RB Leipzig vs St. Pauli

📍 Bundesliga, Germany
🕒 Saturday 9th May, 14:30 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

RB Leipzig Over 1.5 Team Goals

RB Leipzig sit 3rd in the table after 30 games, averaging 2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per home match this season. St. Pauli are 17th after 30 games, averaging 0.6 scored and 1.9 conceded on the road. RB Leipzig have won 5/10 home games (50%) this season; St. Pauli have won 1/10 on the road (10%). There's no dominant edge either way.

RB Leipzig have been involved in high-scoring home games this season — Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 80% of their home fixtures (8/10). St. Pauli are lower on the road (50%, 5/10), averaging 0.6 scored and 1.9 conceded away from home.

RB Leipzig frequently see both teams score at home (70%, 7/10). St. Pauli are lower on the road (40%, 4/10) — they've scored in 50% of away games this season, which is the key variable.

St. Pauli are involved in high-corner games on the road (10+ corners in 70% of away fixtures, 7/10). RB Leipzig are lower at home (50%), but the visitors' style tends to push the total up.

Our Prediction: RB Leipzig Over 1.5 Team Goals — they've scored 2+ goals in 60% of home games, while St. Pauli have conceded 2+ in 70% of away games. A strong case for the home side to score freely.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

League Table

The full Bundesliga table for the 2025/2026 season, with RB Leipzig (3rd) and St. Pauli (17th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Bundesliga 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 FC Bayern München 32 26 5 1 116:35 +81 83
2 Borussia Dortmund 32 20 7 5 65:32 +33 67
3 RB Leipzig H 32 19 5 8 63:42 +21 62
4 VfB Stuttgart 32 17 7 8 66:46 +20 58
5 TSG Hoffenheim 32 17 7 8 64:48 +16 58
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 32 17 7 8 66:43 +23 58
7 SC Freiburg 32 12 8 12 45:53 -8 44
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 32 11 10 11 57:60 -3 43
9 FC Augsburg 32 11 7 14 42:56 -14 40
10 FSV Mainz 05 32 9 10 13 41:50 -9 37
11 Borussia Mönchengladbach 32 8 11 13 37:50 -13 35
12 Hamburger SV 32 8 10 14 36:51 -15 34
13 FC Union Berlin 32 8 9 15 37:57 -20 33
14 Werder Bremen 32 8 8 16 37:57 -20 32
15 FC Köln 32 7 11 14 47:55 -8 32
16 VfL Wolfsburg 32 6 8 18 42:67 -25 26
17 St. Pauli A 32 6 8 18 27:55 -28 26
18 Heidenheim 32 5 8 19 38:69 -31 23

Team Form

St. Pauli have lost 70% of their away matches this season, while RB Leipzig have been more solid at home (30% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

RB Leipzig (Home Form) St. Pauli (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 5 (50%) 1 (10%)
Drawn 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Lost 3 (30%) 7 (70%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

RB Leipzig frequently see both teams score at home (70%), while St. Pauli are less consistent on the road (40%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

RB Leipzig (Home Form) St. Pauli (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 7 (70%) 4 (40%)

Match Goals

RB Leipzig frequently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 in 80%), while St. Pauli are lower on the road (50%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Over Goals

RB Leipzig (Home Form) St. Pauli (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 9 (90%) 8 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals 8 (80%) 5 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals 6 (60%) 2 (20%)

Under Goals

RB Leipzig (Home Form) St. Pauli (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Under 3.5 Goals 4 (40%) 8 (80%)

Team Goals

RB Leipzig have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, St. Pauli in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

RB Leipzig (Home Form) St. Pauli (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 10 (100%) 5 (50%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 1 (10%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

RB Leipzig (Home Form) St. Pauli (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 7 (70%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Goal Totals

RB Leipzig (Home Form) St. Pauli (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 20 (2 avg) 6 (0.6 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 16 (1.6 avg) 19 (1.9 avg)

Match Corners

Both RB Leipzig (70% Over 8.5 at home) and St. Pauli (90% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches. Expect plenty of set-piece opportunities from both sides.

