Sukhothai vs BG Pathum United — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Thai Premier League, Thailand
🕒 Sunday 26th October, 11:30 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

BG Pathum United have a clear advantage in away form this season (6/10, 60%), while Sukhothai are less dominant at home (4/10, 40%). The visitors may have the edge — see our Away Win stats.

Both sides have rarely seen 3+ goals this season — Sukhothai at 40% at home and BG Pathum United at 10% away. The numbers lean towards Under 2.5 Goals as the likely outcome.

Sukhothai often see both teams score at home (60%), while BG Pathum United are less consistent on the road (30%). There's still a reasonable case for BTTS – Yes, mainly driven by the home side's open style.

BG Pathum United regularly hit 8+ corners on the road (60%). Expect them to create set-piece pressure, supporting Over 8.5 Corners.

Our Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals — Sukhothai have stayed under 3 goals in 60% of home games, BG Pathum United in 90% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

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See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

The full Thai Premier League table for the 2025/2026 season, with Sukhothai (11th) and BG Pathum United (5th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Thai Premier League 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Buriram United 26 21 3 2 71:23 +48 66
2 Port FC 26 15 5 6 51:21 +30 50
3 Ratchaburi Mitrphol FC 25 14 5 6 42:26 +16 47
4 True Bangkok United 25 12 9 4 36:23 +13 45
5 BG Pathum United A 26 12 8 6 40:28 +12 44
6 PT Prachuap FC 26 8 12 6 32:33 -1 36
7 Chonburi FC 26 9 7 10 34:36 -2 34
8 Rayong 25 8 8 9 37:37 0 32
9 Ayutthaya United 27 8 8 11 31:39 -8 32
10 Singha Chiangrai United 26 6 12 8 32:37 -5 30
11 Uthai Thani 25 6 9 10 34:38 -4 27
12 Lamphun Warrior 27 4 14 9 33:45 -12 26
13 Sukhothai H 27 5 10 12 19:39 -20 25
14 Kanchanaburi 27 4 10 13 26:48 -22 22
15 Nakhonratchasima Mazda FC 26 5 6 15 17:39 -22 21
16 SCG Muangthong United 26 5 6 15 24:47 -23 21

Team Form

BG Pathum United have shown strong away form this season (60% wins), while Sukhothai have been less dominant at home (40%). The visitors may have the form edge in this one.

Sukhothai (Home Form) BG Pathum United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 4 (40%) 6 (60%)
Drawn 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Lost 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Sukhothai frequently see both teams score at home (60%), while BG Pathum United are less consistent on the road (30%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Sukhothai (Home Form) BG Pathum United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 6 (60%) 3 (30%)

Match Goals

Sukhothai have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, BG Pathum United in 10% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Sukhothai (Home Form) BG Pathum United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 8 (80%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Under Goals

Sukhothai (Home Form) BG Pathum United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 9 (90%)
Under 3.5 Goals 10 (100%) 9 (90%)

Team Goals

Sukhothai have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, BG Pathum United in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Sukhothai (Home Form) BG Pathum United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 7 (70%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Sukhothai (Home Form) BG Pathum United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 7 (70%) 4 (40%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Sukhothai (Home Form) BG Pathum United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 12 (1.2 avg) 15 (1.5 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 7 (0.7 avg) 4 (0.4 avg)

Match Corners

Sukhothai have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 40% of home games, BG Pathum United in 40% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Sukhothai (Home Form) BG Pathum United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 4 (40%) 6 (60%)
Over 8.5 Corners 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 9.5 Corners 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 10.5 Corners 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Team Corners

Sukhothai have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

BG Pathum United have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

Corners Won

Sukhothai (Home Form) BG Pathum United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Sukhothai (Home Form) BG Pathum United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Sukhothai and BG Pathum United. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

27th Apr, 2025
BG Pathum United
4 – 4 HT: 4-1
Sukhothai
Corners 6–3 Cards 2–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
10th Aug, 2024
Sukhothai
1 – 3 HT: 1-2
BG Pathum United
Corners 3–3 Cards 3–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
9th Mar, 2024
BG Pathum United
7 – 1 HT: 4-0
Sukhothai
Corners 8–9 Cards 1–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
7th Oct, 2023
Sukhothai
1 – 2 HT: 0-0
BG Pathum United
Corners 5–6 Cards 3–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
22nd Apr, 2023
Sukhothai
2 – 0 HT: 2-0
BG Pathum United
Corners 6–5 Cards 2–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
9th Nov, 2022
BG Pathum United
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Sukhothai
Corners 13–2 Cards 1–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
4th Mar, 2021
BG Pathum United
2 – 0 HT: 1-0
Sukhothai
Corners 7–1 Cards 1–5 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
25th Oct, 2020
Sukhothai
2 – 3 HT: 1-2
BG Pathum United
Corners 3–5 Cards 2–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
4th Aug, 2018
BG Pathum United
5 – 1 HT: 0-0
Sukhothai
Corners 9–4 Cards 2–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
11th Apr, 2018
Sukhothai
1 – 1 HT: 0-1
BG Pathum United
Corners 5–9 Cards 0–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Sukhothai vs BG Pathum United across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Sukhothai 3.21
Draw 3.49
BG Pathum United 2.21

Half Time Result

Sukhothai 3.4
Draw 2.25
BG Pathum United 2.75

Double Chance

Sukhothai or Draw 1.68
Sukhothai or BG Pathum United 1.31
Draw or BG Pathum United 1.3

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.62
No 2.3

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.17
Over 2.5 1.76
Over 3.5 2.85
Under 1.5 4.09
Under 2.5 2.08
Under 3.5 1.42

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.31
Over 1.5 2.61

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.18
Over 9.5 1.41
Over 10.5 2.11
Over 11.5 2.24

Sukhothai Goals

Over 0.5 1.31
Over 1.5 2.59

BG Pathum United Goals

Over 0.5 1.15
Over 1.5 2.03

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Manchester City U21 vs Norwich City U21 19:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Manchester City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 home matches this season · Norwich City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    89% combined
  • Crewe Alexandra U21 vs Queens Park Rangers U21 13:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Crewe Alexandra U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/13 home matches this season · Queens Park Rangers U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    81% combined
  • Sheffield United U21 vs Bristol City U21 14:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Sheffield United U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 home matches this season · Bristol City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    76% combined
  • Newcastle United U21 vs Wolves U21 19:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Newcastle United U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/9 home matches this season · Wolves U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    72% combined
Acca odds (approx) 2.92
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Sukhothai vs BG Pathum United Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Sukhothai vs BG Pathum United?

Under 2.5 Goals — Sukhothai have stayed under 3 goals in 60% of home games, BG Pathum United in 90% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, Sukhothai or BG Pathum United?

BG Pathum United arrive in the better form — winning 60% of away games in Thai Premier League this season compared to Sukhothai's 40% at home. The visitors may have the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between Sukhothai and BG Pathum United?

Mixed — Sukhothai have seen BTTS in 60% of home games, BG Pathum United in 30% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Thai Premier League fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Sukhothai and BG Pathum United?

Uncertain — Sukhothai have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, BG Pathum United in 10% of away games in Thai Premier League. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Sukhothai or BG Pathum United?

BG Pathum United have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 10% of away games compared to Sukhothai's 10% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Sukhothai and BG Pathum United?

Sukhothai have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 40% of home games, BG Pathum United in 40% of away games in Thai Premier League. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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