Stevenage vs Luton Town — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 League One, England
🕒 Saturday 4th October, 15:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 3.5 Goals

Stevenage have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 7/10 home matches (70%). Luton Town have struggled on the road, winning only 2/10 away games (20%). The hosts look strong favourites — see our Home Win stats.

Both sides have rarely seen 3+ goals this season — Stevenage at 40% at home and Luton Town at 40% away. The numbers lean towards Under 2.5 Goals as the likely outcome.

BTTS trends are mixed for this fixture (Stevenage 50% at home, Luton Town 50% away). Browse the full Both Teams to Score stats for more context.

Luton Town often produce high corner totals away (70%), while Stevenage are lower at home (20%). The visitors may push the game to Over 9.5 Corners.

Our Prediction: Under 3.5 Goals — Stevenage have stayed under 4 goals in 90% of home matches, Luton Town in 80% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

League Table

The full League One table for the 2025/2026 season, with Stevenage (2nd) and Luton Town (9th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

League One 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Lincoln City 43 28 10 5 81:38 +43 94
2 Cardiff City 43 25 10 8 80:44 +36 85
3 Bolton Wanderers 44 19 17 8 67:48 +19 74
4 Bradford City 43 21 9 13 54:48 +6 72
5 Stockport County 42 20 11 11 64:53 +11 71
6 Stevenage H 43 19 11 13 46:45 +1 68
7 Plymouth Argyle 43 20 6 17 69:59 +10 66
8 Luton Town A 43 18 11 14 61:53 +8 65
9 Huddersfield Town 44 17 13 14 69:60 +9 64
10 Reading 44 16 14 14 63:58 +5 62
11 Wycombe Wanderers 44 16 12 16 63:52 +11 60
12 Doncaster Rovers 43 16 8 19 46:65 -19 56
13 Barnsley 42 14 14 14 65:67 -2 56
14 Wigan Athletic 44 14 14 16 49:56 -7 56
15 Mansfield Town 42 13 16 13 52:45 +7 55
16 Blackpool 44 15 9 20 52:65 -13 54
17 Burton Albion 44 13 13 18 47:57 -10 52
18 Peterborough United 43 15 7 21 62:62 0 52
19 Leyton Orient 44 14 9 21 57:68 -11 51
20 AFC Wimbledon 44 14 8 22 50:68 -18 50
21 Exeter City 44 12 12 20 50:58 -8 48
22 Rotherham United 43 10 10 23 38:65 -27 40
23 Port Vale 42 9 12 21 33:55 -22 39
24 Northampton Town 43 9 8 26 36:65 -29 35

Team Form

Stevenage have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 70% of their home matches compared to Luton Town's 20% away. The hosts hold a significant form advantage heading into this fixture.

Stevenage (Home Form) Luton Town (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 7 (70%) 2 (20%)
Drawn 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Lost 1 (10%) 5 (50%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Stevenage have seen both teams score in 50% of home games, Luton Town in 50% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Stevenage (Home Form) Luton Town (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 5 (50%) 5 (50%)

Match Goals

Stevenage have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Luton Town in 40% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Stevenage (Home Form) Luton Town (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals 1 (10%) 2 (20%)

Under Goals

Stevenage (Home Form) Luton Town (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Under 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Under 3.5 Goals 9 (90%) 8 (80%)

Team Goals

Stevenage have scored 2+ goals in 0% of home games this season, Luton Town in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Stevenage (Home Form) Luton Town (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 10 (100%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Stevenage (Home Form) Luton Town (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 5 (50%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Stevenage (Home Form) Luton Town (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 13 (1.3 avg) 10 (1 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 7 (0.7 avg) 12 (1.2 avg)

Match Corners

Luton Town frequently reach high corner counts away from home (70%), while Stevenage are lower at home (30%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Stevenage (Home Form) Luton Town (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 5 (50%) 8 (80%)
Over 8.5 Corners 3 (30%) 7 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners 2 (20%) 7 (70%)
Over 10.5 Corners 1 (10%) 6 (60%)
Over 11.5 Corners 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

Stevenage have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of home matches.

Luton Town have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of away matches.

Corners Won

Stevenage (Home Form) Luton Town (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 2 (20%)

Corners Conceded

Stevenage (Home Form) Luton Town (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 8 (80%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 7 (70%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Stevenage and Luton Town. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

10th Aug, 2021
Stevenage
2 – 2 HT: 2-2
Luton Town
10th Feb, 2018
Stevenage
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Luton Town
14th Oct, 2017
Luton Town
7 – 1 HT: 3-1
Stevenage
11th Mar, 2017
Luton Town
0 – 2 HT: 0-1
Stevenage
20th Aug, 2016
Stevenage
2 – 1 HT: 0-1
Luton Town
2nd Apr, 2016
Luton Town
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Stevenage
21st Nov, 2015
Stevenage
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Luton Town
2nd May, 2015
Luton Town
2 – 0 HT: 2-0
Stevenage
4th Oct, 2014
Stevenage
1 – 2 HT: 1-1
Luton Town
3rd Apr, 2010
Stevenage
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Luton Town

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Stevenage vs Luton Town across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Stevenage 2.6
Draw 3
Luton Town 2.8

Half Time Result

Stevenage 3.51
Draw 2
Luton Town 3.6

Double Chance

Stevenage or Draw 1.4
Stevenage or Luton Town 1.36
Draw or Luton Town 1.5

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2
No 1.75

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.44
Over 2.5 2.4
Over 3.5 4.5
Under 1.5 2.62
Under 2.5 1.53
Under 3.5 1.18

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.46
Over 1.5 3.3

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.24
Over 9.5 1.48
Over 10.5 2.05
Over 11.5 2.28

Stevenage Goals

Over 0.5 1.36
Over 1.5 2.84
Over 2.5 7.3

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5 1.33
Over 1.5 2.81
Over 2.5 6

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Eger W vs Kazincbarcika W 17:30 BST | Nöi NB II, Hungary Eger W have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Kazincbarcika W have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/7 away matches this season · Odds: 1.7
    91% combined
  • Watford U21 vs Charlton Athletic U21 13:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Watford U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 home matches this season · Charlton Athletic U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    85% combined
  • SK Artis Brno vs Táborsko 16:00 BST | Chance Národní Liga, Czech Republic SK Artis Brno have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/11 home matches this season · Táborsko have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/11 away matches this season · Odds: 2
    82% combined
  • Westerlo U21 vs Beerschot-Wilrijk U21 19:00 BST | Reserve Pro League, Belgium Westerlo U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/10 home matches this season · Beerschot-Wilrijk U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/10 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    75% combined

Stevenage vs Luton Town Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Stevenage vs Luton Town?

Under 3.5 Goals — Stevenage have stayed under 4 goals in 90% of home matches, Luton Town in 80% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

Which team is likely to win, Stevenage or Luton Town?

Stevenage hold a clear form advantage — they've won 70% of home games in League One this season, while Luton Town have won only 20% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Stevenage and Luton Town?

Mixed — Stevenage have seen BTTS in 50% of home games, Luton Town in 50% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this League One fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Stevenage and Luton Town?

Uncertain — Stevenage have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Luton Town in 40% of away games in League One. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Stevenage or Luton Town?

Luton Town have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 10% of away games compared to Stevenage's 0% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Stevenage and Luton Town?

Possibly — Luton Town frequently reach high corner counts away (70%), while Stevenage are lower at home (30%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

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