Sarmiento vs Vélez Sarsfield Football Stats

📍 Liga Profesional de Fútbol, Argentina
🕒 Sunday 19th October, 14:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Sarmiento sit 8th in the table after 26 games, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per home match this season. Vélez Sarsfield are 3rd after 25 games, averaging 1.1 scored and 0.8 conceded on the road. Sarmiento have the stronger home record this season (7/10, 70%) against a Vélez Sarsfield side who've won 4/10 away (40%).

Both sides have been involved in low-scoring matches this season. Sarmiento have seen 3+ goals in only 40% of home fixtures; Vélez Sarsfield in 10% away. Sarmiento average 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded at home, Vélez Sarsfield 1.1 and 0.8 on the road — the numbers point toward a tight game.

Both sides have solid defensive records in context. Sarmiento have seen BTTS in only 40% of home games (4/10); Vélez Sarsfield in 40% away (4/10). At least one clean sheet looks likely.

Corner data is available but trends are mixed — Sarmiento see 9+ corners in 50% of home games, Vélez Sarsfield in 40% away. No strong edge in this market for this fixture.

Our Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals — Sarmiento have stayed under 3 goals in 60% of home games, Vélez Sarsfield in 90% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

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League Table

The full Liga Profesional de Fútbol table for the 2025 season, with Sarmiento (8th) and Vélez Sarsfield (3rd) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Liga Profesional de Fútbol 2025

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Boca Juniors 19 10 5 4 31:13 +18 35
2 Racing Club 20 9 6 5 21:16 +5 33
3 Estudiantes 20 9 4 7 21:19 +2 31
4 Rosario Central 17 8 7 2 18:9 +9 31
5 Lanús 17 9 3 5 20:14 +6 30
6 Gimnasia La Plata 19 9 1 9 18:18 0 28
7 Deportivo Riestra 17 8 4 5 19:13 +6 28
8 Argentinos Juniors 18 8 3 7 20:14 +6 27
9 Central Cordoba SdE 18 6 9 3 19:13 +6 27
10 Tigre 18 6 8 4 15:13 +2 26
11 Barracas Central 18 6 8 4 20:19 +1 26
12 Vélez Sarsfield A 17 7 5 5 19:14 +5 26
13 Unión Santa Fe 17 6 7 4 21:15 +6 25
14 San Lorenzo 17 6 6 5 14:13 +1 24
15 River Plate 17 6 4 7 22:18 +4 22
16 Banfield 16 6 3 7 15:21 -6 21
17 Talleres Córdoba 17 5 6 6 9:14 -5 21
18 Huracán 17 5 5 7 10:16 -6 20
19 Belgrano 16 4 8 4 13:11 +2 20
20 Sarmiento H 16 5 5 6 13:17 -4 20
21 Defensa y Justicia 16 5 4 7 14:19 -5 19
22 San Martín San Juan 16 4 7 5 13:16 -3 19
23 Independiente 16 4 6 6 14:13 +1 18
24 Aldosivi 16 5 3 8 13:18 -5 18
25 Atlético Tucumán 16 5 3 8 17:22 -5 18
26 Independiente Rivadavia 16 3 7 6 14:17 -3 16
27 Instituto 16 3 7 6 9:17 -8 16
28 Platense 17 3 6 8 13:25 -12 15
29 Newell's Old Boys 16 3 5 8 13:23 -10 14
30 Godoy Cruz 16 1 9 6 11:19 -8 12

Team Form

Sarmiento have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 70% of their home matches compared to Vélez Sarsfield's 40% away. The hosts hold a significant form advantage heading into this fixture.

Sarmiento (Home Form) Vélez Sarsfield (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 7 (70%) 4 (40%)
Drawn 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Lost 2 (20%) 2 (20%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Sarmiento (40% BTTS at home) and Vélez Sarsfield (40% BTTS away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches this season. A clean sheet for one side looks the more likely outcome.

Sarmiento (Home Form) Vélez Sarsfield (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 4 (40%) 4 (40%)

Match Goals

Sarmiento have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Vélez Sarsfield in 10% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Sarmiento (Home Form) Vélez Sarsfield (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Under Goals

Sarmiento (Home Form) Vélez Sarsfield (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 9 (90%)
Under 3.5 Goals 9 (90%) 9 (90%)

Team Goals

Sarmiento have scored 2+ goals in 0% of home games this season, Vélez Sarsfield in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Sarmiento (Home Form) Vélez Sarsfield (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 9 (90%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Sarmiento (Home Form) Vélez Sarsfield (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Sarmiento (Home Form) Vélez Sarsfield (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 12 (1.2 avg) 11 (1.1 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 7 (0.7 avg) 8 (0.8 avg)

Match Corners

Sarmiento regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while Vélez Sarsfield are lower on the road (50%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

Sarmiento (Home Form) Vélez Sarsfield (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 7 (70%) 5 (50%)
Over 8.5 Corners 7 (70%) 5 (50%)
Over 9.5 Corners 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 10.5 Corners 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 3 (30%)

Team Corners

Sarmiento have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of home matches.

Vélez Sarsfield have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of away matches.

