São Paulo vs Palmeiras Prediction & Stats

📍 Serie A, Brazil
🕒 Sunday 22nd March, 00:00 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners

São Paulo show a mild home advantage over Palmeiras on the road, but the difference is minimal. Expect a competitive and possibly low-margin game.

Palmeiras have shown a strong trend for high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 70%). While São Paulo are lower at 50%, the visitors’ attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

BTTS trends are mixed over the recent 10 games: one team may score while the other doesn’t. This market carries more uncertainty, so combining with goals or win stats is advised.

High corner counts are common for both teams in their last 10 home/away matches (60% and 60%). Expect plenty of set-piece opportunities, making Over 9.5 Corners a strong choice.

Our Prediction: Over 8.5 Corners looks promising. São Paulo see it in 70% of their last 10 home games and Palmeiras in 60% of their last 10 away games. Expect plenty of set-piece action.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

League Standing

The table below shows the current league positions of both sides heading into this match. A team's standing can reflect their overall consistency throughout the season and may influence how they approach the game.

São Paulo
2nd in league 4 played
VS
Palmeiras
1st in league 4 played

Team Form

São Paulo have been in stronger form at home compared to Palmeiras’s away record. Their recent performances suggest they are the favorites heading into this match.

São Paulo (Home Form) Palmeiras (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 8 (80%) 6 (60%)
Drawn 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Lost 2 (20%) 3 (30%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Both teams have had fewer games where both sides scored. This could indicate a low-scoring match, with a strong possibility of clean sheets influencing the outcome.

São Paulo (Home Form) Palmeiras (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 4 (40%) 5 (50%)

Match Goals

Both São Paulo and Palmeiras have averaged multiple goals in recent matches, suggesting this game could see plenty of action and potentially exceed 2.5 goals.

São Paulo (Home Form) Palmeiras (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Over 3.5 Goals 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
São Paulo (Home Form) Palmeiras (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Under 3.5 Goals 9 (90%) 6 (60%)

Team Goals

Both teams have averaged at least 1–2 goals per match in recent games. While not extremely high-scoring, goals from both sides are likely.

São Paulo (Home Form) Palmeiras (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 9 (90%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 8 (80%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
São Paulo (Home Form) Palmeiras (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
São Paulo (Home Form) Palmeiras (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 18 (1.8 avg) 16 (1.6 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 7 (0.7 avg) 12 (1.2 avg)

Match Corners

Both teams regularly achieve 9–10 corners per match. This could result in a dynamic game with multiple corner chances from both sides.

São Paulo (Home Form) Palmeiras (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 9 (90%) 8 (80%)
Over 8.5 Corners 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 10.5 Corners 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 11.5 Corners 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 12.5 Corners 4 (40%) 5 (50%)

Team Corners

São Paulo have moderate corner counts at home, occasionally generating set-piece opportunities, and defensively are generally solid in limiting corners conceded.

Palmeiras have moderate corner counts away, occasionally generating set-piece chances, and defensively generally restrict corners conceded away from home.

São Paulo (Home Form) Palmeiras (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 0 (0%)
São Paulo (Home Form) Palmeiras (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 3 (30%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows the results from previous meetings between these two sides. Historical matchups can provide useful context alongside current form, helping to build a more complete picture before placing a bet.

01 Mar 2026
Palmeiras
2 – 1 HT: 1-0
São Paulo
24 Jan 2026
Palmeiras
3 – 1 HT: 2-1
São Paulo
05 Oct 2025
São Paulo
2 – 3 HT: 2-0
Palmeiras
11 May 2025
Palmeiras
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
São Paulo
11 Mar 2025
Palmeiras
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
São Paulo
16 Feb 2025
Palmeiras
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
São Paulo
18 Aug 2024
Palmeiras
2 – 1 HT: 0-0
São Paulo
29 Apr 2024
São Paulo
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Palmeiras
03 Mar 2024
São Paulo
1 – 1 HT: 1-0
Palmeiras
04 Feb 2024
Palmeiras
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
São Paulo

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for this match across a range of markets, including the full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

São Paulo 3.02
Draw 2.89
Palmeiras 2.76

Half Time Result

São Paulo 3.75
Draw 2.14
Palmeiras 3.37

Double Chance

São Paulo or Draw 1.46
São Paulo or Palmeiras 1.45
Draw or Palmeiras 1.42

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.89
No 2.04

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.35
Over 2.5 2.25
Over 3.5 4.2
Under 1.5 2.76
Under 2.5 1.73
Under 3.5 1.26

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.46
Over 1.5 3.29

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.26
Over 9.5 1.66
Over 10.5 1.83
Over 11.5 2.04

São Paulo Goals

Over 0.5 1.35
Over 1.5 2.94

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5 1.31
Over 1.5 2.77

Our Stats & Tips

Here’s a glimpse of our top upcoming stats and data-driven tips — explore more below.

São Paulo vs Palmeiras Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for São Paulo vs Palmeiras?

Over 8.5 Corners looks promising. São Paulo hit this mark in 70% of home games, and Palmeiras in 60% of away matches. Expect plenty of set-piece action.

Which team is likely to win, São Paulo or Palmeiras?

São Paulo have been in stronger form at home compared to Palmeiras’s away record. Recent Serie A matches in Brazil suggest they are the favorites heading into this São Paulo vs Palmeiras game.

Will both teams score in the match between São Paulo and Palmeiras?

Both teams have had fewer games where both sides scored recently. This may point to a low-scoring São Paulo vs Palmeiras match in Serie A.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between São Paulo and Palmeiras?

Both São Paulo and Palmeiras have averaged multiple goals in recent Serie A matches in Brazil, suggesting this São Paulo vs Palmeiras game could exceed 2.5 goals.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: São Paulo or Palmeiras?

Both teams average 1–2 goals per match, so multiple goals are likely though not guaranteed.

Will there be many corners in the match between São Paulo and Palmeiras?

Both teams regularly achieve 9–10 corners per match, indicating a dynamic game with many set-piece opportunities.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

Discover match stats based on likely outcomes for the next 3–4 days.

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