Serie A · Brazil 🕒 Sunday 31st August, 20:00 BST

Santos vs Fluminense Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Santos Home · 15th 5W 3D 2L last 10 home
VS
Fluminense Away · 9th 1W 5D 4L last 10 away
Win Probability
Santos 41% Draw 27% Fluminense 32%
⭐ Our Prediction Over 1.5 Goals See why ↓

Santos vs Fluminense Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

Medium confidence

Santos see 2+ goals in 80% of home games, Fluminense in 70% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

What the model says
41% Santos win 27% Draw 32% Fluminense win 55% BTTS 49% Over 2.5 Goals 1-1 most likely score
Also worth a look
74% Under 3.5 Goals 67% Over 8.5 Corners

Santos sit 15th in the table after 18 games, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1 conceded per home match this season. Fluminense are 9th after 17 games, averaging 0.8 scored and 1.3 conceded on the road. Santos have won 5/10 home games (50%) this season; Fluminense have won 1/10 on the road (10%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Santos have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games this season (5/10); Fluminense in 20% away (2/10). Santos average 1.6 scored and 1 conceded at home, Fluminense 0.8 and 1.3 on the road.

BTTS figures are mid-range for both sides: Santos at 40% in home games (4/10), Fluminense at 50% away (5/10). Neither a clear yes nor no based on the stats alone.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season. Santos see 8+ in 60% of home games, Fluminense in 70% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

Where Santos (15th) and Fluminense (9th) sit in the Serie A table for the 2025 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
5 Fluminense A 38 19 7 12 50:39 +11 64
12 Santos H 38 12 11 15 45:50 -5 47
View the full Serie A 2025 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Flamengo 38 23 10 5 78:27 +51 79
2 Palmeiras 38 23 7 8 66:33 +33 76
3 Cruzeiro 38 19 13 6 55:31 +24 70
4 Mirassol 38 18 13 7 63:39 +24 67
5 Fluminense A 38 19 7 12 50:39 +11 64
6 Botafogo 38 17 12 9 58:38 +20 63
7 Bahia 38 17 9 12 50:46 +4 60
8 São Paulo 38 14 9 15 43:47 -4 51
9 Grêmio 38 13 10 15 47:50 -3 49
10 Atlético Mineiro 38 12 12 14 43:44 -1 48
11 Bragantino 38 14 6 18 45:57 -12 48
12 Santos H 38 12 11 15 45:50 -5 47
13 Corinthians 38 12 11 15 42:47 -5 47
14 Vasco da Gama 38 13 6 19 55:60 -5 45
15 Vitória 38 11 12 15 35:52 -17 45
16 Internacional 38 11 11 16 44:57 -13 44
17 Ceará 38 11 10 17 34:40 -6 43
18 Fortaleza 38 11 10 17 43:58 -15 43
19 Juventude 38 9 8 21 35:69 -34 35
20 Sport Recife 38 2 11 25 28:75 -47 17

Team Form

Fluminense have lost 40% of their away matches this season, while Santos have been more solid at home (20% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

H Santos: last 10 home A Fluminense: last 10 away
Won
H
5/10 (50%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Drawn
H
3/10 (30%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Lost
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Santos have seen both teams score in 40% of home games, Fluminense in 50% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is below.

H Santos: last 10 home A Fluminense: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
4/10 (40%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Scored Themselves
H
8/10 (80%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Conceded
H
5/10 (50%)
A
8/10 (80%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 55% · BTTS No 45%

Match Goals

Santos have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Fluminense in 20% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is below.

H Santos: last 10 home A Fluminense: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
8/10 (80%)

Team Goals

Santos have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Fluminense in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Santos 1.6 scored · 1 conceded per home game Fluminense 0.8 scored · 1.3 conceded per away game
H Santos: last 10 home A Fluminense: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
8/10 (80%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
6/10 (60%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
5/10 (50%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Season totals: Santos 16 scored / 10 conceded at home · Fluminense 8 scored / 13 conceded away

Match Corners

Both Santos (60% Over 7.5 at home) and Fluminense (70% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

H Santos: last 10 home A Fluminense: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Team Corners

Santos have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Fluminense have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of away matches.

