Querétaro vs Toluca Football Stats

📍 Liga MX, Mexico
🕒 Monday 6th April, 01:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners

Querétaro sit 17th in the table after 27 games, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per home match this season. Toluca are 3rd after 34 games, averaging 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded on the road. Querétaro have won 4/10 home games (40%) this season; Toluca have won 3/10 on the road (30%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Toluca have featured in high-scoring away games this season — Over 2.5 Goals in 70% of their away fixtures (7/10). Querétaro are lower at home (40%, 4/10), averaging 1.3 scored and 0.9 conceded.

Both teams have regularly seen both sides score this season — Querétaro in 60% of home games (6/10), Toluca in 60% away (6/10). Querétaro have scored in 90% of home fixtures; Toluca in 80% of away games.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season — Querétaro see 8+ in 100% of home games, Toluca in 60% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Over 8.5 Corners — Querétaro see 9+ corners in 90% of home games, Toluca in 60% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

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League Table

The full Liga MX table for the 2025/2026 season, with Querétaro (17th) and Toluca (3rd) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Liga MX 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Cruz Azul 44 24 16 4 78:48 +30 88
2 Toluca A 42 22 11 9 78:43 +35 77
3 Tigres UANL 42 20 12 10 75:44 +31 72
4 Guadalajara 40 21 7 12 70:49 +21 70
5 Pachuca 40 19 8 13 54:44 +10 65
6 América 38 18 10 10 61:44 +17 64
7 Pumas UNAM 41 16 15 10 67:54 +13 63
8 Monterrey 38 16 7 15 61:58 +3 55
9 Tijuana 37 13 14 10 54:46 +8 53
10 Juárez 38 12 10 16 57:66 -9 46
11 Atlas 36 11 10 15 42:57 -15 43
12 Querétaro H 34 10 10 14 36:50 -14 40
13 Necaxa 34 9 8 17 43:57 -14 35
14 León 34 10 5 19 36:63 -27 35
15 Atlético San Luis 34 10 4 20 49:56 -7 34
16 Santos Laguna 34 9 5 20 42:66 -24 32
17 Mazatlán 34 6 11 17 42:66 -24 29
18 Puebla 34 6 7 21 34:68 -34 25

Team Form

Toluca have lost 60% of their away matches this season, while Querétaro have been more solid at home (20% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

Querétaro (Home Form) Toluca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Drawn 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Lost 2 (20%) 6 (60%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Querétaro have seen both teams score in 60% of home games this season, Toluca in 60% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net — the stats support a goal at each end.

Querétaro (Home Form) Toluca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 6 (60%) 6 (60%)

Match Goals

Toluca regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Querétaro are lower at home (40%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Over Goals

Querétaro (Home Form) Toluca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 7 (70%) 9 (90%)
Over 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 7 (70%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 3 (30%)

Under Goals

Querétaro (Home Form) Toluca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Under 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 3 (30%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 7 (70%)

Team Goals

Querétaro have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Toluca in 40% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Querétaro (Home Form) Toluca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 9 (90%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Querétaro (Home Form) Toluca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 3 (30%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goal Totals

Querétaro (Home Form) Toluca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 13 (1.3 avg) 17 (1.7 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 9 (0.9 avg) 17 (1.7 avg)

Match Corners

Querétaro regularly reach high corner counts at home (90%), while Toluca are lower on the road (60%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

Querétaro (Home Form) Toluca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 10 (100%) 6 (60%)
Over 8.5 Corners 9 (90%) 6 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners 4 (40%) 6 (60%)
Over 10.5 Corners 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 12.5 Corners 2 (20%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

Querétaro have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of home matches.

Toluca have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of away matches.

Corners Won

Querétaro (Home Form) Toluca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Querétaro (Home Form) Toluca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 7 (70%) 2 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 6 (60%) 1 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Querétaro and Toluca. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

18 Oct 2025
Toluca
4 – 0 HT: 3-0
Querétaro
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
27 Feb 2025
Toluca
5 – 0 HT: 4-0
Querétaro
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
19 Oct 2024
Querétaro
0 – 1 HT: 0-1
Toluca
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
13 Jan 2024
Querétaro
2 – 2 HT: 1-0
Toluca
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
08 Oct 2023
Toluca
3 – 1 HT: 1-1
Querétaro
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
06 Mar 2023
Querétaro
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Toluca
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
02 Oct 2022
Toluca
4 – 1 HT: 2-0
Querétaro
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
25 Feb 2022
Querétaro
1 – 1 HT: 1-0
Toluca
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
03 Oct 2021
Toluca
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Querétaro
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
10 Jan 2021
Toluca
3 – 1 HT: 2-1
Querétaro
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Querétaro vs Toluca across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Querétaro 5.5
Draw 4.5
Toluca 1.6

Half Time Result

Querétaro 5.43
Draw 2.4
Toluca 2.05

Double Chance

Querétaro or Draw 2.3
Querétaro or Toluca 1.2
Draw or Toluca 1.14

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.8
No 2.16

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.23
Over 2.5 1.72
Over 3.5 2.78
Under 1.5 5
Under 2.5 2.38
Under 3.5 1.53

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.33
Over 1.5 2.5

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.32
Over 9.5 1.59
Over 10.5 2.01
Over 11.5 2.14

Querétaro Goals

Over 0.5 1.5
Over 1.5 3.5

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5 1.11
Over 1.5 1.57

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Nõmme United vs Flora 17:00 BST | Meistriliiga, Estonia Nõmme United have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 home matches this season · Flora have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    83% combined
  • Blacktown Spartans vs Mt Druitt Town 11:15 BST | New South Wales NPL 2, Australia Blacktown Spartans have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/9 home matches this season · Mt Druitt Town have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    82% combined
  • Brunswick City vs Manningham United Blues 10:30 BST | Victoria Premier League 2, Australia Brunswick City have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/8 home matches this season · Manningham United Blues have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    79% combined
  • Nepean vs Stanmore Hawks 11:00 BST | New South Wales NPL 3, Australia Nepean have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 home matches this season · Stanmore Hawks have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/8 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    74% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.35
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Querétaro vs Toluca Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Querétaro vs Toluca?

Over 8.5 Corners — Querétaro see 9+ corners in 90% of home games, Toluca in 60% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Which team is likely to win, Querétaro or Toluca?

Querétaro have a slight form edge at home (40% wins) over Toluca on the road (30% wins) in Liga MX. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Querétaro and Toluca?

Mixed — Querétaro have seen BTTS in 60% of home games, Toluca in 60% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Liga MX fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Querétaro and Toluca?

Possibly — Toluca regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Querétaro are lower at home (40%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Querétaro or Toluca?

Toluca have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 40% of away games compared to Querétaro's 10% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Querétaro and Toluca?

Possibly — Querétaro regularly reach high corner counts at home (90%), while Toluca are lower on the road (60%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

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