Virsliga · Latvia 🕒 Saturday 4th October, 14:00 BST

Super Nova vs FS Jelgava Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Super Nova Home · 8th 2W 3D 5L last 10 home
VS
FS Jelgava Away · 6th 1W 6D 3L last 10 away
Win Probability
Super Nova 33% Draw 25% FS Jelgava 42%
⭐ Our Prediction Over 1.5 Goals See why ↓

Super Nova vs FS Jelgava Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

Medium confidence

Super Nova see 2+ goals in 100% of home games, FS Jelgava in 70% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

What the model says
33% Super Nova win 25% Draw 42% FS Jelgava win 58% BTTS 56% Over 2.5 Goals 1-1 most likely score
Also worth a look
66% Under 3.5 Goals 66% Over 8.5 Corners

Super Nova sit 8th in the table after 28 games, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per home match this season. FS Jelgava are 6th after 29 games, averaging 0.7 scored and 1.6 conceded on the road. Super Nova have won 2/10 home games (20%) this season; FS Jelgava have won 1/10 on the road (10%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Super Nova have been involved in high-scoring home games this season. Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 70% of their home fixtures (7/10). FS Jelgava are lower on the road (30%, 3/10), averaging 0.7 scored and 1.6 conceded away from home.

Super Nova frequently see both teams score at home (90%, 9/10). FS Jelgava are lower on the road (50%, 5/10). They've scored in 60% of away games this season, which is the key variable.

Super Nova regularly generate high corner counts at home (10+ corners in 90% of fixtures, 9/10). FS Jelgava are lower on the road (40%). The home side's attacking style tends to produce set-piece volume regardless of the opponent.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

Where Super Nova (8th) and FS Jelgava (6th) sit in the Virsliga table for the 2025 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
6 FS Jelgava A 36 8 14 14 39:46 -7 38
9 Super Nova H 36 6 14 16 44:56 -12 32
View the full Virsliga 2025 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Riga 36 27 7 2 85:26 +59 88
2 Rīgas FS 36 28 3 5 100:39 +61 87
3 Liepāja 36 18 7 11 59:55 +4 61
4 FC Daugavpils 36 13 9 14 52:62 -10 48
5 Auda 36 13 6 17 44:49 -5 45
6 FS Jelgava A 36 8 14 14 39:46 -7 38
7 Tukums 36 9 9 18 39:63 -24 36
8 Grobiņa 38 9 9 20 34:64 -30 36
9 Super Nova H 36 6 14 16 44:56 -12 32
10 Metta / LU 36 8 7 21 39:74 -35 31
11 JDFS Alberts 2 0 1 1 0:1 -1 1

Team Form

Super Nova have lost 50% of their home matches this season, while FS Jelgava have been more resilient on the road (30% losses). The visitors may have a slight edge in consistency.

H Super Nova: last 10 home A FS Jelgava: last 10 away
Won
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Drawn
H
3/10 (30%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Lost
H
5/10 (50%)
A
3/10 (30%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Super Nova frequently see both teams score at home (90%), while FS Jelgava are less consistent on the road (50%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

H Super Nova: last 10 home A FS Jelgava: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
9/10 (90%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Scored Themselves
H
10/10 (100%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Conceded
H
9/10 (90%)
A
8/10 (80%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 58% · BTTS No 42%

Match Goals

Super Nova frequently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 in 70%), while FS Jelgava are lower on the road (30%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

H Super Nova: last 10 home A FS Jelgava: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
7/10 (70%)

Team Goals

Super Nova have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, FS Jelgava in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Super Nova 1.4 scored · 1.7 conceded per home game FS Jelgava 0.7 scored · 1.6 conceded per away game
H Super Nova: last 10 home A FS Jelgava: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
10/10 (100%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
9/10 (90%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
5/10 (50%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Season totals: Super Nova 14 scored / 17 conceded at home · FS Jelgava 7 scored / 16 conceded away

Match Corners

Super Nova regularly reach high corner counts at home (90%), while FS Jelgava are lower on the road (40%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

H Super Nova: last 10 home A FS Jelgava: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
9/10 (90%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
9/10 (90%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
10/10 (100%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
7/10 (70%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Team Corners

Super Nova have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 10% of games), but also concede 7+ corners in 70% of home matches, giving opponents significant set-piece opportunities.

FS Jelgava have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of away matches.

