São Paulo vs Chapecoense — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Serie A, Brazil
🕒 Thursday 12th March, 23:00 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

São Paulo to Win

São Paulo have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 8/10 home matches (80%). Chapecoense have struggled on the road, winning only 1/10 away games (10%). The hosts look strong favourites — see our Home Win stats.

São Paulo frequently feature in matches with 2+ goals at home (80%), while Chapecoense are more variable on the road (70%). Over 1.5 Goals may still land, mainly driven by the home side.

Both teams rarely see both sides score — São Paulo at 40% at home and Chapecoense at 40% away. Solid defensive records on both sides make BTTS – No a reasonable selection.

São Paulo regularly reach high corner totals at home (70%), while Chapecoense are lower on the road (50%). The home side may drive the game to Over 9.5 Corners.

Our Prediction: São Paulo to Win — São Paulo have won 8/10 home games this season (80%), while Chapecoense have lost 6/10 away (60%). A strong statistical case for the home side.

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See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

The full Serie A table for the 2026 season, with São Paulo (2nd) and Chapecoense (12th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Serie A 2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Palmeiras 11 8 2 1 21:10 +11 26
2 Fluminense 11 6 2 3 18:13 +5 20
3 São Paulo H 12 6 2 4 16:11 +5 20
4 Bahia 10 6 2 2 15:10 +5 20
5 Flamengo 10 6 2 2 18:10 +8 20
6 Athletico PR 11 6 1 4 17:13 +4 19
7 Botafogo 11 5 1 5 22:22 0 16
8 Vasco da Gama 12 4 4 4 18:18 0 16
9 Coritiba 11 4 4 3 13:12 +1 16
10 Vitória 11 4 3 4 11:14 -3 15
11 Atlético Mineiro 11 4 2 5 14:13 +1 14
12 Bragantino 11 4 2 5 11:12 -1 14
13 Cruzeiro 12 3 4 5 16:21 -5 13
14 Grêmio 12 3 4 5 14:16 -2 13
15 Internacional 12 3 4 5 10:12 -2 13
16 Santos 11 3 4 4 14:16 -2 13
17 Corinthians 12 2 6 4 8:11 -3 12
18 Mirassol 11 2 3 6 13:17 -4 9
19 Chapecoense A 11 1 5 5 11:22 -11 8
20 Remo 11 1 5 5 11:18 -7 8

Team Form

São Paulo have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 80% of their home matches compared to Chapecoense's 10% away. The hosts hold a significant form advantage heading into this fixture.

São Paulo (Home Form) Chapecoense (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 8 (80%) 1 (10%)
Drawn 0 (0%) 3 (30%)
Lost 2 (20%) 6 (60%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

São Paulo (40% BTTS at home) and Chapecoense (40% BTTS away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches this season. A clean sheet for one side looks the more likely outcome.

São Paulo (Home Form) Chapecoense (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 4 (40%) 4 (40%)

Match Goals

São Paulo have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Chapecoense in 20% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

São Paulo (Home Form) Chapecoense (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 1 (10%)

Under Goals

São Paulo (Home Form) Chapecoense (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 8 (80%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 9 (90%)

Team Goals

São Paulo have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Chapecoense in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

São Paulo (Home Form) Chapecoense (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 9 (90%) 4 (40%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 8 (80%) 1 (10%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

São Paulo (Home Form) Chapecoense (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 5 (50%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

São Paulo (Home Form) Chapecoense (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 19 (1.9 avg) 5 (0.5 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 7 (0.7 avg) 14 (1.4 avg)

Match Corners

São Paulo regularly reach high corner counts at home (80%), while Chapecoense are lower on the road (60%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

São Paulo (Home Form) Chapecoense (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 9 (90%) 9 (90%)
Over 8.5 Corners 8 (80%) 6 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners 7 (70%) 5 (50%)
Over 10.5 Corners 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Over 11.5 Corners 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 12.5 Corners 3 (30%) 3 (30%)

Team Corners

São Paulo have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Chapecoense have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of away matches.

