Southampton vs Middlesbrough | Betting Tips, Predictions & Stats (, Championship)

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals

Southampton sit 19th in the table after 4 games, averaging 2.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per home match this season. Middlesbrough are 1st after 4 games, averaging 1.7 scored and 1.4 conceded on the road. Southampton have the stronger home record this season (7/10, 70%) against a Middlesbrough side who've won 3/10 away (30%).

Goals look likely from both ends. Southampton have seen 3+ goals in 70% of home fixtures this season (7/10), and Middlesbrough in 80% of away games (8/10). Southampton average 2.2 scored and 0.8 conceded at home; Middlesbrough 1.7 and 1.4 on the road.

Both teams have regularly seen both sides score this season — Southampton in 60% of home games (6/10), Middlesbrough in 70% away (7/10). Southampton have scored in 100% of home fixtures; Middlesbrough in 80% of away games.

Southampton regularly generate high corner counts at home (10+ corners in 80% of fixtures, 8/10). Middlesbrough are lower on the road (50%). The home side's attacking style tends to produce set-piece volume regardless of the opponent.

Our Prediction: Over 2.5 Goals — Southampton have seen 3+ goals in 70% of home games, Middlesbrough in 80% of away games. The numbers suggest an open, high-scoring fixture.

League Table

The full Championship table for the 2025/2026 season, with Southampton (19th) and Middlesbrough (1st) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Championship 2025/2026

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Coventry City	46	28	11	7	97:45	+52	95
2	Ipswich Town	46	23	15	8	80:47	+33	84
3	Millwall	48	24	12	12	64:51	+13	84
4	Southampton H	48	23	15	10	84:57	+27	84
5	Middlesbrough A	49	22	15	12	73:50	+23	81
6	Hull City	49	23	11	15	73:66	+7	80
7	Wrexham	46	19	14	13	69:65	+4	71
8	Derby County	46	20	9	17	67:59	+8	69
9	Norwich City	46	19	8	19	63:56	+7	65
10	Birmingham City	46	17	13	16	57:56	+1	64
11	Swansea City	46	18	10	18	57:59	-2	64
12	Bristol City	46	17	11	18	59:59	0	62
13	Sheffield United	46	18	6	22	66:66	0	60
14	Preston North End	46	15	15	16	55:62	-7	60
15	Queens Park Rangers	46	16	10	20	61:73	-12	58
16	Watford	46	14	15	17	53:65	-12	57
17	Portsmouth	46	14	13	19	49:64	-15	55
18	Stoke City	46	15	10	21	51:56	-5	55
19	Charlton Athletic	46	13	14	19	44:58	-14	53
20	West Bromwich Albion	46	13	14	19	48:58	-10	53
21	Leicester City	46	12	16	18	58:68	-10	52
22	Blackburn Rovers	46	13	13	20	42:56	-14	52
23	Oxford United	46	11	14	21	45:59	-14	47
24	Sheffield Wednesday	46	2	12	32	29:89	-60	18

Team Form

Southampton have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 70% of their home matches compared to Middlesbrough's 30% away. The hosts hold a significant form advantage heading into this fixture.

	Southampton (Home Form)	Middlesbrough (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Won	7 (70%)	3 (30%)
Drawn	3 (30%)	4 (40%)
Lost	0 (0%)	3 (30%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Southampton have seen both teams score in 60% of home games this season, Middlesbrough in 70% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net — the stats support a goal at each end.

	Southampton (Home Form)	Middlesbrough (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)	6 (60%)	7 (70%)

Match Goals

Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 70% of Southampton's home games and 80% of Middlesbrough's away games this season. Both sides have consistently featured in high-scoring matches.

Over Goals

	Southampton (Home Form)	Middlesbrough (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Over 0.5 Goals	10 (100%)	9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals	9 (90%)	8 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals	7 (70%)	8 (80%)
Over 3.5 Goals	3 (30%)	6 (60%)

Under Goals

	Southampton (Home Form)	Middlesbrough (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Under 0.5 Goals	0 (0%)	1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals	1 (10%)	2 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals	3 (30%)	2 (20%)
Under 3.5 Goals	7 (70%)	4 (40%)

Team Goals

Southampton have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Middlesbrough in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

	Southampton (Home Form)	Middlesbrough (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored	10 (100%)	8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored	8 (80%)	6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored	2 (20%)	2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored	1 (10%)	1 (10%)

Goals Conceded

	Southampton (Home Form)	Middlesbrough (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded	6 (60%)	8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded	2 (20%)	5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded	0 (0%)	1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded	0 (0%)	0 (0%)

Goal Totals

	Southampton (Home Form)	Middlesbrough (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Total Goals Scored	22 (2.2 avg)	17 (1.7 avg)
Total Goals Conceded	8 (0.8 avg)	14 (1.4 avg)

Match Corners

Both Southampton (80% Over 8.5 at home) and Middlesbrough (70% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches. Expect plenty of set-piece opportunities from both sides.

	Southampton (Home Form)	Middlesbrough (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Over 7.5 Corners	10 (100%)	8 (80%)
Over 8.5 Corners	8 (80%)	7 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners	8 (80%)	5 (50%)
Over 10.5 Corners	5 (50%)	5 (50%)
Over 11.5 Corners	3 (30%)	4 (40%)
Over 12.5 Corners	3 (30%)	3 (30%)

Team Corners

Southampton have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Middlesbrough have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

Corners Won

	Southampton (Home Form)	Middlesbrough (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Over 4.5 Corners For	9 (90%)	5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners For	6 (60%)	4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners For	4 (40%)	4 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners For	2 (20%)	4 (40%)
Over 8.5 Corners For	2 (20%)	2 (20%)

Corners Conceded

	Southampton (Home Form)	Middlesbrough (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Over 4.5 Corners Against	4 (40%)	5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against	3 (30%)	5 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against	2 (20%)	2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against	2 (20%)	2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against	2 (20%)	1 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Southampton and Middlesbrough. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

29th Mar, 2024

Southampton

1 – 1 HT: 1-0

Middlesbrough

Corners 8–5 Cards 2–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

23rd Sep, 2023

Middlesbrough

2 – 1 HT: 1-1

Southampton

Corners 5–7 Cards 3–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

13th May, 2017

Middlesbrough

1 – 2 HT: 0-1

Southampton

Corners 6–3 Cards 3–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

11th Dec, 2016

Southampton

1 – 0 HT: 0-0

Middlesbrough

Corners 4–2 Cards 4–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

21st Apr, 2012

Middlesbrough

2 – 1 HT: 1-1

Southampton