Primera Division · Uruguay 🕒 Saturday 30th August, 20:00 BST

River Plate vs Nacional Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

River Plate Home · 15th 3W 3D 4L last 10 home
VS
Nacional Away · 10th 3W 1D 6L last 10 away
Win Probability
River Plate 21% Draw 25% Nacional 55%
⭐ Our Prediction Both Teams To Score (BTTS) – Yes See why ↓

River Plate vs Nacional Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) – Yes

High confidence

River Plate see both teams score in 70% of home games, Nacional in 80% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net this season.

What the model says
21% River Plate win 25% Draw 55% Nacional win 48% BTTS 50% Over 2.5 Goals 0-1 most likely score
Also worth a look
74% Over 1.5 Goals 72% Under 3.5 Goals

River Plate sit 15th in the table after 26 games, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per home match this season. Nacional are 10th after 27 games, averaging 1.6 scored and 2.4 conceded on the road. The form figures are level. River Plate have won 30% of home games, Nacional 30% away. A tight, hard-to-call fixture.

Nacional have featured in high-scoring away games this season. Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 90% of their away fixtures (9/10). River Plate are lower at home (40%, 4/10), averaging 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.

Both teams have regularly seen both sides score this season: River Plate in 70% of home games (7/10), Nacional in 80% away (8/10). River Plate have scored in 80% of home fixtures; Nacional in 80% of away games.

Nacional are involved in high-corner games on the road (10+ corners in 70% of away fixtures, 7/10). River Plate are lower at home (40%), but the visitors' style tends to push the total up.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

View Today’s Tips

League Table

Where River Plate (15th) and Nacional (10th) sit in the Primera Division table for the 2025 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Nacional A 40 25 12 3 79:35 +44 87
15 River Plate H 37 6 11 20 28:48 -20 29
View the full Primera Division 2025 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Nacional A 40 25 12 3 79:35 +44 87
2 Peñarol 41 25 8 8 70:38 +32 83
3 Liverpool 38 18 11 9 52:39 +13 65
4 Juventud 37 18 7 12 45:39 +6 61
5 Defensor Sporting 37 18 7 12 42:38 +4 61
6 Boston River 37 14 13 10 50:39 +11 55
7 Racing 37 14 11 12 39:38 +1 53
8 Montevideo City Torque 37 13 10 14 54:51 +3 49
9 Cerro Largo 37 12 13 12 41:41 0 49
10 Cerro 37 12 11 14 33:42 -9 47
11 Danubio 37 10 13 14 41:41 0 43
12 Atlético Progreso 37 10 9 18 38:60 -22 39
13 Plaza Colonia 37 8 11 18 28:46 -18 35
14 Wanderers 37 6 13 18 25:47 -22 31
15 River Plate H 37 6 11 20 28:48 -20 29
16 Miramar Misiones 37 7 8 22 35:58 -23 29

Team Form

River Plate (30% home wins) and Nacional (30% away wins) are evenly matched on current form. The stats below suggest this could be a closely contested fixture.

H River Plate: last 10 home A Nacional: last 10 away
Won
H
3/10 (30%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Drawn
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Lost
H
4/10 (40%)
A
6/10 (60%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

River Plate have seen both teams score in 70% of home games this season, Nacional in 80% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net. The stats support a goal at each end.

H River Plate: last 10 home A Nacional: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
7/10 (70%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Scored Themselves
H
8/10 (80%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Conceded
H
9/10 (90%)
A
10/10 (100%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 48% · BTTS No 52%

Match Goals

Nacional regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 90%), while River Plate are lower at home (40%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

H River Plate: last 10 home A Nacional: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
5/10 (50%)

Team Goals

River Plate have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Nacional in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

River Plate 1.5 scored · 1.7 conceded per home game Nacional 1.6 scored · 2.4 conceded per away game
H River Plate: last 10 home A Nacional: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
8/10 (80%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
3/10 (30%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
9/10 (90%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
4/10 (40%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
3/10 (30%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Season totals: River Plate 15 scored / 17 conceded at home · Nacional 16 scored / 24 conceded away

Match Corners

Nacional frequently reach high corner counts away from home (70%), while River Plate are lower at home (60%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

H River Plate: last 10 home A Nacional: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
8/10 (80%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)

Team Corners

River Plate have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Nacional have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 50% of away matches.