Corners Won

São Paulo (Home Form) Chapecoense (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 7 (70%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

São Paulo (Home Form) Chapecoense (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 2 (20%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between São Paulo and Chapecoense. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

03 Oct 2021
Chapecoense
1 – 1 HT: 0-1
São Paulo
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
16 Jun 2021
São Paulo
1 – 1 HT: 1-0
Chapecoense
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
03 Nov 2019
Chapecoense
0 – 3 HT: 0-2
São Paulo
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
22 Jul 2019
São Paulo
4 – 0 HT: 0-0
Chapecoense
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
02 Dec 2018
Chapecoense
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
São Paulo
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
19 Aug 2018
São Paulo
2 – 0 HT: 1-0
Chapecoense
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
09 Nov 2017
São Paulo
2 – 2 HT: 0-1
Chapecoense
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
16 Jul 2017
Chapecoense
2 – 0 HT: 0-0
São Paulo
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
20 Nov 2016
Chapecoense
2 – 0 HT: 2-0
São Paulo
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
31 Jul 2016
São Paulo
2 – 2 HT: 0-2
Chapecoense
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for São Paulo vs Chapecoense across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

São Paulo 1.46
Draw 5
Chapecoense 7.5

Half Time Result

São Paulo 1.91
Draw 2.6
Chapecoense 7.58

Double Chance

São Paulo or Draw 1.07
São Paulo or Chapecoense 1.18
Draw or Chapecoense 3.15

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2
No 1.95

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.27
Over 2.5 1.77
Over 3.5 3.05
Under 1.5 4.6
Under 2.5 2.28
Under 3.5 1.48

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.3
Over 1.5 2.5

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.5
Over 9.5 1.8
Over 10.5 1.91
Over 11.5 3.25

São Paulo Goals

Over 0.5 1.07
Over 1.5 1.48

Chapecoense Goals

Over 0.5 1.7
Over 1.5 4.1

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Eger W vs Kazincbarcika W 17:30 BST | Nöi NB II, Hungary Eger W have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Kazincbarcika W have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/7 away matches this season · Odds: 1.7
    91% combined
  • Watford U21 vs Charlton Athletic U21 13:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Watford U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 home matches this season · Charlton Athletic U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    85% combined
  • SK Artis Brno vs Táborsko 16:00 BST | Chance Národní Liga, Czech Republic SK Artis Brno have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/11 home matches this season · Táborsko have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/11 away matches this season · Odds: 2
    82% combined
  • Westerlo U21 vs Beerschot-Wilrijk U21 19:00 BST | Reserve Pro League, Belgium Westerlo U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/10 home matches this season · Beerschot-Wilrijk U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/10 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    75% combined
Acca odds (approx) 5.95
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São Paulo vs Chapecoense Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for São Paulo vs Chapecoense?

São Paulo to Win — they've won 8/10 (80%) of their last 10 home games, while Chapecoense have lost 6/10 (60%) of their last 10 away matches. A strong statistical case for the home side.

Which team is likely to win, São Paulo or Chapecoense?

São Paulo hold a clear form advantage — they've won 80% of home games in Serie A this season, while Chapecoense have won only 10% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between São Paulo and Chapecoense?

Unlikely — São Paulo (40% BTTS at home) and Chapecoense (40% away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches in Serie A. A clean sheet for one side looks the more probable outcome.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between São Paulo and Chapecoense?

Uncertain — São Paulo have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Chapecoense in 20% of away games in Serie A. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: São Paulo or Chapecoense?

São Paulo have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 10% of home games compared to Chapecoense's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between São Paulo and Chapecoense?

Possibly — São Paulo regularly reach high corner counts at home (80%), while Chapecoense are lower on the road (60%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

Discover match stats based on likely outcomes for the next 3–4 days.

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All Stats

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Over 2.5 Goals

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Both Teams to Score

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Home Win

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Over 1.5 Goals

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10 Teams to Win Today

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Other Upcoming Fixtures

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📍 Serie A, Brazil

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Remo vs Cruzeiro

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São Paulo vs Mirassol

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Grêmio vs Coritiba

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Bragantino vs Palmeiras

📍 Serie A, Brazil

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Match Stats

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Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

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"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

James T. (London, UK)

"I love the focus on stats like home goals over 1.5 and away goals over 1.5—these are the exact numbers I need before placing a bet. I’ve been able to use the over/under goals data to great effect. Highly recommend this site if you're looking for reliable stats."

Steve C. (Birmingham, UK)

"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

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