Sarasota Paradise vs Forward Madison Football Stats

📍 USL League One, United States
🕒 Sunday 3rd May, 00:30 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners

Sarasota Paradise sit 10th in the table after 6 games, averaging 1 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per home match this season. Forward Madison are 6th after 3 games, averaging 0.9 scored and 1.8 conceded on the road. Sarasota Paradise have won 3/10 home games (30%) this season; Forward Madison have won 2/10 on the road (20%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Sarasota Paradise have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games this season (6/10); Forward Madison in 40% away (4/10). Sarasota Paradise average 1 scored and 1.4 conceded at home, Forward Madison 0.9 and 1.8 on the road.

Sarasota Paradise frequently see both teams score at home (60%, 6/10). Forward Madison are lower on the road (40%, 4/10) — they've scored in 50% of away games this season, which is the key variable.

Forward Madison are involved in high-corner games on the road (10+ corners in 70% of away fixtures, 7/10). Sarasota Paradise are lower at home (40%), but the visitors' style tends to push the total up.

Our Prediction: Over 8.5 Corners — Sarasota Paradise see 9+ corners in 60% of home games, Forward Madison in 80% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

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League Table

The full USL League One table for the 2026 season, with Sarasota Paradise (10th) and Forward Madison (6th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

USL League One 2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Union Omaha 12 9 1 2 22:12 +10 28
2 One Knoxville 11 6 3 2 17:10 +7 21
3 Charlotte Independence 10 6 2 2 25:13 +12 20
4 Spokane Velocity 10 6 2 2 15:11 +4 20
5 Naples 13 5 2 6 13:18 -5 17
6 Fort Wayne 10 4 4 2 13:10 +3 16
7 Athletic Club Boise 11 4 3 4 17:15 +2 15
8 Alta 10 3 5 2 15:12 +3 14
9 Portland Hearts of Pine 11 3 5 3 14:14 0 14
10 Forward Madison A 9 4 1 4 12:11 +1 13
11 Sarasota Paradise H 13 4 1 8 13:21 -8 13
12 Richmond Kickers 9 3 2 4 10:14 -4 11
13 Greenville Triumph 9 3 1 5 10:15 -5 10
14 Chattanooga Red Wolves 8 3 1 4 16:12 +4 10
15 Corpus Christi 11 1 5 5 12:22 -10 8
16 NY Cosmos 10 2 1 7 14:24 -10 7
17 Westchester SC 9 2 1 6 12:16 -4 7
18 Tormenta 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0

Team Form

Forward Madison have lost 70% of their away matches this season, while Sarasota Paradise have been more solid at home (50% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

Sarasota Paradise (Home Form) Forward Madison (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Drawn 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Lost 5 (50%) 7 (70%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Sarasota Paradise frequently see both teams score at home (60%), while Forward Madison are less consistent on the road (40%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Sarasota Paradise (Home Form) Forward Madison (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 6 (60%) 4 (40%)

Match Goals

Sarasota Paradise have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games, Forward Madison in 40% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Sarasota Paradise (Home Form) Forward Madison (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 4 (40%)

Under Goals

Sarasota Paradise (Home Form) Forward Madison (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 6 (60%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 6 (60%)

Team Goals

Sarasota Paradise have scored 2+ goals in 0% of home games this season, Forward Madison in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Sarasota Paradise (Home Form) Forward Madison (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 7 (70%) 5 (50%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Sarasota Paradise (Home Form) Forward Madison (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 8 (80%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goal Totals

Sarasota Paradise (Home Form) Forward Madison (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 10 (1 avg) 9 (0.9 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 14 (1.4 avg) 18 (1.8 avg)

Match Corners

Forward Madison frequently reach high corner counts away from home (80%), while Sarasota Paradise are lower at home (60%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Sarasota Paradise (Home Form) Forward Madison (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 7 (70%) 8 (80%)
Over 8.5 Corners 6 (60%) 8 (80%)
Over 9.5 Corners 4 (40%) 7 (70%)
Over 10.5 Corners 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Over 11.5 Corners 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 12.5 Corners 2 (20%) 3 (30%)

Team Corners

Sarasota Paradise have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 50% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Forward Madison have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of away matches.

Corners Won

Sarasota Paradise (Home Form) Forward Madison (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 7 (70%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 2 (20%)

Corners Conceded

Sarasota Paradise (Home Form) Forward Madison (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 4 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Sarasota Paradise vs Forward Madison across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Sarasota Paradise 1.95
Draw 3.3
Forward Madison 3.4

Half Time Result

Sarasota Paradise 2.5
Draw 2.2
Forward Madison 4

Double Chance

Sarasota Paradise or Draw 1.27
Sarasota Paradise or Forward Madison 1.24
Draw or Forward Madison 1.58

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.74
No 1.94

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.27
Over 2.5 2.07
Over 3.5 3.34
Under 1.5 3.14
Under 2.5 1.72
Under 3.5 1.24

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.39
Over 1.5 2.88

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.26
Over 9.5 1.53
Over 10.5 2.16
Over 11.5 2.41

Sarasota Paradise Goals

Over 0.5 1.21
Over 1.5 2.22

Forward Madison Goals

Over 0.5 1.4
Over 1.5 2.84

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Lake Macquarie City W vs Charlestown Azzurri W 11:00 BST | Northern NSW NPL Women, Australia Lake Macquarie City W have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 home matches this season · Charlestown Azzurri W have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    100% combined
  • Tuggeranong United U23 vs Monaro Panthers U23 08:30 BST | Capital Territory NPL Youth League, Australia Tuggeranong United U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Monaro Panthers U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    91% combined
  • Tuggeranong United vs Monaro Panthers 10:30 BST | Capital Territory, Australia Tuggeranong United have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Monaro Panthers have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    91% combined
  • Sydney Olympic U20 vs SD Raiders U20 08:30 BST | New South Wales NPL Youth League, Australia Sydney Olympic U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 home matches this season · SD Raiders U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    85% combined
Acca odds (approx) 3.33
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Sarasota Paradise vs Forward Madison Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Sarasota Paradise vs Forward Madison?

Over 8.5 Corners — Sarasota Paradise see 9+ corners in 60% of home games, Forward Madison in 80% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Which team is likely to win, Sarasota Paradise or Forward Madison?

Sarasota Paradise have a slight form edge at home (30% wins) over Forward Madison on the road (20% wins) in USL League One. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Sarasota Paradise and Forward Madison?

Mixed — Sarasota Paradise have seen BTTS in 60% of home games, Forward Madison in 40% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this USL League One fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Sarasota Paradise and Forward Madison?

Uncertain — Sarasota Paradise have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games, Forward Madison in 40% of away games in USL League One. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Sarasota Paradise or Forward Madison?

Forward Madison have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 10% of away games compared to Sarasota Paradise's 0% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Sarasota Paradise and Forward Madison?

Possibly — Forward Madison frequently reach high corner counts away (80%), while Sarasota Paradise are lower at home (60%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

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