St. Pauli vs FSV Mainz 05 — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Bundesliga, Germany
🕒 Sunday 3rd May, 14:30 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

Both teams are evenly matched — St. Pauli have won 30% of home games, FSV Mainz 05 30% of away games. A tight encounter is likely — see our Draw stats.

FSV Mainz 05 tend to be involved in matches with 2+ goals away from home (90%), while St. Pauli are lower (70%). Expect goals on the night, supporting Over 1.5 Goals.

Both St. Pauli and FSV Mainz 05 frequently see both teams scoring (60% and 60% respectively). BTTS – Yes looks highly probable with both sides regularly finding the net this season.

Both teams regularly see 8+ corners in recent games (60% and 70%) — Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Over 1.5 Goals — St. Pauli see 2+ goals in 70% of home games, FSV Mainz 05 in 90% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

The full Bundesliga table for the 2025/2026 season, with St. Pauli (16th) and FSV Mainz 05 (10th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Bundesliga 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 FC Bayern München 31 26 4 1 113:32 +81 82
2 Borussia Dortmund 31 20 7 4 65:31 +34 67
3 RB Leipzig 31 19 5 7 62:38 +24 62
4 VfB Stuttgart 31 17 6 8 63:43 +20 57
5 TSG Hoffenheim 31 17 6 8 61:45 +16 57
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 31 16 7 8 62:42 +20 55
7 SC Freiburg 31 12 7 12 44:52 -8 43
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 31 11 10 10 56:58 -2 43
9 FC Augsburg 31 10 7 14 39:55 -16 37
10 FSV Mainz 05 A 31 8 10 13 39:49 -10 34
11 Borussia Mönchengladbach 31 7 11 13 36:50 -14 32
12 Werder Bremen 31 8 8 15 36:54 -18 32
13 FC Union Berlin 31 8 8 15 35:55 -20 32
14 Hamburger SV 31 7 10 14 34:50 -16 31
15 FC Köln 31 7 10 14 45:53 -8 31
16 St. Pauli H 31 6 8 17 26:53 -27 26
17 VfL Wolfsburg 31 6 7 18 41:66 -25 25
18 Heidenheim 31 5 7 19 35:66 -31 22

Team Form

St. Pauli (30% home wins) and FSV Mainz 05 (30% away wins) are evenly matched on current form. The table below suggests this could be a closely contested fixture.

St. Pauli (Home Form) FSV Mainz 05 (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Drawn 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Lost 3 (30%) 3 (30%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

St. Pauli have seen both teams score in 60% of home games this season, FSV Mainz 05 in 60% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net — the stats support a goal at each end.

St. Pauli (Home Form) FSV Mainz 05 (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 6 (60%) 6 (60%)

Match Goals

St. Pauli have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, FSV Mainz 05 in 60% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

St. Pauli (Home Form) FSV Mainz 05 (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 8 (80%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 7 (70%) 9 (90%)
Over 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 3.5 Goals 1 (10%) 3 (30%)

Under Goals

St. Pauli (Home Form) FSV Mainz 05 (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Under 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Under 3.5 Goals 9 (90%) 7 (70%)

Team Goals

St. Pauli have scored 2+ goals in 0% of home games this season, FSV Mainz 05 in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

St. Pauli (Home Form) FSV Mainz 05 (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

St. Pauli (Home Form) FSV Mainz 05 (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 8 (80%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 2 (20%)

Goal Totals

St. Pauli (Home Form) FSV Mainz 05 (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 9 (0.9 avg) 11 (1.1 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 13 (1.3 avg) 16 (1.6 avg)

Match Corners

Both St. Pauli (60% Over 7.5 at home) and FSV Mainz 05 (70% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

St. Pauli (Home Form) FSV Mainz 05 (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Over 8.5 Corners 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 10.5 Corners 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners 2 (20%) 2 (20%)

Team Corners

St. Pauli have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

FSV Mainz 05 have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of away matches.