RB Leipzig (Home Form) St. Pauli (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 9 (90%) 9 (90%)
Over 8.5 Corners 7 (70%) 9 (90%)
Over 9.5 Corners 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Over 10.5 Corners 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Over 11.5 Corners 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners 4 (40%) 2 (20%)

Team Corners

RB Leipzig have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of home matches.

St. Pauli have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 50% of away matches.

Corners Won

RB Leipzig (Home Form) St. Pauli (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 8 (80%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 1 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

RB Leipzig (Home Form) St. Pauli (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 8 (80%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 6 (60%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 2 (20%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between RB Leipzig and St. Pauli. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

27 Jan 2026
St. Pauli
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
RB Leipzig
09 Feb 2025
RB Leipzig
2 – 0 HT: 2-0
St. Pauli
29 Oct 2024
RB Leipzig
4 – 2 HT: 3-1
St. Pauli
22 Sep 2024
St. Pauli
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
RB Leipzig
12 Feb 2016
St. Pauli
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
RB Leipzig
23 Aug 2015
RB Leipzig
0 – 1 HT: 0-1
St. Pauli
03 May 2015
St. Pauli
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
RB Leipzig
23 Nov 2014
RB Leipzig
4 – 1 HT: 2-0
St. Pauli

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for RB Leipzig vs St. Pauli across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

RB Leipzig 1.33
Draw 5.9
St. Pauli 9.8

Half Time Result

RB Leipzig 1.79
Draw 2.88
St. Pauli 7.19

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw 1.07
RB Leipzig or St. Pauli 1.15
Draw or St. Pauli 3.3

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.88
No 2.08

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.13
Over 2.5 1.5
Over 3.5 2.23
Under 1.5 5.65
Under 2.5 2.62
Under 3.5 1.61

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.22
Over 1.5 2.1

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.26
Over 9.5 1.34
Over 10.5 1.63
Over 11.5 2.05

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5 1.02
Over 1.5 1.32

St. Pauli Goals

Over 0.5 1.65
Over 1.5 4.39

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Nordsjaelland U19 vs Horsens U19 12:30 BST | U19 League, Denmark Nordsjaelland U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/10 home matches this season · Horsens U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.33
    85% combined
  • Ballymun United vs Usher Celtic 18:45 BST | Leinster Senior League, Republic of Ireland Ballymun United have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 home matches this season · Usher Celtic have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.57
    83% combined
  • SKS Oskar Przysucha vs Ożarowianka Ożarów Mazowiecki 17:00 BST | IV Liga: Mazowiecka, Poland SKS Oskar Przysucha have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/13 home matches this season · Ożarowianka Ożarów Mazowiecki have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.36
    79% combined
  • Omiya Ardija vs Iwaki 06:00 BST | J2/J3 100 Year Vision League, Japan Omiya Ardija have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/7 home matches this season · Iwaki have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/7 away matches this season · Odds: 1.83
    78% combined

RB Leipzig vs St. Pauli Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for RB Leipzig vs St. Pauli?

RB Leipzig Over 1.5 Goals — they've scored 2+ in 60% of home games, while St. Pauli have conceded 2+ in 70% of away games. A strong case for the home side to score freely.

Which team is likely to win, RB Leipzig or St. Pauli?

RB Leipzig have a slight form edge at home (50% wins) over St. Pauli on the road (10% wins) in Bundesliga. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between RB Leipzig and St. Pauli?

Possibly — RB Leipzig frequently see both teams score at home (70%), while St. Pauli are lower on the road (40%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between RB Leipzig and St. Pauli?

Possibly — RB Leipzig frequently feature in high-scoring home games (Over 2.5 in 80%), while St. Pauli are lower on the road (50%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: RB Leipzig or St. Pauli?

RB Leipzig have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of home games compared to St. Pauli's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between RB Leipzig and St. Pauli?

Yes — both RB Leipzig (70% Over 8.5 at home) and St. Pauli (90% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches in Bundesliga. Plenty of set-piece opportunities expected.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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