Police vs UPDF Football Stats

📍 Premier League, Uganda
🕒 Wednesday 29th April, 14:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Police to Win

Police sit 6th in the table after 22 games, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per home match this season. UPDF are 12th after 21 games, averaging 0.9 scored and 1.8 conceded on the road. Police have the stronger home record this season (6/10, 60%) against a UPDF side who've won 1/10 away (10%).

Police have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 20% of home games this season (2/10); UPDF in 50% away (5/10). Police average 1.2 scored and 0.6 conceded at home, UPDF 0.9 and 1.8 on the road.

Both sides have solid defensive records in context. Police have seen BTTS in only 30% of home games (3/10); UPDF in 40% away (4/10). At least one clean sheet looks likely.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season — Police see 8+ in 70% of home games, UPDF in 70% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Police to Win — Police have won 6/10 home games this season (60%), while UPDF have lost 7/10 away (70%). A strong statistical case for the home side.

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League Table

The full Premier League table for the 2025/2026 season, with Police (6th) and UPDF (12th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Premier League 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Vipers 29 19 10 0 55:14 +41 67
2 KCCA 30 19 5 6 46:22 +24 62
3 SC Villa 29 17 7 5 44:17 +27 58
4 Kitara 29 15 8 6 40:22 +18 53
5 Entebbe UPPC 30 14 9 7 30:20 +10 51
6 NEC 29 13 11 5 29:22 +7 50
7 Police H 30 13 8 9 42:35 +7 47
8 Maroons 30 9 11 10 26:27 -1 38
9 BUL 30 9 10 11 30:33 -3 37
10 Express FC 30 9 10 11 28:31 -3 37
11 URA 30 5 16 9 27:30 -3 31
12 Mbarara City 30 6 8 16 26:47 -21 26
13 Lugazi Municipal 30 5 10 15 19:36 -17 25
14 UPDF A 30 5 7 18 24:41 -17 22
15 Calvary 29 4 9 16 14:36 -22 21
16 Buhimba United Saints 29 4 3 22 16:63 -47 15

Team Form

Police hold a clear edge in home form this season (60% wins), while UPDF have been less consistent on the road (10%). Home advantage could be decisive here.

Police (Home Form) UPDF (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 6 (60%) 1 (10%)
Drawn 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Lost 2 (20%) 7 (70%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Police (30% BTTS at home) and UPDF (40% BTTS away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches this season. A clean sheet for one side looks the more likely outcome.

Police (Home Form) UPDF (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 3 (30%) 4 (40%)

Match Goals

Police have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 20% of home games, UPDF in 50% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Police (Home Form) UPDF (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals 0 (0%) 3 (30%)

Under Goals

Police (Home Form) UPDF (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals 8 (80%) 5 (50%)
Under 3.5 Goals 10 (100%) 7 (70%)

Team Goals

Police have scored 2+ goals in 0% of home games this season, UPDF in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Police (Home Form) UPDF (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 7 (70%) 4 (40%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Police (Home Form) UPDF (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 5 (50%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goal Totals

Police (Home Form) UPDF (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 12 (1.2 avg) 9 (0.9 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 6 (0.6 avg) 18 (1.8 avg)

Match Corners

Both Police (70% Over 7.5 at home) and UPDF (70% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

Police (Home Form) UPDF (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 8.5 Corners 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Over 9.5 Corners 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 10.5 Corners 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 12.5 Corners 3 (30%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

Police have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 50% of home matches.

UPDF have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of away matches.

Corners Won

Police (Home Form) UPDF (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Police (Home Form) UPDF (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 5 (50%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 5 (50%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 1 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Police and UPDF. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

06 Nov 2025
UPDF
1 – 2 HT: 0-0
Police
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
15 May 2025
Police
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
UPDF
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
27 Nov 2024
UPDF
2 – 2 HT: 1-2
Police
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
10 Feb 2022
Police
2 – 2 HT: 0-2
UPDF
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
04 Jan 2022
UPDF
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Police
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
14 Apr 2021
Police
3 – 0 HT: 2-0
UPDF
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
19 Dec 2020
UPDF
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Police
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Police vs UPDF across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Police 1.95
Draw 3.95
UPDF 4.2

Half Time Result

Police 2.25
Draw 2.32
UPDF 4.26

Double Chance

Police or Draw 1.18
Police or UPDF 1.17
Draw or UPDF 1.91

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.88
No 2.06

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.34
Over 2.5 1.9
Over 3.5 3.6
Under 1.5 3.8
Under 2.5 1.9
Under 3.5 1.35

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.35
Over 1.5 2.67

Police Goals

Over 0.5 1.12
Over 1.5 1.94

UPDF Goals

Over 0.5 1.49
Over 1.5 3.28

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Lake Macquarie City W vs Charlestown Azzurri W 11:00 BST | Northern NSW NPL Women, Australia Lake Macquarie City W have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 home matches this season · Charlestown Azzurri W have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    100% combined
  • Tuggeranong United U23 vs Monaro Panthers U23 08:30 BST | Capital Territory NPL Youth League, Australia Tuggeranong United U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Monaro Panthers U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    91% combined
  • Tuggeranong United vs Monaro Panthers 10:30 BST | Capital Territory, Australia Tuggeranong United have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Monaro Panthers have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    91% combined
  • Sydney Olympic U20 vs SD Raiders U20 08:30 BST | New South Wales NPL Youth League, Australia Sydney Olympic U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 home matches this season · SD Raiders U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    85% combined
Acca odds (approx) 3.33
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Police vs UPDF Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Police vs UPDF?

Police to Win — they've won 6/10 (60%) of their last 10 home games, while UPDF have lost 7/10 (70%) of their last 10 away matches. A strong statistical case for the home side.

Which team is likely to win, Police or UPDF?

Police hold a clear form advantage — they've won 60% of home games in Premier League this season, while UPDF have won only 10% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Police and UPDF?

Unlikely — Police (30% BTTS at home) and UPDF (40% away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches in Premier League. A clean sheet for one side looks the more probable outcome.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Police and UPDF?

Uncertain — Police have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 20% of home games, UPDF in 50% of away games in Premier League. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Police or UPDF?

UPDF have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 10% of away games compared to Police's 0% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Police and UPDF?

Police have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 60% of home games, UPDF in 40% of away games in Premier League. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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All Stats

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Over 2.5 Goals

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Both Teams to Score

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Home Win

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Over 1.5 Goals

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10 Teams to Win Today

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