Corners Won

St. Pauli (Home Form) FSV Mainz 05 (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

St. Pauli (Home Form) FSV Mainz 05 (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 5 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 2 (20%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between St. Pauli and FSV Mainz 05. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

21 Dec 2025
FSV Mainz 05
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
St. Pauli
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
22 Feb 2025
FSV Mainz 05
2 – 0 HT: 0-0
St. Pauli
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
05 Oct 2024
St. Pauli
0 – 3 HT: 0-2
FSV Mainz 05
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
14 May 2011
Mainz 05
2 – 1 HT: 0-1
St. Pauli
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
18 Dec 2010
St. Pauli
2 – 4 HT: 1-3
Mainz 05
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
10 May 2009
St. Pauli
2 – 0 HT: 1-0
Mainz 05
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
23 Nov 2008
Mainz 05
2 – 2 HT: 0-1
St. Pauli
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
18 May 2008
Mainz 05
5 – 1 HT: 3-0
St. Pauli
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
14 Dec 2007
St. Pauli
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Mainz 05
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for St. Pauli vs FSV Mainz 05 across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

St. Pauli 2.94
Draw 3.4
FSV Mainz 05 2.66

Half Time Result

St. Pauli 3.53
Draw 2.19
FSV Mainz 05 3.34

Double Chance

St. Pauli or Draw 1.52
St. Pauli or FSV Mainz 05 1.35
Draw or FSV Mainz 05 1.42

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.9
No 2.06

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.4
Over 2.5 2.2
Over 3.5 4.1
Under 1.5 3.4
Under 2.5 1.79
Under 3.5 1.3

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.44
Over 1.5 3

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.34
Over 9.5 1.48
Over 10.5 2.31
Over 11.5 2.44

St. Pauli Goals

Over 0.5 1.33
Over 1.5 2.8

FSV Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5 1.32
Over 1.5 2.66

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Dacia Unirea Brăila vs Olimpia Râmnicu Sărat 16:00 BST | 3. Liga: Series 2, Romania Dacia Unirea Brăila have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Olimpia Râmnicu Sărat have seen over 2.5 goals in 12/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.36
    92% combined
  • Mounties Wanderers vs Stanmore Hawks 11:00 BST | New South Wales NPL 3, Australia Mounties Wanderers have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 home matches this season · Stanmore Hawks have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    83% combined
  • Hamburger SV W vs Union Berlin W 14:00 BST | Google Pixel Frauen-Bundesliga, Germany Hamburger SV W have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/11 home matches this season · Union Berlin W have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.53
    82% combined
  • Prestice vs Petřín Plzeň II 15:00 BST | 4. Liga Division A, Czech Republic Prestice have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/11 home matches this season · Petřín Plzeň II have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    82% combined
Acca odds (approx) 3.9
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St. Pauli vs FSV Mainz 05 Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for St. Pauli vs FSV Mainz 05?

Over 1.5 Goals — St. Pauli see 2+ goals in 70% of home games, FSV Mainz 05 in 90% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Which team is likely to win, St. Pauli or FSV Mainz 05?

Both sides are evenly matched on current form — St. Pauli have won 30% of home games, FSV Mainz 05 30% away in Bundesliga. This looks like a closely contested fixture.

Will both teams score in the match between St. Pauli and FSV Mainz 05?

Mixed — St. Pauli have seen BTTS in 60% of home games, FSV Mainz 05 in 60% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Bundesliga fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between St. Pauli and FSV Mainz 05?

Uncertain — St. Pauli have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, FSV Mainz 05 in 60% of away games in Bundesliga. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: St. Pauli or FSV Mainz 05?

FSV Mainz 05 have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 0% of away games compared to St. Pauli's 0% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between St. Pauli and FSV Mainz 05?

St. Pauli have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 60% of home games, FSV Mainz 05 in 60% of away games in Bundesliga. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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James T. (London, UK)

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