Talanta vs Mwatate United — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Super League, Kenya
🕒 Saturday 11th April, 13:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 3.5 Goals

Talanta (50% home wins) hold a slight edge over Mwatate United on the road (10% away wins), but the difference is minimal. View our Home Win, Away Win and Draw stats for more context.

Goal trends are mixed for this fixture (Talanta 50% Over 2.5 at home, Mwatate United 40% away). Browse our Over 2.5 Goals and Under 2.5 Goals stats for more context.

Talanta often see both teams score at home (60%), while Mwatate United are less consistent on the road (30%). There's still a reasonable case for BTTS – Yes, mainly driven by the home side's open style.

Corner trends are mixed for this fixture — view our Over 3.5 First Half Corners and Over 8.5 Corners pages for the full data.

Our Prediction: Under 3.5 Goals — Talanta have stayed under 4 goals in 80% of home matches, Mwatate United in 90% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

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League Table

The full Super League table for the 2025/2026 season, with Talanta (th) and Mwatate United (th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Super League 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Migori Youth 26 16 4 6 39:24 +15 52
2 Mombasa United 25 17 1 7 39:23 +16 52
3 3K 26 14 5 7 38:18 +20 47
4 Equity Bank 25 13 7 5 33:25 +8 46
5 MOFA 25 12 9 4 34:18 +16 45
6 Fortune Sacco 26 12 7 7 42:25 +17 43
7 Kibera Black Stars 26 13 3 10 22:21 +1 42
8 Naivas 26 10 8 8 26:22 +4 38
9 Talanta H 26 10 7 9 26:21 +5 37
10 Nzoia United 26 8 12 6 26:20 +6 36
11 Soy United 26 10 6 10 22:19 +3 36
12 Nairobi City Stars 25 7 10 8 22:23 -1 31
13 Gucha Stars FC 24 8 5 11 24:26 -2 29
14 Luanda Villa 26 8 4 14 18:34 -16 28
15 Kisumu All Stars 26 7 6 13 17:33 -16 27
16 Vihiga United 25 6 7 12 21:34 -13 25
17 Darajani Gogo 26 6 6 14 17:30 -13 24
18 Kabati Youth FC 25 6 6 13 16:33 -17 24
19 Mwatate United A 26 5 6 15 20:42 -22 21
20 MCF 22 4 5 13 13:24 -11 17

Team Form

Mwatate United have lost 70% of their away matches this season, while Talanta have been more solid at home (20% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

Talanta (Home Form) Mwatate United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 5 (50%) 1 (10%)
Drawn 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Lost 2 (20%) 7 (70%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Talanta frequently see both teams score at home (60%), while Mwatate United are less consistent on the road (30%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Talanta (Home Form) Mwatate United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 6 (60%) 3 (30%)

Match Goals

Talanta have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Mwatate United in 40% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Talanta (Home Form) Mwatate United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 8 (80%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 1 (10%)

Under Goals

Talanta (Home Form) Mwatate United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Under 1.5 Goals 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Under 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 9 (90%)

Team Goals

Talanta have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Mwatate United in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Talanta (Home Form) Mwatate United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 7 (70%) 3 (30%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 5 (50%) 1 (10%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Talanta (Home Form) Mwatate United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 7 (70%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Talanta (Home Form) Mwatate United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 16 (1.6 avg) 4 (0.4 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 8 (0.8 avg) 15 (1.5 avg)

Match Corners

Talanta (20% Over 8.5 at home) and Mwatate United (10% away) have both featured in predominantly low-corner matches this season. Set-piece opportunities may be limited.

Talanta (Home Form) Mwatate United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 9.5 Corners 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 10.5 Corners 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 11.5 Corners 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Team Corners

Talanta have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Mwatate United have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of away matches.

Corners Won

Talanta (Home Form) Mwatate United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Talanta (Home Form) Mwatate United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Ożarowianka Ożarów Mazowiecki vs MLKS Victoria Sulejówek 18:00 BST | IV Liga: Mazowiecka, Poland Ożarowianka Ożarów Mazowiecki have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/11 home matches this season · MLKS Victoria Sulejówek have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    90% combined
  • Tolka Rovers vs UCD II 19:45 BST | Leinster Senior League, Republic of Ireland Tolka Rovers have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/9 home matches this season · UCD II have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/8 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    89% combined
  • Charlton Athletic U21 vs AFC Bournemouth U21 13:30 BST | Professional Development League, England Charlton Athletic U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/12 home matches this season · AFC Bournemouth U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/10 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    87% combined
  • Sparta Praha II W vs Pardubice W 17:00 BST | 2. Liga Women, Czech Republic Sparta Praha II W have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/8 home matches this season · Pardubice W have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/8 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    87% combined
Acca odds (approx) 3.87
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Talanta vs Mwatate United Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Talanta vs Mwatate United?

Under 3.5 Goals — Talanta have stayed under 4 goals in 80% of home matches, Mwatate United in 90% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

Which team is likely to win, Talanta or Mwatate United?

Talanta have a slight form edge at home (50% wins) over Mwatate United on the road (10% wins) in Super League. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Talanta and Mwatate United?

Mixed — Talanta have seen BTTS in 60% of home games, Mwatate United in 30% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Super League fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Talanta and Mwatate United?

Uncertain — Talanta have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Mwatate United in 40% of away games in Super League. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Talanta or Mwatate United?

Talanta have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of home games compared to Mwatate United's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Talanta and Mwatate United?

Unlikely — Talanta (20% Over 8.5 at home) and Mwatate United (10% away) have both featured in predominantly low-corner matches in Super League.

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Match Stats

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