H Santos: last 10 home A Fluminense: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
6/10 (60%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
5/10 (50%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Santos and Fluminense. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up. Use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

13th Apr, 2025
Fluminense
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Santos
Corners 3–3 Cards 2–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
29th Nov, 2023
Santos
0 – 3 HT: 0-2
Fluminense
Corners 5–3 Cards 2–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
29th Jul, 2023
Fluminense
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Santos
Corners 6–2 Cards 6–6 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
1st Aug, 2022
Santos
2 – 2 HT: 1-0
Fluminense
Corners 5–5 Cards 2–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
Show 6 more meetings
9th Apr, 2022
Fluminense
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Santos
Corners 8–1 Cards 1–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
27th Oct, 2021
Santos
2 – 0 HT: 1-0
Fluminense
Corners 2–4 Cards 2–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
17th Jun, 2021
Fluminense
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Santos
Corners 2–9 Cards 4–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
21st Feb, 2021
Santos
1 – 1 HT: 0-1
Fluminense
Corners 4–4 Cards 3–5 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
25th Oct, 2020
Fluminense
3 – 1 HT: 1-1
Santos
Corners 10–8 Cards 5–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
26th Sep, 2019
Fluminense
1 – 1 HT: 1-1
Santos
Corners 1–5 Cards 4–5 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Santos vs Fluminense across a range of markets: full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change. Always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

Santos 2.4 Model: 41%
Draw 3.25 Model: 27%
Fluminense 3.3 Model: 32%

Both Teams to Score

Value Yes 2.04 Model: 55%
No 1.92 Model: 45%

Total Goals

Value Over 1.5 1.47 Model: 74%
Value Over 2.5 2.35 Model: 49%
Value Over 3.5 5 Model: 26%
Under 1.5 2.85 Model: 26%
Under 2.5 1.65 Model: 51%
Under 3.5 1.22 Model: 74%

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.52
Over 1.5 3.5

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.24 Model: 67%
Over 9.5 1.54 Model: 55%
Over 10.5 1.95 Model: 44%
Over 11.5 2.18 Model: 33%
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

Santos 3.26 Model: 31%
Draw 2.04 Model: 45%
Fluminense 4.01 Model: 24%

Double Chance

Santos or Draw 1.4 Model: 68%
Santos or Fluminense 1.34 Model: 73%
Draw or Fluminense 1.56 Model: 59%

Santos Goals

Over 0.5 1.36 Model: 74%
Value Over 1.5 2.83 Model: 40%
Over 2.5 6.9

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5 1.48 Model: 67%
Over 1.5 3.25 Model: 32%
Over 2.5 9.1

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Ranheim II vs Kvik Trondheim 18:00 BST | 3. Division - Group 2, Norway Ranheim II have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Kvik Trondheim have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.2
    90% combined
  • GIF Sundsvall vs Öster 18:00 BST | Superettan, Sweden GIF Sundsvall have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 home matches this season · Öster have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.72
    90% combined
  • Staal Jørpeland vs Odd II 17:00 BST | 3. Division - Group 4, Norway Staal Jørpeland have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 home matches this season · Odd II have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    80% combined
  • Vänersborgs IF vs Herrestads 18:30 BST | Division 2: Norra Gotaland, Sweden Vänersborgs IF have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 home matches this season · Herrestads have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    80% combined
Acca odds (approx) 3.72
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Santos vs Fluminense Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Santos vs Fluminense?

Over 1.5 Goals: Santos see 2+ goals in 80% of home games, Fluminense in 70% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Santos or Fluminense?

Santos have a slight form edge at home (50% wins) over Fluminense on the road (10% wins) in Serie A. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Santos and Fluminense?

Mixed. Santos have seen BTTS in 40% of home games, Fluminense in 50% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Serie A fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Santos and Fluminense?

Uncertain. Santos have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Fluminense in 20% of away games in Serie A. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Santos or Fluminense?

Santos have the stronger scoring record. 2+ goals in 20% of home games compared to Fluminense's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Santos and Fluminense?

Santos have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 50% of home games, Fluminense in 60% of away games in Serie A. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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