CAF Champions League · Africa 🕒 Friday 6th February, 00:00 GMT

Stade Malien Bamako vs ES Tunis Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Stade Malien Bamako Home · 1st 7W 2D 1L last 10 home
VS
ES Tunis Away · 2nd 7W 2D 1L last 10 away
Win Probability
Stade Malien Bamako 41% Draw 29% ES Tunis 30%
⭐ Our Prediction Under 2.5 Goals See why ↓

Stade Malien Bamako vs ES Tunis Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Medium confidence

Stade Malien Bamako have stayed under 3 goals in 70% of home games, ES Tunis in 70% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

What the model says
41% Stade Malien Bamako win 29% Draw 30% ES Tunis win 45% BTTS 40% Over 2.5 Goals 1-0 most likely score
Also worth a look

Stade Malien Bamako sit 1st in the table after 6 games, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per home match this season. ES Tunis are 2nd after 6 games, averaging 1.6 scored and 0.3 conceded on the road. The form figures are level — Stade Malien Bamako have won 70% of home games, ES Tunis 70% away. A tight, hard-to-call fixture.

Both sides have been involved in low-scoring matches this season. Stade Malien Bamako have seen 3+ goals in only 30% of home fixtures; ES Tunis in 30% away. Stade Malien Bamako average 1.4 scored and 0.4 conceded at home, ES Tunis 1.6 and 0.3 on the road — the numbers point toward a tight game.

Both sides have solid defensive records in context. Stade Malien Bamako have seen BTTS in only 20% of home games (2/10); ES Tunis in 20% away (2/10). At least one clean sheet looks likely.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season — Stade Malien Bamako see 8+ in 60% of home games, ES Tunis in 70% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

League Table

Where Stade Malien Bamako (1st) and ES Tunis (2nd) sit in the CAF Champions League table for the 2025/2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
3 ES Tunis A 14 8 3 3 21:9 +12 27
6 Stade Malien Bamako H 12 7 3 2 17:6 +11 24
View the full CAF Champions League 2025/2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Mamelodi Sundowns 14 8 4 2 23:10 +13 28
2 Pyramids FC 12 8 3 1 24:6 +18 27
3 ES Tunis A 14 8 3 3 21:9 +12 27
4 FAR Rabat 16 7 6 3 17:9 +8 27
5 RSB Berkane 14 7 4 3 18:13 +5 25
6 Stade Malien Bamako H 12 7 3 2 17:6 +11 24
7 Al Hilal Omdurman 12 6 4 2 15:10 +5 22
8 Petro de Luanda 10 5 3 2 13:6 +7 18
9 Young Africans 10 5 2 3 12:5 +7 17
10 Al Ahly 10 4 4 2 12:7 +5 16
11 JS Kabylie 10 4 3 3 13:9 +4 15
12 Power Dynamos 10 4 2 4 8:10 -2 14
13 Simba 10 3 4 3 10:8 +2 13
14 MC Alger 10 3 4 3 9:7 +2 13
15 Saint Eloi Lupopo 10 3 3 4 8:11 -3 12
16 Orlando Pirates 4 3 0 1 10:3 +7 9
17 Rivers United 10 2 2 6 6:15 -9 8
18 Vipers 4 2 1 1 4:3 +1 7
19 US Monastir 4 2 0 2 8:6 +2 6
20 Colombe 4 1 3 0 2:1 +1 6
21 Stade d'Abidjan 4 2 0 2 5:5 0 6
22 Remo Stars 4 2 0 2 6:7 -1 6
23 Al Ahli Tripoli 4 1 2 1 3:3 0 5
24 Nouadhibou 4 1 2 1 3:3 0 5
25 Silver Strikers 4 1 2 1 2:3 -1 5
26 Black Bulls Maputo 4 1 2 1 2:3 -1 5
27 Ethiopian Medhin 4 1 1 2 5:6 -1 4
28 Horoya 4 1 1 2 3:5 -2 4
29 Nsingizini Hotspurs 4 1 1 2 1:4 -3 4
30 Mogadishu City 2 1 0 1 3:3 0 3
31 ASEC Mimosas 2 1 0 1 1:1 0 3
32 Simba Bhora 2 1 0 1 1:1 0 3
33 Mlandege 2 1 0 1 3:4 -1 3
34 Al Hilal 2 1 0 1 1:2 -1 3
35 Police 4 1 0 3 4:7 -3 3
36 ASAS 2 0 2 0 1:1 0 2
37 Elgeco Plus 2 0 2 0 1:1 0 2
38 Mangasport 2 0 2 0 0:0 0 2
39 Leopards de Dolisie 2 0 2 0 0:0 0 2
40 Aigle Noir 4 0 2 2 1:3 -2 2
41 Rahimo FC 4 0 2 2 0:4 -4 2
42 Gaborone United 2 0 1 1 1:2 -1 1
43 Al Merreikh 2 0 1 1 0:1 -1 1
44 Jamus 2 0 1 1 0:1 -1 1
45 Les Aigles du congo 2 0 1 1 0:1 -1 1
46 Jaraaf 2 0 1 1 0:1 -1 1
47 Dadjè 2 0 1 1 0:1 -1 1
48 Kara 2 0 1 1 2:4 -2 1
49 Fundacion Bata 2 0 1 1 0:2 -2 1
50 Fassell 2 0 1 1 0:3 -3 1
51 African Stars 2 0 0 2 0:2 -2 0
52 Real de Banjul 2 0 0 2 1:4 -3 0
53 Cote d'Or 2 0 0 2 1:5 -4 0
54 APR 2 0 0 2 0:5 -5 0
55 Wiliete 2 0 0 2 0:5 -5 0
56 Zilimadjou 2 0 0 2 0:5 -5 0
57 East End Lions 2 0 0 2 1:7 -6 0
58 AS-FAN 2 0 0 2 1:7 -6 0
59 Cercle de Joachim 2 0 0 2 0:6 -6 0
60 Lioli 2 0 0 2 0:7 -7 0
61 Tempete Mocaf 2 0 0 2 0:7 -7 0
62 Bibiani Gold Stars FC 2 0 0 2 0:7 -7 0

Team Form

Stade Malien Bamako (70% home wins) and ES Tunis (70% away wins) are evenly matched on current form. The stats below suggest this could be a closely contested fixture.

