PSV vs Atlético Madrid — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Champions League, Europe
🕒 Tuesday 9th December, 20:00 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals

PSV have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 7/10 home matches (70%). Atlético Madrid have struggled on the road, winning only 3/10 away games (30%). The hosts look strong favourites — see our Home Win stats.

PSV consistently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 Goals in 100%), while Atlético Madrid are lower on the road (60%). The hosts' attacking threat could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

PSV often see both teams score at home (80%), while Atlético Madrid are less consistent on the road (40%). There's still a reasonable case for BTTS – Yes, mainly driven by the home side's open style.

High corner counts are common for both teams (80% and 80%), making Over 9.5 Corners a strong choice. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Our Prediction: Over 2.5 Goals — PSV have seen 3+ goals in 100% of home games, Atlético Madrid in 60% of away games. The numbers suggest an open, high-scoring fixture.

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See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

The full Champions League table for the 2025/2026 season, with PSV (21th) and Atlético Madrid (8th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Champions League 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Arsenal 10 9 1 0 26:5 +21 28
2 Real Madrid 12 9 0 3 29:14 +15 27
3 FC Bayern München 10 9 0 1 32:10 +22 27
4 Qarabağ 16 8 1 7 31:35 -4 25
5 Paris Saint Germain 12 7 3 2 34:17 +17 24
6 Club Brugge 14 7 2 5 32:27 +5 23
7 Pafos FC 14 6 5 3 16:14 +2 23
8 FC København 14 6 4 4 23:22 +1 22
9 Newcastle United 12 6 3 3 29:18 +11 21
10 Liverpool 10 7 0 3 24:9 +15 21
11 Bodø / Glimt 14 6 3 5 28:24 +4 21
12 FC Barcelona 10 6 2 2 30:17 +13 20
13 Atlético Madrid A 12 6 2 4 31:24 +7 20
14 Tottenham Hotspur 10 6 2 2 22:14 +8 20
15 Benfica 14 6 1 7 16:15 +1 19
16 Sporting CP 10 6 1 3 22:14 +8 19
17 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 12 4 5 3 16:17 -1 17
18 Galatasaray 12 5 1 6 17:20 -3 16
19 Manchester City 10 5 1 4 16:14 +2 16
20 Juventus 10 4 4 2 19:17 +2 16
21 Chelsea 10 5 1 4 19:18 +1 16
22 Atalanta 12 5 1 6 16:23 -7 16
23 Inter 10 5 0 5 17:12 +5 15
24 Borussia Dortmund 10 4 2 4 22:21 +1 14
25 Ferencvárosi 6 4 1 1 13:9 +4 13
26 Kairat 16 3 4 9 14:26 -12 13
27 Malmö FF 6 4 1 1 11:8 +3 13
28 Olympiacos F.C. 10 3 3 4 10:16 -6 12
29 Monaco 10 2 5 3 12:19 -7 11
30 Crvena Zvezda 6 3 2 1 12:6 +6 11
31 Skendija 79 6 3 1 2 6:8 -2 10
32 Ludogorets 6 2 3 1 6:6 0 9
33 Olympique Marseille 8 3 0 5 11:14 -3 9
34 Union Saint-Gilloise 8 3 0 5 8:17 -9 9
35 PSV H 8 2 2 4 16:16 0 8
36 Athletic Club 8 2 2 4 9:14 -5 8
37 Napoli 8 2 2 4 9:15 -6 8
38 Rangers 6 2 1 3 8:12 -4 7
39 KuPS 4 2 1 1 3:3 0 7
40 Slovan Bratislava 4 2 1 1 7:3 +4 7
41 Zrinjski 4 2 1 1 6:7 -1 7
42 Lech Poznań 4 2 1 1 10:5 +5 7
43 Ajax 8 2 0 6 8:21 -13 6
44 Dynamo Kyiv 4 2 0 2 6:3 +3 6
45 Viktoria Plzeň 4 2 0 2 5:6 -1 6
46 Drita 4 2 0 2 4:5 -1 6
47 Rīgas FS 4 2 0 2 3:5 -2 6
48 Lincoln Red Imps 4 2 0 2 5:8 -3 6
49 Salzburg 4 1 1 2 7:6 +1 4
50 Fenerbahçe 4 1 1 2 6:5 +1 4
51 Shelbourne 4 1 1 2 2:5 -3 4
52 Eintracht Frankfurt 8 1 1 6 10:21 -11 4
53 Noah 4 1 1 2 7:8 -1 4
54 Feyenoord 2 1 0 1 4:6 -2 3
55 Hamrun Spartans 4 1 0 3 2:8 -6 3
56 Servette 2 1 0 1 2:3 -1 3
57 Sturm Graz 2 1 0 1 2:6 -4 3
58 FCSB 4 1 0 3 5:6 -1 3
59 Žalgiris 2 1 0 1 2:2 0 3
60 Inter Club d'Escaldes 2 1 0 1 3:4 -1 3
61 Breidablik 4 1 0 3 6:9 -3 3
62 Egnatia Rrogozhinë 2 1 0 1 1:5 -4 3
63 Slavia Praha 8 0 3 5 5:19 -14 3
64 Celtic 2 0 2 0 0:0 0 2
65 Brann 2 0 1 1 2:5 -3 1
66 Basel 2 0 1 1 1:3 -2 1
67 Villarreal 8 0 1 7 5:18 -13 1
68 Maccabi Tel Aviv 2 0 1 1 1:2 -1 1
69 Dinamo Minsk 2 0 1 1 2:3 -1 1
70 Rijeka 2 0 1 1 1:3 -2 1
71 Panathinaikos 2 0 1 1 1:3 -2 1
72 Olimpija 2 0 1 1 1:3 -2 1
73 Budućnost 2 0 1 1 2:3 -1 1
74 The New Saints 2 0 1 1 1:2 -1 1
75 Linfield 2 0 1 1 1:2 -1 1
76 Milsami 2 0 1 1 0:1 -1 1
77 Nice 2 0 0 2 0:4 -4 0
78 FC Iberia 1999 2 0 0 2 2:6 -4 0
79 Virtus 2 0 0 2 1:4 -3 0
80 Differdange 03 2 0 0 2 2:4 -2 0
81 Levadia 2 0 0 2 0:2 -2 0
82 Víkingur 2 0 0 2 2:4 -2 0