Corners Won

Sarmiento (Home Form) Vélez Sarsfield (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 2 (20%)

Corners Conceded

Sarmiento (Home Form) Vélez Sarsfield (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Sarmiento and Vélez Sarsfield. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

15th Apr, 2025
Vélez Sarsfield
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Sarmiento
Corners 12–1 Cards 3–6 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
1st Dec, 2024
Vélez Sarsfield
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Sarmiento
Corners 10–0 Cards 2–5 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
14th Jul, 2023
Sarmiento
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Vélez Sarsfield
Corners 4–14 Cards 1–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
23rd Aug, 2022
Vélez Sarsfield
1 – 1 HT: 0-1
Sarmiento
Corners 15–2 Cards 4–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
24th Sep, 2021
Sarmiento
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Vélez Sarsfield
Corners 4–3 Cards 2–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
21st Feb, 2021
Sarmiento
1 – 2 HT: 0-1
Vélez Sarsfield
Corners 11–3 Cards 0–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
17th Jun, 2017
Vélez Sarsfield
5 – 1 HT: 2-0
Sarmiento
Corners 8–9 Cards 2–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
21st Jan, 2017
Vélez Sarsfield
1 – 0 HT:
Sarmiento
Corners – Cards 0–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
8th Mar, 2015
Vélez Sarsfield
1 – 1 HT: 1-1
Sarmiento
Corners 10–2 Cards 2–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Sarmiento vs Vélez Sarsfield across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Sarmiento 4.06
Draw 2.9
Vélez Sarsfield 2.29

Half Time Result

Sarmiento 5.14
Draw 1.86
Vélez Sarsfield 3.23

Double Chance

Sarmiento or Draw 1.67
Sarmiento or Vélez Sarsfield 1.41
Draw or Vélez Sarsfield 1.27

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2.56
No 1.51

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.71
Over 2.5 3.27
Over 3.5 7.29
Under 1.5 2.23
Under 2.5 1.31
Under 3.5 1.11

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.71
Over 1.5 4.25

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.39
Over 9.5 1.68
Over 10.5 2.46
Over 11.5 2.52

Sarmiento Goals

Over 0.5 1.79
Over 1.5 4.1

Vélez Sarsfield Goals

Over 0.5 1.43
Over 1.5 3

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Nõmme United vs Flora 17:00 BST | Meistriliiga, Estonia Nõmme United have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 home matches this season · Flora have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    83% combined
  • Blacktown Spartans vs Mt Druitt Town 11:15 BST | New South Wales NPL 2, Australia Blacktown Spartans have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/9 home matches this season · Mt Druitt Town have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    82% combined
  • Brunswick City vs Manningham United Blues 10:30 BST | Victoria Premier League 2, Australia Brunswick City have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/8 home matches this season · Manningham United Blues have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    79% combined
  • Nepean vs Stanmore Hawks 11:00 BST | New South Wales NPL 3, Australia Nepean have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 home matches this season · Stanmore Hawks have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/8 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    74% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.35
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Sarmiento vs Vélez Sarsfield Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Sarmiento vs Vélez Sarsfield?

Under 2.5 Goals — Sarmiento have stayed under 3 goals in 60% of home games, Vélez Sarsfield in 90% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, Sarmiento or Vélez Sarsfield?

Sarmiento hold a clear form advantage — they've won 70% of home games in Liga Profesional de Fútbol this season, while Vélez Sarsfield have won only 40% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Sarmiento and Vélez Sarsfield?

Unlikely — Sarmiento (40% BTTS at home) and Vélez Sarsfield (40% away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches in Liga Profesional de Fútbol. A clean sheet for one side looks the more probable outcome.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Sarmiento and Vélez Sarsfield?

Uncertain — Sarmiento have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Vélez Sarsfield in 10% of away games in Liga Profesional de Fútbol. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Sarmiento or Vélez Sarsfield?

Vélez Sarsfield have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 0% of away games compared to Sarmiento's 0% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Sarmiento and Vélez Sarsfield?

Possibly — Sarmiento regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while Vélez Sarsfield are lower on the road (50%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

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Over 2.5 Goals

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Match Stats

"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

James T. (London, UK)

"I love the focus on stats like home goals over 1.5 and away goals over 1.5—these are the exact numbers I need before placing a bet. I’ve been able to use the over/under goals data to great effect. Highly recommend this site if you're looking for reliable stats."

Steve C. (Birmingham, UK)

"I’m really impressed with the simplicity and focus of the stats on this site. Whether I’m checking for both teams to score or first half goals, I always get what I need quickly. It’s easy to navigate, and the range of stats really helps with my bets."

Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

"I’ve been betting for a while, and this site’s focus on key stats like home win, away goals over 1.5, and over 0.5 first half goals has made my bets more informed. The data is clear and easy to use, which is a big plus. I highly recommend it for anyone who bets on football!"

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"I love how this site makes betting easier by offering stats like home win, away win, and over 2.5 goals. The first half goals and team goals data have been particularly useful for me. If you’re into football betting, this is definitely worth checking out."

David H. (Glasgow, UK)

"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

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