Sevilla vs Atlético Madrid — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 La Liga, Spain
🕒 Saturday 11th April, 20:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

Both teams are evenly matched — Sevilla have won 30% of home games, Atlético Madrid 30% of away games. A tight encounter is likely — see our Draw stats.

Sevilla frequently feature in matches with 2+ goals at home (80%), while Atlético Madrid are more variable on the road (70%). Over 1.5 Goals may still land, mainly driven by the home side.

Both teams rarely see both sides score — Sevilla at 40% at home and Atlético Madrid at 40% away. Solid defensive records on both sides make BTTS – No a reasonable selection.

Atlético Madrid often produce high corner totals away (80%), while Sevilla are lower at home (40%). The visitors may push the game to Over 9.5 Corners.

Our Prediction: Over 1.5 Goals — Sevilla see 2+ goals in 80% of home games, Atlético Madrid in 70% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

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League Table

The full La Liga table for the 2025/2026 season, with Sevilla (th) and Atlético Madrid (th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

La Liga 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 FC Barcelona 29 24 1 4 78:28 +50 73
2 Real Madrid 29 22 3 4 63:26 +37 69
3 Villarreal 29 18 4 7 54:34 +20 58
4 Atlético Madrid A 29 17 6 6 49:28 +21 57
5 Real Betis 29 11 11 7 44:37 +7 44
6 Celta de Vigo 29 10 11 8 41:35 +6 41
7 Real Sociedad 29 10 8 11 44:45 -1 38
8 Athletic Club 29 11 5 13 32:41 -9 38
9 Getafe 29 11 5 13 25:31 -6 38
10 Osasuna 29 10 7 12 34:35 -1 37
11 Espanyol 29 10 7 12 36:44 -8 37
12 Valencia 29 9 8 12 32:42 -10 35
13 Girona 29 8 10 11 31:44 -13 34
14 Rayo Vallecano 29 7 11 11 28:35 -7 32
15 Deportivo Alavés 29 8 7 14 30:41 -11 31
16 Sevilla H 29 8 7 14 37:49 -12 31
17 Elche 29 6 11 12 38:46 -8 29
18 Mallorca 29 7 7 15 34:47 -13 28
19 Levante 29 6 8 15 34:48 -14 26
20 Real Oviedo 29 4 9 16 20:48 -28 21

Team Form

Sevilla (30% home wins) and Atlético Madrid (30% away wins) are evenly matched on current form. The table below suggests this could be a closely contested fixture.

Sevilla (Home Form) Atlético Madrid (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Drawn 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Lost 4 (40%) 4 (40%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Sevilla (40% BTTS at home) and Atlético Madrid (40% BTTS away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches this season. A clean sheet for one side looks the more likely outcome.

Sevilla (Home Form) Atlético Madrid (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 4 (40%) 4 (40%)

Match Goals

Sevilla have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 30% of home games, Atlético Madrid in 60% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Sevilla (Home Form) Atlético Madrid (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals 3 (30%) 6 (60%)
Over 3.5 Goals 1 (10%) 4 (40%)

Under Goals

Sevilla (Home Form) Atlético Madrid (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals 7 (70%) 4 (40%)
Under 3.5 Goals 9 (90%) 6 (60%)

Team Goals

Sevilla have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Atlético Madrid in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Sevilla (Home Form) Atlético Madrid (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Sevilla (Home Form) Atlético Madrid (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 8 (80%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 5 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Sevilla (Home Form) Atlético Madrid (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 10 (1 avg) 15 (1.5 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 12 (1.2 avg) 16 (1.6 avg)

Match Corners

Atlético Madrid frequently reach high corner counts away from home (80%), while Sevilla are lower at home (40%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Sevilla (Home Form) Atlético Madrid (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 6 (60%) 9 (90%)
Over 8.5 Corners 4 (40%) 8 (80%)
Over 9.5 Corners 4 (40%) 8 (80%)
Over 10.5 Corners 2 (20%) 6 (60%)
Over 11.5 Corners 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners 0 (0%) 2 (20%)

Team Corners

Sevilla have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Atlético Madrid have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of away matches.

Corners Won

Sevilla (Home Form) Atlético Madrid (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 6 (60%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 4 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Sevilla (Home Form) Atlético Madrid (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Sevilla vs Atlético Madrid across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Sevilla 3.25
Draw 3.35
Atlético Madrid 2.24

Half Time Result

Sevilla 3.75
Draw 2.2
Atlético Madrid 2.75

Double Chance

Sevilla or Draw 1.66
Sevilla or Atlético Madrid 1.33
Draw or Atlético Madrid 1.33

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.76
No 2.1

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.27
Over 2.5 1.99
Over 3.5 1.99
Under 1.5 3.55
Under 2.5 1.87
Under 3.5 1.33

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.4
Over 1.5 2.75

Sevilla Goals

Over 0.5 1.36
Over 1.5 2.75

Atlético Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 1.22
Over 1.5 2.1

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Veszprém 2015 W vs Nagykanizsa W 13:00 BST | Nöi NB II, Hungary Veszprém 2015 W have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 home matches this season · Nagykanizsa W have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    90% combined
  • Ursus Warszawa vs Talent Warszawa 10:00 BST | IV Liga: Mazowiecka, Poland Ursus Warszawa have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 home matches this season · Talent Warszawa have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.53
    88% combined
  • FC Praha W vs Baník Ostrava W 14:00 BST | First League Women, Czech Republic FC Praha W have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 home matches this season · Baník Ostrava W have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    87% combined
  • NSA Sofia W vs Paldin W 14:00 BST | Women's League, Bulgaria NSA Sofia W have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 home matches this season · Paldin W have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    83% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.18
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Sevilla vs Atlético Madrid Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Sevilla vs Atlético Madrid?

Over 1.5 Goals — Sevilla see 2+ goals in 80% of home games, Atlético Madrid in 70% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Sevilla or Atlético Madrid?

Both sides are evenly matched on current form — Sevilla have won 30% of home games, Atlético Madrid 30% away in La Liga. This looks like a closely contested fixture.

Will both teams score in the match between Sevilla and Atlético Madrid?

Unlikely — Sevilla (40% BTTS at home) and Atlético Madrid (40% away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches in La Liga. A clean sheet for one side looks the more probable outcome.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Sevilla and Atlético Madrid?

Uncertain — Sevilla have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 30% of home games, Atlético Madrid in 60% of away games in La Liga. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Sevilla or Atlético Madrid?

Atlético Madrid have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of away games compared to Sevilla's 10% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Sevilla and Atlético Madrid?

Possibly — Atlético Madrid frequently reach high corner counts away (80%), while Sevilla are lower at home (40%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

Discover match stats based on likely outcomes for the next 3–4 days.

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All Stats

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Over 2.5 Goals

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Home Win

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Over 1.5 Goals

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"I love the focus on stats like home goals over 1.5 and away goals over 1.5—these are the exact numbers I need before placing a bet. I’ve been able to use the over/under goals data to great effect. Highly recommend this site if you're looking for reliable stats."

Steve C. (Birmingham, UK)

"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

"I love how this site makes betting easier by offering stats like home win, away win, and over 2.5 goals. The first half goals and team goals data have been particularly useful for me. If you’re into football betting, this is definitely worth checking out."

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"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

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Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

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