Team Form

PSV have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 70% of their home matches compared to Atlético Madrid's 30% away. The hosts hold a significant form advantage heading into this fixture.

PSV (Home Form) Atlético Madrid (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 7 (70%) 3 (30%)
Drawn 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Lost 2 (20%) 4 (40%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

PSV frequently see both teams score at home (80%), while Atlético Madrid are less consistent on the road (40%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

PSV (Home Form) Atlético Madrid (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 8 (80%) 4 (40%)

Match Goals

PSV frequently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 in 100%), while Atlético Madrid are lower on the road (60%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Over Goals

PSV (Home Form) Atlético Madrid (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 10 (100%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals 10 (100%) 6 (60%)
Over 3.5 Goals 6 (60%) 4 (40%)

Under Goals

PSV (Home Form) Atlético Madrid (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 0 (0%) 3 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals 0 (0%) 4 (40%)
Under 3.5 Goals 4 (40%) 6 (60%)

Team Goals

PSV have scored 2+ goals in 60% of home games this season, Atlético Madrid in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

PSV (Home Form) Atlético Madrid (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 10 (100%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 9 (90%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 1 (10%)

Goals Conceded

PSV (Home Form) Atlético Madrid (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 8 (80%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

PSV (Home Form) Atlético Madrid (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 29 (2.9 avg) 15 (1.5 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 14 (1.4 avg) 16 (1.6 avg)

Match Corners

Both PSV (80% Over 8.5 at home) and Atlético Madrid (80% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches. Expect plenty of set-piece opportunities from both sides.

