Querétaro vs Toluca — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Liga MX, Mexico
🕒 Monday 6th April, 01:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners

Both teams are evenly matched — Querétaro have won 40% of home games, Toluca 40% of away games. A tight encounter is likely — see our Draw stats.

Both sides have rarely seen 3+ goals this season — Querétaro at 40% at home and Toluca at 40% away. The numbers lean towards Under 2.5 Goals as the likely outcome.

Both teams rarely see both sides score — Querétaro at 40% at home and Toluca at 40% away. Solid defensive records on both sides make BTTS – No a reasonable selection.

Both teams regularly see 8+ corners in recent games (90% and 70%) — Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Over 8.5 Corners — Querétaro see 9+ corners in 80% of home games, Toluca in 60% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

The full Liga MX table for the 2025/2026 season, with Querétaro (th) and Toluca (th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Liga MX 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Toluca A 35 21 10 4 69:31 +38 73
2 Cruz Azul 33 19 11 3 60:36 +24 68
3 Tigres UANL 35 17 10 8 62:37 +25 61
4 Guadalajara 31 19 3 9 56:36 +20 60
5 América 31 16 6 9 48:32 +16 54
6 Monterrey 33 15 6 12 57:49 +8 51
7 Pachuca 31 13 8 10 40:34 +6 47
8 Pumas UNAM 30 11 11 8 46:40 +6 44
9 Tijuana 32 10 12 10 47:43 +4 42
10 Juárez 32 11 8 13 49:54 -5 41
11 Atlas 29 9 8 12 38:51 -13 35
12 Necaxa 29 8 6 15 38:48 -10 30
13 Santos Laguna 29 8 4 17 36:58 -22 28
14 Querétaro H 28 7 7 14 27:45 -18 28
15 Atlético San Luis 29 8 3 18 43:50 -7 27
16 León 29 7 5 17 27:55 -28 26
17 Mazatlán 29 5 10 14 34:52 -18 25
18 Puebla 29 6 6 17 31:57 -26 24

Team Form

Querétaro (40% home wins) and Toluca (40% away wins) are evenly matched on current form. The table below suggests this could be a closely contested fixture.

Querétaro (Home Form) Toluca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Drawn 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Lost 4 (40%) 3 (30%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Querétaro (40% BTTS at home) and Toluca (40% BTTS away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches this season. A clean sheet for one side looks the more likely outcome.

Querétaro (Home Form) Toluca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 4 (40%) 4 (40%)

Match Goals

Querétaro have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Toluca in 40% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Querétaro (Home Form) Toluca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 2 (20%)

Under Goals

Querétaro (Home Form) Toluca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Under 1.5 Goals 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Under 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 8 (80%)

Team Goals

Querétaro have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Toluca in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Querétaro (Home Form) Toluca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Querétaro (Home Form) Toluca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Querétaro (Home Form) Toluca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 11 (1.1 avg) 12 (1.2 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 10 (1 avg) 9 (0.9 avg)

Match Corners

Querétaro regularly reach high corner counts at home (80%), while Toluca are lower on the road (60%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

Querétaro (Home Form) Toluca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 9 (90%) 7 (70%)
Over 8.5 Corners 8 (80%) 6 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners 4 (40%) 6 (60%)
Over 10.5 Corners 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 2 (20%)

Team Corners

Querétaro have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of home matches.

Toluca have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 50% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

Corners Won

Querétaro (Home Form) Toluca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 5 (50%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 3 (30%)

Corners Conceded

Querétaro (Home Form) Toluca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 6 (60%) 2 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 6 (60%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 1 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Querétaro and Toluca. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

18 Oct 2025
Toluca
4 – 0 HT: 3-0
Querétaro
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
27 Feb 2025
Toluca
5 – 0 HT: 4-0
Querétaro
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
19 Oct 2024
Querétaro
0 – 1 HT: 0-1
Toluca
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
13 Jan 2024
Querétaro
2 – 2 HT: 1-0
Toluca
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
08 Oct 2023
Toluca
3 – 1 HT: 1-1
Querétaro
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
06 Mar 2023
Querétaro
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Toluca
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
02 Oct 2022
Toluca
4 – 1 HT: 2-0
Querétaro
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
25 Feb 2022
Querétaro
1 – 1 HT: 1-0
Toluca
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
03 Oct 2021
Toluca
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Querétaro
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
10 Jan 2021
Toluca
3 – 1 HT: 2-1
Querétaro
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Querétaro vs Toluca across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Querétaro 4.5
Draw 3.3
Toluca 1.56

Half Time Result

Querétaro 5.5
Draw 2.4
Toluca 2.05

Double Chance

Querétaro or Draw 2.37
Querétaro or Toluca 1.25
Draw or Toluca 1.14

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.8
No 1.95

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.22
Over 2.5 1.01
Over 3.5 2.75
Under 1.5 4
Under 2.5 1.24
Under 3.5 1.4

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.33
Over 1.5 2.5

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.5
Over 9.5 1.83
Over 10.5 2.37
Over 11.5 3.25

Querétaro Goals

Over 0.5 1.57
Over 1.5 3.75

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5 1.11
Over 1.5 1.61

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Al Rayyan vs Umm-Salal SC 15:30 BST Al Rayyan have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 home matches this season · Umm-Salal SC have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    100% combined
  • Polonia Środa Wlkp W vs Czarni Sosnowiec II W 11:00 BST Polonia Środa Wlkp W have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Czarni Sosnowiec II W have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.36
    91% combined
  • Alphense Boys U21 vs Spartaan'20 U21 10:30 BST Alphense Boys U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/10 home matches this season · Spartaan'20 U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/10 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    90% combined
  • FK Pardubice U19 vs Slovan Liberec U19 13:45 BST FK Pardubice U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/9 home matches this season · Slovan Liberec U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.33
    89% combined
Acca odds (approx) 3.26
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Querétaro vs Toluca Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Querétaro vs Toluca?

Over 8.5 Corners — Querétaro see 9+ corners in 80% of home games, Toluca in 60% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Which team is likely to win, Querétaro or Toluca?

Both sides are evenly matched on current form — Querétaro have won 40% of home games, Toluca 40% away in Liga MX. This looks like a closely contested fixture.

Will both teams score in the match between Querétaro and Toluca?

Unlikely — Querétaro (40% BTTS at home) and Toluca (40% away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches in Liga MX. A clean sheet for one side looks the more probable outcome.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Querétaro and Toluca?

Uncertain — Querétaro have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Toluca in 40% of away games in Liga MX. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Querétaro or Toluca?

Toluca have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of away games compared to Querétaro's 10% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Querétaro and Toluca?

Possibly — Querétaro regularly reach high corner counts at home (80%), while Toluca are lower on the road (60%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

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Home Win

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Querétaro vs Toluca

📍 Liga MX, Mexico

🕒 Monday 6th April, 01:00 BST

Match Stats

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Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

"I love how this site makes betting easier by offering stats like home win, away win, and over 2.5 goals. The first half goals and team goals data have been particularly useful for me. If you’re into football betting, this is definitely worth checking out."

David H. (Glasgow, UK)

"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

"I’ve been betting for a while, and this site’s focus on key stats like home win, away goals over 1.5, and over 0.5 first half goals has made my bets more informed. The data is clear and easy to use, which is a big plus. I highly recommend it for anyone who bets on football!"

Luke H. (Cardiff, Wales)

"I love the focus on stats like home goals over 1.5 and away goals over 1.5—these are the exact numbers I need before placing a bet. I’ve been able to use the over/under goals data to great effect. Highly recommend this site if you're looking for reliable stats."

Steve C. (Birmingham, UK)

"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

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