H Stade Malien Bamako — last 10 home A ES Tunis — last 10 away
Won
H
7/10 (70%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Drawn
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Lost
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Stade Malien Bamako (20% BTTS at home) and ES Tunis (20% BTTS away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches this season. A clean sheet for one side looks the more likely outcome.

H Stade Malien Bamako — last 10 home A ES Tunis — last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Scored Themselves
H
8/10 (80%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Conceded
H
3/10 (30%)
A
3/10 (30%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 45% · BTTS No 55%

Match Goals

Stade Malien Bamako (30% Over 2.5 at home) and ES Tunis (30% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches this season. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

H Stade Malien Bamako — last 10 home A ES Tunis — last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
8/10 (80%)

Team Goals

Stade Malien Bamako have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, ES Tunis in 30% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Stade Malien Bamako 1.4 scored · 0.4 conceded per home game ES Tunis 1.6 scored · 0.3 conceded per away game
H Stade Malien Bamako — last 10 home A ES Tunis — last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
8/10 (80%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
5/10 (50%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
3/10 (30%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Season totals: Stade Malien Bamako 14 scored / 4 conceded at home · ES Tunis 16 scored / 3 conceded away

Match Corners

Both Stade Malien Bamako (60% Over 7.5 at home) and ES Tunis (70% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

H Stade Malien Bamako — last 10 home A ES Tunis — last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Team Corners

Stade Malien Bamako have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 50% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

ES Tunis have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 50% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of away matches.

H Stade Malien Bamako — last 10 home A ES Tunis — last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
6/10 (60%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
6/10 (60%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
5/10 (50%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
1/10 (10%)
A
4/10 (40%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Stade Malien Bamako and ES Tunis. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

22 Nov 2025
ES Tunis
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Stade Malien Bamako
09 Aug 2015
Stade Malien Bamako
0 – 1 HT: 0-1
ES Tunis
25 Jul 2015
ES Tunis
1 – 2 HT: 1-1
Stade Malien Bamako

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Stade Malien Bamako vs ES Tunis across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

Value Stade Malien Bamako 3.2 Model: 41%
Draw 3 Model: 29%
ES Tunis 2.2 Model: 30%

Both Teams to Score

Value Yes 2.5 Model: 45%
No 1.5 Model: 55%

Total Goals

Value Over 1.5 1.61 Model: 65%
Over 2.5 2.35 Model: 40%
Value Over 3.5 5.5 Model: 21%
Under 1.5 2.2 Model: 35%
Under 2.5 1.4 Model: 60%
Under 3.5 1.08 Model: 79%

1st Half Goals

Value Over 0.5 1.63 Model: 71%
Over 1.5 3.94

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.83 Model: 46%
Over 9.5 2.5 Model: 35%
Over 10.5 3.5 Model: 25%
Over 11.5 5 Model: 18%
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

Value Stade Malien Bamako 5 Model: 28%
Draw 1.83 Model: 49%
ES Tunis 2.87 Model: 23%

Double Chance

Value Stade Malien Bamako or Draw 1.66 Model: 70%
Stade Malien Bamako or ES Tunis 1.36 Model: 71%
Draw or ES Tunis 1.25 Model: 59%

Stade Malien Bamako Goals

Value Over 0.5 1.72 Model: 69%
Value Over 1.5 5.15 Model: 34%

ES Tunis Goals

Over 0.5 1.33 Model: 61%
Over 1.5 2.75 Model: 27%

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Linero vs Karlskrona 13:00 BST | Division 2: Sodra Gotaland, Sweden Linero have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 home matches this season · Karlskrona have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.53
    90% combined
  • Phoenix vs Tammeka II 10:30 BST | Esiliiga B, Estonia Phoenix have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/8 home matches this season · Tammeka II have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.2
    90% combined
  • Toronto II vs Connecticut United 20:00 BST | MLS Next Pro, United States Toronto II have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Connecticut United have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 away matches this season · Odds: 1.6
    85% combined
  • Enkoping vs Vasalund 15:00 BST | Ettan: North, Sweden Enkoping have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 home matches this season · Vasalund have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    83% combined

Stade Malien Bamako vs ES Tunis Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Stade Malien Bamako vs ES Tunis?

Under 2.5 Goals — Stade Malien Bamako have stayed under 3 goals in 70% of home games, ES Tunis in 70% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, Stade Malien Bamako or ES Tunis?

Both sides are evenly matched on current form — Stade Malien Bamako have won 70% of home games, ES Tunis 70% away in CAF Champions League. This looks like a closely contested fixture.

Will both teams score in the match between Stade Malien Bamako and ES Tunis?

Unlikely — Stade Malien Bamako (20% BTTS at home) and ES Tunis (20% away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches in CAF Champions League. A clean sheet for one side looks the more probable outcome.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Stade Malien Bamako and ES Tunis?

Unlikely — Stade Malien Bamako (30% Over 2.5 at home) and ES Tunis (30% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches in CAF Champions League. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Stade Malien Bamako or ES Tunis?

ES Tunis have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 30% of away games compared to Stade Malien Bamako's 10% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Stade Malien Bamako and ES Tunis?

Stade Malien Bamako have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 60% of home games, ES Tunis in 60% of away games in CAF Champions League. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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