PSV (Home Form) Atlético Madrid (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 9 (90%) 9 (90%)
Over 8.5 Corners 8 (80%) 8 (80%)
Over 9.5 Corners 8 (80%) 8 (80%)
Over 10.5 Corners 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Over 11.5 Corners 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners 3 (30%) 2 (20%)

Team Corners

PSV win 6+ corners in 60% of home games, generating decent attacking corner opportunities, and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Atlético Madrid have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of away matches.

Corners Won

PSV (Home Form) Atlético Madrid (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 9 (90%) 7 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

PSV (Home Form) Atlético Madrid (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between PSV and Atlético Madrid. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

23rd Nov, 2016
Atlético Madrid
2 – 0 HT: 0-0
PSV
Corners 9–2 Cards 0–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
13th Sep, 2016
PSV
0 – 1 HT: 0-1
Atlético Madrid
Corners 2–4 Cards 2–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
15th Mar, 2016
Atlético Madrid
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
PSV
Corners 10–5 Cards 0–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
24th Feb, 2016
PSV
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Atlético Madrid
Corners 1–10 Cards 1–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
26th Nov, 2008
Atlético Madrid
2 – 1 HT: 2-0
PSV
Corners – Cards 0–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
16th Sep, 2008
PSV
0 – 3 HT: 0-2
Atlético Madrid
Corners – Cards 0–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for PSV vs Atlético Madrid across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

PSV 3.04
Draw 3.85
Atlético Madrid 2.26

Half Time Result

PSV 3.42
Draw 2.67
Atlético Madrid 2.71

Double Chance

PSV or Draw 1.69
PSV or Atlético Madrid 1.29
Draw or Atlético Madrid 1.43

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.44
No 2.62

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.14
Over 2.5 1.53
Over 3.5 2.2
Under 1.5 5.5
Under 2.5 2.5
Under 3.5 1.66

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.2
Over 1.5 2.15

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.23
Over 9.5 1.55
Over 10.5 1.95
Over 11.5 2.17

PSV Goals

Over 0.5 1.19
Over 1.5 2.05

Atlético Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 1.11
Over 1.5 1.75

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Bulle vs Lugano II 17:00 BST | 1.Liga Promotion, Switzerland Bulle have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Lugano II have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.36
    91% combined
  • Espanyol U19 vs Damm U19 15:00 BST | División De Honor Juvenil - Group 3, Spain Espanyol U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Damm U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.6
    83% combined
  • Roda U19 vs Talavera U19 16:00 BST | División De Honor Juvenil - Group 7, Spain Roda U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/11 home matches this season · Talavera U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    82% combined
  • FC Košice U19 vs Spartak Trnava U19 10:00 BST | Youth League, Slovakia FC Košice U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/8 home matches this season · Spartak Trnava U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    81% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.9
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PSV vs Atlético Madrid Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for PSV vs Atlético Madrid?

Over 2.5 Goals — PSV have seen 3+ goals in 100% of home games, Atlético Madrid in 60% of away games. The numbers suggest an open, high-scoring fixture.

Which team is likely to win, PSV or Atlético Madrid?

PSV hold a clear form advantage — they've won 70% of home games in Champions League this season, while Atlético Madrid have won only 30% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between PSV and Atlético Madrid?

Possibly — PSV frequently see both teams score at home (80%), while Atlético Madrid are lower on the road (40%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between PSV and Atlético Madrid?

Possibly — PSV frequently feature in high-scoring home games (Over 2.5 in 100%), while Atlético Madrid are lower on the road (60%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: PSV or Atlético Madrid?

PSV have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 60% of home games compared to Atlético Madrid's 20% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between PSV and Atlético Madrid?

Yes — both PSV (80% Over 8.5 at home) and Atlético Madrid (80% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches in Champions League. Plenty of set-piece opportunities expected.

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