%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Both sides have been involved in low-scoring matches this season. Police have seen 3+ goals in only 20% of home fixtures; Tusker in 30% away. Police average 1.1 scored and 0.5 conceded at home, Tusker 0.7 and 1.2 on the road — the numbers point toward a tight game.

BTTS figures are mid-range for both sides — Police at 50% in home games (5/10), Tusker at 30% away (3/10). Neither a clear yes nor no based on the stats alone.

Corner data is available but trends are mixed — Police see 9+ corners in 20% of home games, Tusker in 50% away. No strong edge in this market for this fixture.

Our Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals — Police have stayed under 3 goals in 80% of home games, Tusker in 70% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

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League Table

The full Premier League table for the 2025/2026 season, with Police (5th) and Tusker (9th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Premier League 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Gor Mahia 34 20 9 5 50:22 +28 69
2 Leopards 34 19 7 8 44:28 +16 64
3 Police H 34 13 16 5 31:21 +10 55
4 Shabana 34 14 10 10 35:34 +1 52
5 Nairobi United 32 14 10 8 43:32 +11 52
6 Homeboyz 34 12 13 9 47:37 +10 49
7 KCB 34 13 9 12 36:37 -1 48
8 Murang'a SEAL 34 13 8 13 42:42 0 47
9 Tusker A 34 13 6 15 27:32 -5 45
10 Bandari 34 9 17 8 26:26 0 44
11 Mara Sugar 34 10 14 10 30:30 0 44
12 Mathare United 34 11 8 15 31:35 -4 41
13 Ulinzi Stars 34 11 8 15 35:37 -2 41
14 Posta Rangers 34 9 13 12 31:40 -9 40
15 APS Bomet 32 10 10 12 35:34 +1 40
16 Kariobangi Sharks 34 8 14 12 30:33 -3 38
17 Bidco United 34 5 12 17 19:40 -21 27
18 Sofapaka 34 3 10 21 19:51 -32 19

Team Form

Tusker have lost 70% of their away matches this season, while Police have been more solid at home (0% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

Police (Home Form) Tusker (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Drawn 5 (50%) 0 (0%)
Lost 0 (0%) 7 (70%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Police have seen both teams score in 50% of home games, Tusker in 30% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Police (Home Form) Tusker (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 5 (50%) 3 (30%)

Match Goals

Police (20% Over 2.5 at home) and Tusker (30% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches this season. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

Over Goals

Police (Home Form) Tusker (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 8 (80%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Under Goals

Police (Home Form) Tusker (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Under 2.5 Goals 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Under 3.5 Goals 10 (100%) 9 (90%)

Team Goals

Police have scored 2+ goals in 0% of home games this season, Tusker in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Police (Home Form) Tusker (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 8 (80%) 4 (40%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Police (Home Form) Tusker (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 5 (50%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Police (Home Form) Tusker (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 11 (1.1 avg) 7 (0.7 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 5 (0.5 avg) 12 (1.2 avg)

Match Corners

Tusker frequently reach high corner counts away from home (70%), while Police are lower at home (30%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Police (Home Form) Tusker (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 5 (50%) 9 (90%)
Over 8.5 Corners 3 (30%) 7 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Over 10.5 Corners 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Team Corners

Police have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Tusker have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of away matches.

Corners Won

Police (Home Form) Tusker (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Police (Home Form) Tusker (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 7 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Police and Tusker. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

16 Nov 2025
Tusker
1 – 2 HT: 0-2
Police
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
08 Feb 2025
Tusker
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Police
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
29 Sep 2024
Police
1 – 1 HT: 1-0
Tusker
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
18 May 2024
Police
0 – 1 HT: 0-1
Tusker
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
20 Dec 2023
Tusker
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Police
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
15 Apr 2023
Tusker
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Police
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
28 Jan 2023
Police
3 – 0 HT: 3-0
Tusker
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
29 Oct 2022
Police
2 – 2 HT: 0-0
Tusker
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
05 Mar 2022
Tusker
1 – 1 HT: 1-1
Police
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
03 Nov 2021
Police
1 – 2 HT: 1-2
Tusker
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Police vs Tusker across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Police 2.38
Draw 2.73
Tusker 3.13

Half Time Result

Police 3.2
Draw 1.83
Tusker 3.75

Double Chance

Police or Draw 1.3
Police or Tusker 1.4
Draw or Tusker 1.5

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2.15
No 1.6

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.62
Over 2.5 2.76
Over 3.5 5.75
Under 1.5 2.25
Under 2.5 1.36
Under 3.5 1.14

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.55
Over 1.5 3.9

Police Goals

Over 0.5 1.42
Over 1.5 2.98

Tusker Goals

Over 0.5 1.54
Over 1.5 3.9

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Lake Macquarie City W vs Charlestown Azzurri W 11:00 BST | Northern NSW NPL Women, Australia Lake Macquarie City W have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 home matches this season · Charlestown Azzurri W have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    100% combined
  • Tuggeranong United U23 vs Monaro Panthers U23 08:30 BST | Capital Territory NPL Youth League, Australia Tuggeranong United U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Monaro Panthers U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    91% combined
  • Tuggeranong United vs Monaro Panthers 10:30 BST | Capital Territory, Australia Tuggeranong United have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Monaro Panthers have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    91% combined
  • Sydney Olympic U20 vs SD Raiders U20 08:30 BST | New South Wales NPL Youth League, Australia Sydney Olympic U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 home matches this season · SD Raiders U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    85% combined
Acca odds (approx) 3.33
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Police vs Tusker Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Police vs Tusker?

Under 2.5 Goals — Police have stayed under 3 goals in 80% of home games, Tusker in 70% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, Police or Tusker?

Police have a slight form edge at home (50% wins) over Tusker on the road (30% wins) in Premier League. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Police and Tusker?

Mixed — Police have seen BTTS in 50% of home games, Tusker in 30% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Premier League fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Police and Tusker?

Unlikely — Police (20% Over 2.5 at home) and Tusker (30% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches in Premier League. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Police or Tusker?

Tusker have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 0% of away games compared to Police's 0% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Police and Tusker?

Possibly — Tusker frequently reach high corner counts away (70%), while Police are lower at home (30%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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Over 2.5 Goals

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Over 1.5 Goals

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Match Stats

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