Sofapaka vs Mathare United Football Stats

📍 Premier League, Kenya
🕒 Saturday 2nd May, 13:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Sofapaka sit 18th in the table after 27 games, averaging 0.7 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per home match this season. Mathare United are 12th after 26 games, averaging 0.8 scored and 1.3 conceded on the road. Sofapaka have won 0/10 home games (0%) this season; Mathare United have won 1/10 on the road (10%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Both sides have been involved in low-scoring matches this season. Sofapaka have seen 3+ goals in only 30% of home fixtures; Mathare United in 40% away. Sofapaka average 0.7 scored and 1.3 conceded at home, Mathare United 0.8 and 1.3 on the road — the numbers point toward a tight game.

Mathare United regularly see both teams score in away fixtures (60%, 6/10). Sofapaka are lower at home (50%, 5/10) — they've conceded in 80% of home games, which keeps BTTS in play.

Sofapaka regularly generate high corner counts at home (10+ corners in 80% of fixtures, 8/10). Mathare United are lower on the road (50%). The home side's attacking style tends to produce set-piece volume regardless of the opponent.

Our Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals — Sofapaka have stayed under 3 goals in 70% of home games, Mathare United in 60% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

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League Table

The full Premier League table for the 2025/2026 season, with Sofapaka (18th) and Mathare United (12th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Premier League 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Gor Mahia 34 20 9 5 50:22 +28 69
2 Leopards 34 19 7 8 44:28 +16 64
3 Police 34 13 16 5 31:21 +10 55
4 Shabana 34 14 10 10 35:34 +1 52
5 Nairobi United 32 14 10 8 43:32 +11 52
6 Homeboyz 34 12 13 9 47:37 +10 49
7 KCB 34 13 9 12 36:37 -1 48
8 Murang'a SEAL 34 13 8 13 42:42 0 47
9 Tusker 34 13 6 15 27:32 -5 45
10 Bandari 34 9 17 8 26:26 0 44
11 Mara Sugar 34 10 14 10 30:30 0 44
12 Mathare United A 34 11 8 15 31:35 -4 41
13 Ulinzi Stars 34 11 8 15 35:37 -2 41
14 Posta Rangers 34 9 13 12 31:40 -9 40
15 APS Bomet 32 10 10 12 35:34 +1 40
16 Kariobangi Sharks 34 8 14 12 30:33 -3 38
17 Bidco United 34 5 12 17 19:40 -21 27
18 Sofapaka H 34 3 10 21 19:51 -32 19

Team Form

Sofapaka have lost 50% of their home matches this season, while Mathare United have been more resilient on the road (40% losses). The visitors may have a slight edge in consistency.

Sofapaka (Home Form) Mathare United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Drawn 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Lost 5 (50%) 4 (40%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Mathare United regularly see both teams score in away matches (60%), while Sofapaka are lower at home (50%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Sofapaka (Home Form) Mathare United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 5 (50%) 6 (60%)

Match Goals

Sofapaka have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 30% of home games, Mathare United in 40% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Sofapaka (Home Form) Mathare United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 8 (80%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 1 (10%)

Under Goals

Sofapaka (Home Form) Mathare United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 9 (90%)

Team Goals

Sofapaka have scored 2+ goals in 0% of home games this season, Mathare United in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Sofapaka (Home Form) Mathare United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Sofapaka (Home Form) Mathare United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 8 (80%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Sofapaka (Home Form) Mathare United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 7 (0.7 avg) 8 (0.8 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 13 (1.3 avg) 13 (1.3 avg)

Match Corners

Sofapaka regularly reach high corner counts at home (80%), while Mathare United are lower on the road (50%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

Sofapaka (Home Form) Mathare United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 8 (80%) 6 (60%)
Over 8.5 Corners 8 (80%) 5 (50%)
Over 9.5 Corners 8 (80%) 5 (50%)
Over 10.5 Corners 6 (60%) 3 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 12.5 Corners 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Team Corners

Sofapaka have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 50% of home matches.

Mathare United have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

Corners Won

Sofapaka (Home Form) Mathare United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Sofapaka (Home Form) Mathare United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 8 (80%) 3 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 7 (70%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Lake Macquarie City W vs Charlestown Azzurri W 11:00 BST | Northern NSW NPL Women, Australia Lake Macquarie City W have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 home matches this season · Charlestown Azzurri W have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    100% combined
  • Tuggeranong United U23 vs Monaro Panthers U23 08:30 BST | Capital Territory NPL Youth League, Australia Tuggeranong United U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Monaro Panthers U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    91% combined
  • Tuggeranong United vs Monaro Panthers 10:30 BST | Capital Territory, Australia Tuggeranong United have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Monaro Panthers have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    91% combined
  • Sydney Olympic U20 vs SD Raiders U20 08:30 BST | New South Wales NPL Youth League, Australia Sydney Olympic U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 home matches this season · SD Raiders U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    85% combined
Acca odds (approx) 3.33
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Sofapaka vs Mathare United Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Sofapaka vs Mathare United?

Under 2.5 Goals — Sofapaka have stayed under 3 goals in 70% of home games, Mathare United in 60% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, Sofapaka or Mathare United?

Mathare United hold a slight form advantage away (10% wins) over Sofapaka at home (0% wins) in Premier League. A competitive fixture with the visitors potentially having the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between Sofapaka and Mathare United?

Mixed — Sofapaka have seen BTTS in 50% of home games, Mathare United in 60% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Premier League fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Sofapaka and Mathare United?

Uncertain — Sofapaka have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 30% of home games, Mathare United in 40% of away games in Premier League. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Sofapaka or Mathare United?

Mathare United have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 0% of away games compared to Sofapaka's 0% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Sofapaka and Mathare United?

Possibly — Sofapaka regularly reach high corner counts at home (80%), while Mathare United are lower on the road (50%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

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