Portland Thorns W vs Bay FC W

📍 NWSL, United States
🕒 Thursday 21st May, 03:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 3.5 Goals

Portland Thorns W sit 2nd in the table after 7 games, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per home match this season. Bay FC W are 11th after 5 games, averaging 1 scored and 1.4 conceded on the road. Portland Thorns W have the stronger home record this season (7/10, 70%) against a Bay FC W side who've won 2/10 away (20%).

Both sides consistently see 2+ goals — Portland Thorns W in 90% of home games, Bay FC W in 80% away. Three or more is less certain, but Over 1.5 Goals is well supported by the data from both sides.

Bay FC W regularly see both teams score in away fixtures (70%, 7/10). Portland Thorns W are lower at home (40%, 4/10) — they've conceded in 50% of home games, which keeps BTTS in play.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season — Portland Thorns W see 8+ in 90% of home games, Bay FC W in 70% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Under 3.5 Goals — Portland Thorns W have stayed under 4 goals in 90% of home matches, Bay FC W in 90% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

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League Table

The full NWSL table for the 2026 season, with Portland Thorns W (2nd) and Bay FC W (11th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

NWSL 2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 San Diego Wave W 10 7 0 3 15:10 +5 21
2 Portland Thorns W H 9 6 1 2 15:9 +6 19
3 Washington Spirit W 10 5 3 2 16:8 +8 18
4 Gotham FC W 10 5 3 2 11:5 +6 18
5 Utah Royals W 9 5 2 2 12:6 +6 17
6 Kansas City Current W 9 5 0 4 13:14 -1 15
7 North Carolina Courage W 9 3 3 3 13:11 +2 12
8 Denver Summit W 9 3 3 3 15:11 +4 12
9 Orlando Pride W 10 3 2 5 14:16 -2 11
10 Seattle Reign W 9 3 2 4 7:10 -3 11
11 Bay FC W A 8 3 2 3 8:11 -3 11
12 Houston Dash W 9 3 1 5 10:15 -5 10
13 Angel City W 7 3 0 4 12:9 +3 9
14 Boston Legacy W 10 2 3 5 10:16 -6 9
15 Racing Louisville W 8 2 1 5 13:15 -2 7
16 Chicago Stars W 10 2 0 8 4:22 -18 6

Team Form

Portland Thorns W have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 70% of their home matches compared to Bay FC W's 20% away. The hosts hold a significant form advantage heading into this fixture.

Portland Thorns W (Home Form) Bay FC W (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 7 (70%) 2 (20%)
Drawn 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Lost 2 (20%) 5 (50%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Bay FC W regularly see both teams score in away matches (70%), while Portland Thorns W are lower at home (40%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Portland Thorns W (Home Form) Bay FC W (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 4 (40%) 7 (70%)

Match Goals

Both sides regularly see 2+ goals in their matches (Portland Thorns W 90% at home, Bay FC W 80% away), though 3+ is less consistent. Over 1.5 Goals looks the more reliable selection.

Over Goals

Portland Thorns W (Home Form) Bay FC W (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 9 (90%) 8 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Under Goals

Portland Thorns W (Home Form) Bay FC W (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals 7 (70%) 5 (50%)
Under 3.5 Goals 9 (90%) 9 (90%)

Team Goals

Portland Thorns W have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Bay FC W in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Portland Thorns W (Home Form) Bay FC W (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 9 (90%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 1 (10%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Portland Thorns W (Home Form) Bay FC W (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 5 (50%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Portland Thorns W (Home Form) Bay FC W (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 17 (1.7 avg) 10 (1 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 8 (0.8 avg) 14 (1.4 avg)

Match Corners

Portland Thorns W regularly reach high corner counts at home (80%), while Bay FC W are lower on the road (50%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

Portland Thorns W (Home Form) Bay FC W (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 9 (90%) 7 (70%)
Over 8.5 Corners 8 (80%) 5 (50%)
Over 9.5 Corners 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 10.5 Corners 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 4 (40%)

Team Corners

Portland Thorns W have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of home matches.

Bay FC W have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of away matches.

Corners Won

Portland Thorns W (Home Form) Bay FC W (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Portland Thorns W (Home Form) Bay FC W (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 8 (80%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 3 (30%)

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Tanjong Pagar vs Hougang United 12:30 BST | Premier League, Singapore Tanjong Pagar have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/10 home matches this season · Hougang United have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/10 away matches this season · Odds: 1.33
    80% combined
  • Bahia U20 vs Atletico-PR U20 19:00 BST | Brasileiro U20, Brazil Bahia U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 home matches this season · Atletico-PR U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.6
    73% combined
  • Farul Constanța vs Metaloglobus 18:30 BST | Superliga, Romania Farul Constanța have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/19 home matches this season · Metaloglobus have seen over 2.5 goals in 16/19 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    68% combined
  • Arsenal vs Burnley 20:00 BST | Premier League, England Arsenal have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/18 home matches this season · Burnley have seen over 2.5 goals in 13/18 away matches this season · Odds: 1.33
    66% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.08
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Portland Thorns W vs Bay FC W Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Portland Thorns W vs Bay FC W?

Under 3.5 Goals — Portland Thorns W have stayed under 4 goals in 90% of home matches, Bay FC W in 90% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

Which team is likely to win, Portland Thorns W or Bay FC W?

Portland Thorns W hold a clear form advantage — they've won 70% of home games in NWSL this season, while Bay FC W have won only 20% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Portland Thorns W and Bay FC W?

Possibly — Bay FC W regularly see both teams score away (70%), while Portland Thorns W are lower at home (40%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Portland Thorns W and Bay FC W?

Uncertain — Portland Thorns W have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 30% of home games, Bay FC W in 50% of away games in NWSL. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Portland Thorns W or Bay FC W?

Bay FC W have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 10% of away games compared to Portland Thorns W's 10% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Portland Thorns W and Bay FC W?

Possibly — Portland Thorns W regularly reach high corner counts at home (80%), while Bay FC W are lower on the road (50%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

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Match Stats

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Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

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Luke H. (Cardiff, Wales)

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Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

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