Preston North End vs Derby County

📍 Championship, England
🕒 Saturday 17th January, 15:00 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

Preston North End sit 5th in the table after 23 games, averaging 0.9 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per home match this season. Derby County are 13th after 23 games, averaging 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded on the road. Preston North End have won 2/10 home games (20%) this season; Derby County have won 4/10 on the road (40%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Derby County have featured in high-scoring away games this season — Over 2.5 Goals in 70% of their away fixtures (7/10). Preston North End are lower at home (50%, 5/10), averaging 0.9 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Derby County regularly see both teams score in away fixtures (60%, 6/10). Preston North End are lower at home (50%, 5/10) — they've conceded in 90% of home games, which keeps BTTS in play.

Preston North End regularly generate high corner counts at home (10+ corners in 80% of fixtures, 8/10). Derby County are lower on the road (30%). The home side's attacking style tends to produce set-piece volume regardless of the opponent.

Our Prediction: Over 1.5 Goals — Preston North End see 2+ goals in 80% of home games, Derby County in 80% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

League Table

The full Championship table for the 2025/2026 season, with Preston North End (5th) and Derby County (13th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Championship 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Coventry City 46 28 11 7 97:45 +52 95
2 Ipswich Town 46 23 15 8 80:47 +33 84
3 Millwall 47 24 12 11 64:49 +15 84
4 Middlesbrough 46 22 14 10 72:47 +25 80
5 Southampton 46 22 14 10 82:56 +26 80
6 Hull City 47 21 11 15 70:66 +4 74
7 Wrexham 46 19 14 13 69:65 +4 71
8 Derby County A 46 20 9 17 67:59 +8 69
9 Norwich City 46 19 8 19 63:56 +7 65
10 Birmingham City 46 17 13 16 57:56 +1 64
11 Swansea City 46 18 10 18 57:59 -2 64
12 Bristol City 46 17 11 18 59:59 0 62
13 Sheffield United 46 18 6 22 66:66 0 60
14 Preston North End H 46 15 15 16 55:62 -7 60
15 Queens Park Rangers 46 16 10 20 61:73 -12 58
16 Watford 46 14 15 17 53:65 -12 57
17 Portsmouth 46 14 13 19 49:64 -15 55
18 Stoke City 46 15 10 21 51:56 -5 55
19 Charlton Athletic 46 13 14 19 44:58 -14 53
20 West Bromwich Albion 46 13 14 19 48:58 -10 53
21 Leicester City 46 12 16 18 58:68 -10 52
22 Blackburn Rovers 46 13 13 20 42:56 -14 52
23 Oxford United 46 11 14 21 45:59 -14 47
24 Sheffield Wednesday 46 2 12 32 29:89 -60 18

Team Form

Preston North End have won 20% of home games this season, Derby County 40% away. The form table below gives the full picture heading into this match.

Preston North End (Home Form) Derby County (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Drawn 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Lost 6 (60%) 6 (60%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Derby County regularly see both teams score in away matches (60%), while Preston North End are lower at home (50%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Preston North End (Home Form) Derby County (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 5 (50%) 6 (60%)

Match Goals

Derby County regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Preston North End are lower at home (50%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Over Goals

Preston North End (Home Form) Derby County (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 8 (80%) 8 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Over 3.5 Goals 4 (40%) 4 (40%)

Under Goals

Preston North End (Home Form) Derby County (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Under 3.5 Goals 6 (60%) 6 (60%)

Team Goals

Preston North End have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Derby County in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Preston North End (Home Form) Derby County (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Preston North End (Home Form) Derby County (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 9 (90%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goal Totals

Preston North End (Home Form) Derby County (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 9 (0.9 avg) 17 (1.7 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 18 (1.8 avg) 17 (1.7 avg)

Match Corners

Preston North End regularly reach high corner counts at home (80%), while Derby County are lower on the road (30%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

Preston North End (Home Form) Derby County (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 10 (100%) 5 (50%)
Over 8.5 Corners 8 (80%) 3 (30%)
Over 9.5 Corners 8 (80%) 3 (30%)
Over 10.5 Corners 8 (80%) 2 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners 8 (80%) 2 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners 7 (70%) 2 (20%)

Team Corners

Preston North End have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 50% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of home matches.

Derby County have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of away matches.

Corners Won

Preston North End (Home Form) Derby County (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 7 (70%) 1 (10%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 1 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Preston North End (Home Form) Derby County (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 10 (100%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 8 (80%) 6 (60%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 2 (20%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Preston North End and Derby County. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

20 Sep 2025
Derby County
0 – 1 HT: 0-1
Preston North End
02 Apr 2025
Derby County
2 – 0 HT: 0-0
Preston North End
23 Nov 2024
Preston North End
1 – 1 HT: 1-1
Derby County
02 Apr 2022
Derby County
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Preston North End
16 Oct 2021
Preston North End
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Derby County
20 Apr 2021
Preston North End
3 – 0 HT: 1-0
Derby County
26 Dec 2020
Derby County
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Preston North End
15 Sep 2020
Derby County
1 – 2 HT: 0-0
Preston North End
01 Jul 2020
Preston North End
0 – 1 HT: 0-1
Derby County
23 Nov 2019
Derby County
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Preston North End

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Preston North End vs Derby County across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Preston North End 2.4
Draw 3.15
Derby County 3.5

Half Time Result

Preston North End 3.1
Draw 2.07
Derby County 4.21

Double Chance

Preston North End or Draw 1.28
Preston North End or Derby County 1.39
Draw or Derby County 1.66

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.9
No 1.8

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.47
Over 2.5 2.4
Over 3.5 4.8
Under 1.5 2.83
Under 2.5 1.57
Under 3.5 1.24

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.51
Over 1.5 3.5

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.24
Over 9.5 1.41
Over 10.5 1.67
Over 11.5 2.05

Preston North End Goals

Over 0.5 1.31
Over 1.5 2.74

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5 1.51
Over 1.5 3.5

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Balestier Khalsa vs Tanjong Pagar 12:30 BST | Premier League, Singapore Balestier Khalsa have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/10 home matches this season · Tanjong Pagar have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.33
    94% combined
  • Roda JC U21 vs MVV U21 13:30 BST | U21 Divisie 4, Netherlands Roda JC U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 12/12 home matches this season · MVV U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    91% combined
  • Phoenix vs Tabasalu 17:00 BST | Esiliiga B, Estonia Phoenix have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 home matches this season · Tabasalu have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.2
    91% combined
  • Bettembourg W vs Ell W 16:00 BST | Ligue 1 Women, Luxembourg Bettembourg W have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/10 home matches this season · Ell W have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.36
    86% combined

Preston North End vs Derby County Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Preston North End vs Derby County?

Over 1.5 Goals — Preston North End see 2+ goals in 80% of home games, Derby County in 80% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Preston North End or Derby County?

Derby County hold a slight form advantage away (40% wins) over Preston North End at home (20% wins) in Championship. A competitive fixture with the visitors potentially having the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between Preston North End and Derby County?

Mixed — Preston North End have seen BTTS in 50% of home games, Derby County in 60% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Championship fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Preston North End and Derby County?

Possibly — Derby County regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Preston North End are lower at home (50%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Preston North End or Derby County?

Derby County have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of away games compared to Preston North End's 10% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Preston North End and Derby County?

Possibly — Preston North End regularly reach high corner counts at home (80%), while Derby County are lower on the road (30%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

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