Porto vs Estrela Amadora | Betting Tips, Predictions & Stats (, Liga Portugal)

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Porto to Win

Porto sit 1st in the table after 11 games, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per home match this season. Estrela Amadora are 13th after 11 games, averaging 1 scored and 1.9 conceded on the road. The home record backs Porto strongly — they've won 7/10 home games (70%), while Estrela Amadora have lost 6/10 on the road (60%).

Porto have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 30% of home games this season (3/10); Estrela Amadora in 60% away (6/10). Porto average 1.6 scored and 0.4 conceded at home, Estrela Amadora 1 and 1.9 on the road.

Estrela Amadora regularly see both teams score in away fixtures (60%, 6/10). Porto are lower at home (30%, 3/10) — they've conceded in 30% of home games, which keeps BTTS in play.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season — Porto see 8+ in 60% of home games, Estrela Amadora in 70% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Porto to Win — Porto have won 7/10 home games this season (70%), while Estrela Amadora have lost 6/10 away (60%). A strong statistical case for the home side.

League Table

The full Liga Portugal table for the 2025/2026 season, with Porto (1st) and Estrela Amadora (13th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Liga Portugal 2025/2026

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Porto H	34	28	4	2	66:18	+48	88
2	Sporting CP	34	25	7	2	89:24	+65	82
3	Benfica	34	23	11	0	74:25	+49	80
4	Sporting Braga	34	16	11	7	64:36	+28	59
5	Famalicão	34	15	11	8	42:29	+13	56
6	Gil Vicente	34	13	11	10	47:38	+9	50
7	Moreirense	34	12	7	15	37:49	-12	43
8	Vitória Guimarães	34	12	6	16	39:51	-12	42
9	Arouca	34	12	6	16	47:64	-17	42
10	Estoril	34	10	9	15	54:57	-3	39
11	Alverca	34	10	9	15	35:52	-17	39
12	Rio Ave	34	8	12	14	35:57	-22	36
13	Santa Clara	34	9	9	16	32:41	-9	36
14	Nacional	34	9	7	18	37:45	-8	34
15	Casa Pia	34	6	12	16	31:57	-26	30
16	Estrela Amadora A	34	6	12	16	38:56	-18	30
17	Tondela	34	6	10	18	27:55	-28	28
18	AVS	34	3	12	19	27:67	-40	21

Team Form

Porto have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 70% of their home matches compared to Estrela Amadora's 10% away. The hosts hold a significant form advantage heading into this fixture.

	Porto (Home Form)	Estrela Amadora (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Won	7 (70%)	1 (10%)
Drawn	3 (30%)	3 (30%)
Lost	0 (0%)	6 (60%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Estrela Amadora regularly see both teams score in away matches (60%), while Porto are lower at home (30%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

	Porto (Home Form)	Estrela Amadora (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)	3 (30%)	6 (60%)

Match Goals

Porto have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 30% of home games, Estrela Amadora in 60% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

	Porto (Home Form)	Estrela Amadora (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Over 0.5 Goals	9 (90%)	9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals	6 (60%)	8 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals	3 (30%)	6 (60%)
Over 3.5 Goals	2 (20%)	4 (40%)

Under Goals

	Porto (Home Form)	Estrela Amadora (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Under 0.5 Goals	1 (10%)	1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals	4 (40%)	2 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals	7 (70%)	4 (40%)
Under 3.5 Goals	8 (80%)	6 (60%)

Team Goals

Porto have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Estrela Amadora in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

	Porto (Home Form)	Estrela Amadora (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored	9 (90%)	6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored	5 (50%)	3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored	2 (20%)	1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored	0 (0%)	0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

	Porto (Home Form)	Estrela Amadora (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded	3 (30%)	9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded	1 (10%)	7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded	0 (0%)	2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded	0 (0%)	1 (10%)

Goal Totals

	Porto (Home Form)	Estrela Amadora (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Total Goals Scored	16 (1.6 avg)	10 (1 avg)
Total Goals Conceded	4 (0.4 avg)	19 (1.9 avg)

Match Corners

Both Porto (60% Over 7.5 at home) and Estrela Amadora (70% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

	Porto (Home Form)	Estrela Amadora (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Over 7.5 Corners	6 (60%)	7 (70%)
Over 8.5 Corners	6 (60%)	6 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners	5 (50%)	6 (60%)
Over 10.5 Corners	4 (40%)	6 (60%)
Over 11.5 Corners	2 (20%)	3 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners	2 (20%)	3 (30%)

Team Corners

Porto have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Estrela Amadora have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), while conceding 6+ corners in 60% of away matches — the home side can expect some set-piece chances.

Corners Won

	Porto (Home Form)	Estrela Amadora (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Over 4.5 Corners For	7 (70%)	2 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners For	4 (40%)	2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For	3 (30%)	1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For	3 (30%)	1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For	1 (10%)	1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

	Porto (Home Form)	Estrela Amadora (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Over 4.5 Corners Against	2 (20%)	8 (80%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against	1 (10%)	7 (70%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against	1 (10%)	6 (60%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against	1 (10%)	4 (40%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against	1 (10%)	4 (40%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Porto and Estrela Amadora. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

26th Apr, 2025

Estrela Amadora

2 – 0 HT: 1-0

Porto

Corners 5–11 Cards 5–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

16th Dec, 2024

Porto

2 – 0 HT: 1-0

Estrela Amadora

Corners 11–4 Cards 0–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

17th Feb, 2024

Porto

2 – 0 HT: 1-0

Estrela Amadora

Corners 8–6 Cards 0–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

15th Sep, 2023

Estrela Amadora

0 – 1 HT: 0-1

Porto

Corners 10–6 Cards 3–5 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

22nd Apr, 2009

Estrela Amadora

2 – 1 HT: 2-1

Porto