H River Plate: last 10 home A Nacional: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
6/10 (60%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
4/10 (40%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
3/10 (30%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
3/10 (30%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between River Plate and Nacional. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up. Use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

8th Mar, 2025
Nacional
3 – 3 HT: 2-2
River Plate
Corners 3–4 Cards 4–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
18th Aug, 2024
River Plate
3 – 3 HT: 2-1
Nacional
Corners 2–10 Cards 2–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
16th Feb, 2024
Nacional
2 – 1 HT: 0-0
River Plate
Corners 7–2 Cards 3–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
4th Nov, 2023
River Plate
0 – 3 HT: 0-1
Nacional
Corners 1–2 Cards 4–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
Show 6 more meetings
26th Mar, 2023
Nacional
3 – 0 HT: 1-0
River Plate
Corners 1–5 Cards 0–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
17th Sep, 2022
River Plate
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Nacional
Corners 3–14 Cards 2–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
18th Jun, 2022
Nacional
3 – 0 HT: 1-0
River Plate
Corners 7–2 Cards 3–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
17th Apr, 2022
Nacional
1 – 1 HT: 0-1
River Plate
Corners 1–3 Cards 6–5 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
4th Dec, 2021
Nacional
4 – 2 HT: 1-1
River Plate
Corners 9–2 Cards 1–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
21st Aug, 2021
River Plate
2 – 0 HT: 1-0
Nacional
Corners 3–10 Cards 2–5 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for River Plate vs Nacional across a range of markets: full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change. Always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

Value River Plate 9 Model: 21%
Value Draw 5 Model: 25%
Nacional 1.38 Model: 55%

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2.06 Model: 48%
No 1.87 Model: 52%

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.17 Model: 74%
Over 2.5 1.78 Model: 50%
Over 3.5 2.75 Model: 28%
Value Under 1.5 4.2 Model: 26%
Value Under 2.5 2.2 Model: 50%
Under 3.5 1.41 Model: 72%

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.3
Over 1.5 2.37

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.18 Model: 60%
Over 9.5 1.54 Model: 48%
Over 10.5 2.14 Model: 36%
Over 11.5 2.38 Model: 27%
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

Value River Plate 7.78 Model: 17%
Value Draw 2.6 Model: 41%
Nacional 1.85 Model: 42%

Double Chance

Value River Plate or Draw 3.07 Model: 45%
River Plate or Nacional 1.19 Model: 75%
Draw or Nacional 1.08 Model: 79%

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5 1.73 Model: 55%
Over 1.5 4.5 Model: 22%
Over 2.5 15

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5 1.1 Model: 80%
Over 1.5 1.5 Model: 50%
Over 2.5 2.61

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • GIF Sundsvall vs Öster 18:00 BST | Superettan, Sweden GIF Sundsvall have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 home matches this season · Öster have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.72
    90% combined
  • Ranheim II vs Kvik Trondheim 18:00 BST | 3. Division - Group 2, Norway Ranheim II have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Kvik Trondheim have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.2
    90% combined
  • Staal Jørpeland vs Odd II 17:00 BST | 3. Division - Group 4, Norway Staal Jørpeland have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 home matches this season · Odd II have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    80% combined
  • Vänersborgs IF vs Herrestads 18:30 BST | Division 2: Norra Gotaland, Sweden Vänersborgs IF have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 home matches this season · Herrestads have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    80% combined
Acca odds (approx) 3.72
Explore all our tips & stats

River Plate vs Nacional Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for River Plate vs Nacional?

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) – Yes: River Plate see both teams score in 70% of home games, Nacional in 80% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net this season.

Which team is likely to win, River Plate or Nacional?

Both sides are evenly matched on current form. River Plate have won 30% of home games, Nacional 30% away in Primera Division. This looks like a closely contested fixture.

Will both teams score in the match between River Plate and Nacional?

Yes. Both sides have been regularly involved in matches where both teams score. River Plate have seen BTTS in 70% of home games, Nacional in 80% of away games in Primera Division. Goals at both ends look likely.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between River Plate and Nacional?

Possibly. Nacional regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 90%), while River Plate are lower at home (40%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: River Plate or Nacional?

Nacional have the stronger away scoring record. 2+ goals in 20% of away games compared to River Plate's 10% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between River Plate and Nacional?

Possibly. Nacional frequently reach high corner counts away (70%), while River Plate are lower at home (60%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

Discover match stats based on likely outcomes for the next 3–4 days.

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All Stats

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Over 2.5 Goals

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Both Teams to Score

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Home Win

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Over 1.5 Goals

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10 Teams to Win Today

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Match Stats

"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

James T. (London, UK)

"I love the focus on stats like home goals over 1.5 and away goals over 1.5—these are the exact numbers I need before placing a bet. I’ve been able to use the over/under goals data to great effect. Highly recommend this site if you're looking for reliable stats."

Steve C. (Birmingham, UK)

"I’ve been betting for a while, and this site’s focus on key stats like home win, away goals over 1.5, and over 0.5 first half goals has made my bets more informed. The data is clear and easy to use, which is a big plus. I highly recommend it for anyone who bets on football!"

Luke H. (Cardiff, Wales)

"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

"I love how this site makes betting easier by offering stats like home win, away win, and over 2.5 goals. The first half goals and team goals data have been particularly useful for me. If you’re into football betting, this is definitely worth checking out."

David H. (Glasgow, UK)

"I’m really impressed with the simplicity and focus of the stats on this site. Whether I’m checking for both teams to score or first half goals, I always get what I need quickly. It’s easy to navigate, and the range of stats really helps with my bets."

Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

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