H Super Nova: last 10 home A FS Jelgava: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
9/10 (90%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
4/10 (40%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
9/10 (90%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
9/10 (90%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
9/10 (90%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
7/10 (70%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
4/10 (40%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Super Nova and FS Jelgava. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up. Use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

20th Jul, 2025
FS Jelgava
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Super Nova
Corners – Cards 0–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
21st May, 2025
Super Nova
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
FS Jelgava
Corners 5–10 Cards 3–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
5th Apr, 2025
FS Jelgava
2 – 1 HT: 1-0
Super Nova
Corners 7–2 Cards 2–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
1st Oct, 2023
Super Nova
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
FS Jelgava
Corners 6–3 Cards 1–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
Show 3 more meetings
9th Jul, 2023
FS Jelgava
2 – 2 HT: 1-1
Super Nova
Corners 3–3 Cards 2–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
18th May, 2023
Super Nova
2 – 2 HT: 2-1
FS Jelgava
Corners 3–9 Cards 3–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
5th Apr, 2023
FS Jelgava
2 – 0 HT: 0-0
Super Nova
Corners 9–3 Cards 1–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Super Nova vs FS Jelgava across a range of markets: full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change. Always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

Value Super Nova 4.4 Model: 33%
Draw 3.75 Model: 25%
FS Jelgava 1.91 Model: 42%

Both Teams to Score

Value Yes 1.83 Model: 58%
No 2 Model: 42%

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.28 Model: 79%
Value Over 2.5 2.04 Model: 56%
Value Over 3.5 3.4 Model: 34%
Under 1.5 3.5 Model: 21%
Under 2.5 1.82 Model: 44%
Under 3.5 1.3 Model: 66%

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.39
Over 1.5 2.85

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.28 Model: 66%
Over 9.5 1.5 Model: 55%
Over 10.5 1.8 Model: 44%
Over 11.5 2.2 Model: 34%
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

Value Super Nova 4.45 Model: 29%
Draw 2.2 Model: 38%
FS Jelgava 2.46 Model: 33%

Double Chance

Value Super Nova or Draw 1.8 Model: 58%
Super Nova or FS Jelgava 1.29 Model: 75%
Draw or FS Jelgava 1.2 Model: 67%

Super Nova Goals

Value Over 0.5 1.52 Model: 70%
Value Over 1.5 3.2 Model: 37%

FS Jelgava Goals

Over 0.5 1.2 Model: 75%
Over 1.5 2.03 Model: 44%

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • GIF Sundsvall vs Öster 18:00 BST | Superettan, Sweden GIF Sundsvall have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 home matches this season · Öster have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.72
    90% combined
  • Ranheim II vs Kvik Trondheim 18:00 BST | 3. Division - Group 2, Norway Ranheim II have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Kvik Trondheim have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.2
    90% combined
  • Staal Jørpeland vs Odd II 17:00 BST | 3. Division - Group 4, Norway Staal Jørpeland have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 home matches this season · Odd II have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    80% combined
  • Vänersborgs IF vs Herrestads 18:30 BST | Division 2: Norra Gotaland, Sweden Vänersborgs IF have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 home matches this season · Herrestads have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    80% combined
Acca odds (approx) 3.72
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Super Nova vs FS Jelgava Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Super Nova vs FS Jelgava?

Over 1.5 Goals: Super Nova see 2+ goals in 100% of home games, FS Jelgava in 70% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Super Nova or FS Jelgava?

Super Nova have a slight form edge at home (20% wins) over FS Jelgava on the road (10% wins) in Virsliga. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Super Nova and FS Jelgava?

Possibly. Super Nova frequently see both teams score at home (90%), while FS Jelgava are lower on the road (50%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Super Nova and FS Jelgava?

Possibly. Super Nova frequently feature in high-scoring home games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while FS Jelgava are lower on the road (30%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Super Nova or FS Jelgava?

Super Nova have the stronger scoring record. 2+ goals in 20% of home games compared to FS Jelgava's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Super Nova and FS Jelgava?

Possibly. Super Nova regularly reach high corner counts at home (90%), while FS Jelgava are lower on the road (40%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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Over 2.5 Goals

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Home Win

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Other Upcoming Fixtures

FC Daugavpils vs Super Nova

📍 Virsliga, Latvia

🕒 Tuesday 16th June, 16:00 BST

Match Stats

Grobiņa vs Liepāja

📍 Virsliga, Latvia

🕒 Tuesday 16th June, 17:00 BST

Match Stats

FS Jelgava vs Ogre United

📍 Virsliga, Latvia

🕒 Wednesday 17th June, 16:00 BST

Match Stats

Tukums vs Auda

📍 Virsliga, Latvia

🕒 Wednesday 17th June, 16:00 BST

Match Stats

Riga vs Rīgas FS

📍 Virsliga, Latvia

🕒 Wednesday 17th June, 17:00 BST

Match Stats

FC Daugavpils vs Grobiņa

📍 Virsliga, Latvia

🕒 Saturday 20th June, 14:00 BST

Match Stats

Super Nova vs Auda

📍 Virsliga, Latvia

🕒 Sunday 21st June, 12:00 BST

Match Stats

FS Jelgava vs Tukums

📍 Virsliga, Latvia

🕒 Sunday 21st June, 14:00 BST

Match Stats

"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

James T. (London, UK)

"I’ve been betting for a while, and this site’s focus on key stats like home win, away goals over 1.5, and over 0.5 first half goals has made my bets more informed. The data is clear and easy to use, which is a big plus. I highly recommend it for anyone who bets on football!"

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Steve C. (Birmingham, UK)

"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

"I love how this site makes betting easier by offering stats like home win, away win, and over 2.5 goals. The first half goals and team goals data have been particularly useful for me. If you’re into football betting, this is definitely worth checking out."

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