Sofapaka vs Mathare United — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Premier League, Kenya
🕒 Friday 1st May, 11:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Sofapaka (0% home wins) hold a slight edge over Mathare United on the road (10% away wins), but the difference is minimal. View our Home Win, Away Win and Draw stats for more context.

Both sides have rarely seen 3+ goals this season — Sofapaka at 20% at home and Mathare United at 20% away. The numbers lean towards Under 2.5 Goals as the likely outcome.

BTTS trends are mixed for this fixture (Sofapaka 30% at home, Mathare United 50% away). Browse the full Both Teams to Score stats for more context.

Sofapaka regularly reach high corner totals at home (80%), while Mathare United are lower on the road (60%). The home side may drive the game to Over 9.5 Corners.

Our Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals — Sofapaka have stayed under 3 goals in 80% of home games, Mathare United in 80% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

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League Table

The full Premier League table for the 2025/2026 season, with Sofapaka (th) and Mathare United (th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Premier League 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Gor Mahia 27 17 6 4 44:19 +25 57
2 Leopards 28 16 7 5 36:21 +15 55
3 Police 28 12 11 5 26:17 +9 47
4 Homeboyz 28 12 10 6 42:29 +13 46
5 Shabana 28 13 7 8 32:30 +2 46
6 Tusker 28 12 5 11 24:26 -2 41
7 KCB 28 11 7 10 29:30 -1 40
8 Bandari 27 8 14 5 21:18 +3 38
9 Murang'a SEAL 27 10 8 9 33:31 +2 38
10 Nairobi United 25 10 8 7 33:25 +8 38
11 Mara Sugar 28 8 13 7 26:25 +1 37
12 Mathare United A 28 9 7 12 25:27 -2 34
13 Posta Rangers 27 7 10 10 23:32 -9 31
14 Ulinzi Stars 28 7 7 14 28:33 -5 28
15 Kariobangi Sharks 28 5 11 12 18:30 -12 26
16 Bidco United 28 4 10 14 16:33 -17 22
17 APS Bomet 25 4 9 12 23:32 -9 21
18 Sofapaka H 28 3 8 17 15:36 -21 17

Team Form

Sofapaka have lost 60% of their home matches this season, while Mathare United have been more resilient on the road (40% losses). The visitors may have a slight edge in consistency.

Sofapaka (Home Form) Mathare United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Drawn 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Lost 6 (60%) 4 (40%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Sofapaka have seen both teams score in 30% of home games, Mathare United in 50% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Sofapaka (Home Form) Mathare United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 3 (30%) 5 (50%)

Match Goals

Sofapaka (20% Over 2.5 at home) and Mathare United (20% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches this season. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

Over Goals

Sofapaka (Home Form) Mathare United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 7 (70%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Under Goals

Sofapaka (Home Form) Mathare United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Under 2.5 Goals 8 (80%) 8 (80%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 10 (100%)

Team Goals

Sofapaka have scored 2+ goals in 0% of home games this season, Mathare United in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Sofapaka (Home Form) Mathare United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Sofapaka (Home Form) Mathare United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 7 (70%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Sofapaka (Home Form) Mathare United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 4 (0.4 avg) 6 (0.6 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 13 (1.3 avg) 11 (1.1 avg)

Match Corners

Sofapaka regularly reach high corner counts at home (80%), while Mathare United are lower on the road (60%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

Sofapaka (Home Form) Mathare United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Over 8.5 Corners 8 (80%) 6 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners 8 (80%) 6 (60%)
Over 10.5 Corners 7 (70%) 5 (50%)
Over 11.5 Corners 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners 2 (20%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

Sofapaka have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of home matches.

Mathare United have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of away matches.

Corners Won

Sofapaka (Home Form) Mathare United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 3 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Sofapaka (Home Form) Mathare United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 7 (70%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 6 (60%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 2 (20%)

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • FC Bayern München vs VfB Stuttgart 16:30 BST | Bundesliga, Germany FC Bayern München have seen over 2.5 goals in 14/14 home matches this season · VfB Stuttgart have seen over 2.5 goals in 14/14 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    100% combined
  • Borussia Dortmund U19 vs Schalke 04 U19 10:00 BST | U19 Bundesliga, Germany Borussia Dortmund U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/10 home matches this season · Schalke 04 U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    90% combined
  • Sporting Cristal vs UTC Cajamarca 17:00 BST | Primera Division, Peru Sporting Cristal have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · UTC Cajamarca have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.7
    90% combined
  • Tainan City vs Tatung 08:30 BST | Taiwan Football Premier League, Taiwan Tainan City have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 home matches this season · Tatung have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 away matches this season · Odds: 1.57
    86% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.27
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Sofapaka vs Mathare United Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Sofapaka vs Mathare United?

Under 2.5 Goals — Sofapaka have stayed under 3 goals in 80% of home games, Mathare United in 80% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, Sofapaka or Mathare United?

Mathare United hold a slight form advantage away (10% wins) over Sofapaka at home (0% wins) in Premier League. A competitive fixture with the visitors potentially having the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between Sofapaka and Mathare United?

Mixed — Sofapaka have seen BTTS in 30% of home games, Mathare United in 50% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Premier League fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Sofapaka and Mathare United?

Unlikely — Sofapaka (20% Over 2.5 at home) and Mathare United (20% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches in Premier League. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Sofapaka or Mathare United?

Mathare United have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 0% of away games compared to Sofapaka's 0% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Sofapaka and Mathare United?

Possibly — Sofapaka regularly reach high corner counts at home (80%), while Mathare United are lower on the road (60%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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Home Win

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"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

James T. (London, UK)

"I love the focus on stats like home goals over 1.5 and away goals over 1.5—these are the exact numbers I need before placing a bet. I’ve been able to use the over/under goals data to great effect. Highly recommend this site if you're looking for reliable stats."

Steve C. (Birmingham, UK)

"I’m really impressed with the simplicity and focus of the stats on this site. Whether I’m checking for both teams to score or first half goals, I always get what I need quickly. It’s easy to navigate, and the range of stats really helps with my bets."

Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

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David H. (Glasgow, UK)

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