Sacramento Republic vs Phoenix Rising — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 USL Championship, United States
🕒 Sunday 5th April, 03:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Sacramento Republic (40% home wins) hold a slight edge over Phoenix Rising on the road (30% away wins), but the difference is minimal. View our Home Win, Away Win and Draw stats for more context.

Both sides have rarely seen 3+ goals this season — Sacramento Republic at 10% at home and Phoenix Rising at 30% away. The numbers lean towards Under 2.5 Goals as the likely outcome.

Both teams rarely see both sides score — Sacramento Republic at 20% at home and Phoenix Rising at 40% away. Solid defensive records on both sides make BTTS – No a reasonable selection.

Sacramento Republic regularly reach high corner totals at home (70%), while Phoenix Rising are lower on the road (40%). The home side may drive the game to Over 9.5 Corners.

Our Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals — Sacramento Republic have stayed under 3 goals in 90% of home games, Phoenix Rising in 70% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

League Table

The full USL Championship table for the 2026 season, with Sacramento Republic (12th) and Phoenix Rising (18th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

USL Championship 2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Orange County 7 4 2 1 7:3 +4 14
2 Tampa Bay Rowdies 6 4 2 0 11:4 +7 14
3 El Paso Locomotive 5 4 1 0 14:5 +9 13
4 Louisville City 6 4 1 1 14:9 +5 13
5 San Antonio 7 3 3 1 5:3 +2 12
6 Charleston Battery 6 3 1 2 8:8 0 10
7 Detroit City 5 3 1 1 6:2 +4 10
8 Hartford Athletic 6 2 3 1 7:7 0 9
9 Sacramento Republic H 6 2 3 1 7:4 +3 9
10 Miami FC II 6 2 3 1 7:7 0 9
11 Oakland Roots 5 2 2 1 7:6 +1 8
12 Indy Eleven 5 2 2 1 8:6 +2 8
13 Pittsburgh Riverhounds 6 2 1 3 8:11 -3 7
14 New Mexico United 5 2 0 3 5:8 -3 6
15 Phoenix Rising A 6 1 3 2 8:8 0 6
16 Brooklyn FC 6 2 0 4 5:9 -4 6
17 Las Vegas Lights 6 1 2 3 9:11 -2 5
18 Colorado Springs 5 1 2 2 8:9 -1 5
19 Tulsa Roughnecks 5 1 2 2 4:6 -2 5
20 Lexington 6 1 2 3 6:8 -2 5
21 Birmingham Legion 5 1 2 2 5:6 -1 5
22 Rhode Island 5 1 2 2 7:8 -1 5
23 Loudoun United 5 0 3 2 8:11 -3 3
24 Monterey Bay 6 0 2 4 2:9 -7 2
25 Sporting JAX 6 0 1 5 5:13 -8 1

Team Form

Phoenix Rising have lost 40% of their away matches this season, while Sacramento Republic have been more solid at home (30% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

Sacramento Republic (Home Form) Phoenix Rising (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Drawn 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Lost 3 (30%) 4 (40%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Sacramento Republic (20% BTTS at home) and Phoenix Rising (40% BTTS away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches this season. A clean sheet for one side looks the more likely outcome.

Sacramento Republic (Home Form) Phoenix Rising (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 2 (20%) 4 (40%)

Match Goals

Sacramento Republic (10% Over 2.5 at home) and Phoenix Rising (30% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches this season. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

Over Goals

Sacramento Republic (Home Form) Phoenix Rising (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 8 (80%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Under Goals

Sacramento Republic (Home Form) Phoenix Rising (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals 9 (90%) 7 (70%)
Under 3.5 Goals 10 (100%) 9 (90%)

Team Goals

Sacramento Republic have scored 2+ goals in 0% of home games this season, Phoenix Rising in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Sacramento Republic (Home Form) Phoenix Rising (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Sacramento Republic (Home Form) Phoenix Rising (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 4 (40%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Sacramento Republic (Home Form) Phoenix Rising (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 9 (0.9 avg) 9 (0.9 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 5 (0.5 avg) 11 (1.1 avg)

Match Corners

Sacramento Republic regularly reach high corner counts at home (80%), while Phoenix Rising are lower on the road (50%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

Sacramento Republic (Home Form) Phoenix Rising (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Over 8.5 Corners 8 (80%) 5 (50%)
Over 9.5 Corners 7 (70%) 4 (40%)
Over 10.5 Corners 6 (60%) 3 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners 3 (30%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

Sacramento Republic win 6+ corners in 60% of home games, generating decent attacking corner opportunities, and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Phoenix Rising have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

Corners Won

Sacramento Republic (Home Form) Phoenix Rising (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 8 (80%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Sacramento Republic (Home Form) Phoenix Rising (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 2 (20%)

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Sacramento Republic vs Phoenix Rising across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Sacramento Republic 1.7
Draw 3.52
Phoenix Rising 4.33

Half Time Result

Sacramento Republic 2.25
Draw 2.11
Phoenix Rising 5

Double Chance

Sacramento Republic or Draw 1.22
Sacramento Republic or Phoenix Rising 1.25
Draw or Phoenix Rising 2

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.9
No 1.8

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.28
Over 2.5 1.95
Over 3.5 3.4
Under 1.5 3.5
Under 2.5 1.85
Under 3.5 1.3

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.36
Over 1.5 2.75

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.48
Over 9.5 1.78
Over 10.5 2.26
Over 11.5 5

Sacramento Republic Goals

Over 0.5 1.2
Over 1.5 1.92

Phoenix Rising Goals

Over 0.5 1.61
Over 1.5 4

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • FC Bayern München vs VfB Stuttgart 16:30 BST | Bundesliga, Germany FC Bayern München have seen over 2.5 goals in 14/14 home matches this season · VfB Stuttgart have seen over 2.5 goals in 14/14 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    100% combined
  • Borussia Dortmund U19 vs Schalke 04 U19 10:00 BST | U19 Bundesliga, Germany Borussia Dortmund U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/10 home matches this season · Schalke 04 U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    90% combined
  • Sporting Cristal vs UTC Cajamarca 17:00 BST | Primera Division, Peru Sporting Cristal have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · UTC Cajamarca have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.7
    90% combined
  • Tainan City vs Tatung 08:30 BST | Taiwan Football Premier League, Taiwan Tainan City have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 home matches this season · Tatung have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 away matches this season · Odds: 1.57
    86% combined

Sacramento Republic vs Phoenix Rising Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Sacramento Republic vs Phoenix Rising?

Under 2.5 Goals — Sacramento Republic have stayed under 3 goals in 90% of home games, Phoenix Rising in 70% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, Sacramento Republic or Phoenix Rising?

Sacramento Republic have a slight form edge at home (40% wins) over Phoenix Rising on the road (30% wins) in USL Championship. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Sacramento Republic and Phoenix Rising?

Unlikely — Sacramento Republic (20% BTTS at home) and Phoenix Rising (40% away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches in USL Championship. A clean sheet for one side looks the more probable outcome.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Sacramento Republic and Phoenix Rising?

Unlikely — Sacramento Republic (10% Over 2.5 at home) and Phoenix Rising (30% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches in USL Championship. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Sacramento Republic or Phoenix Rising?

Phoenix Rising have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 0% of away games compared to Sacramento Republic's 0% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Sacramento Republic and Phoenix Rising?

Possibly — Sacramento Republic regularly reach high corner counts at home (80%), while Phoenix Rising are lower on the road (50%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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