Tapatío vs Venados Football Stats

📍 Liga de Expansión MX, Mexico
🕒 Friday 16th January, 23:00 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Tapatío to Win

Tapatío sit 6th in the table after 14 games, averaging 2.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per home match this season. Venados are 2nd after 14 games, averaging 1.2 scored and 2.1 conceded on the road. Tapatío have the stronger home record this season (6/10, 60%) against a Venados side who've won 1/10 away (10%).

Tapatío have been involved in high-scoring home games this season — Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 80% of their home fixtures (8/10). Venados are lower on the road (50%, 5/10), averaging 1.2 scored and 2.1 conceded away from home.

Tapatío frequently see both teams score at home (80%, 8/10). Venados are lower on the road (50%, 5/10) — they've scored in 50% of away games this season, which is the key variable.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season — Tapatío see 8+ in 60% of home games, Venados in 90% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Tapatío to Win — Tapatío have won 6/10 home games this season (60%), while Venados have lost 7/10 away (70%). A strong statistical case for the home side.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

The full Liga de Expansión MX table for the 2025/2026 season, with Tapatío (6th) and Venados (2nd) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Liga de Expansión MX 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Jaiba Brava 41 21 12 8 54:39 +15 75
2 Cancún 34 17 10 7 55:32 +23 61
3 Tepatitlán de Morelos 39 15 15 9 52:34 +18 60
4 Atlante 32 15 9 8 59:31 +28 54
5 Morelia 34 14 9 11 44:39 +5 51
6 Mineros de Zacatecas 34 12 13 9 53:51 +2 49
7 Irapuato 34 12 12 10 54:48 +6 48
8 CA La Paz 30 9 12 9 48:46 +2 39
9 Tapatío H 30 10 6 14 49:44 +5 36
10 Universidad Guadalajara 30 9 8 13 36:46 -10 35
11 Venados A 28 9 7 12 54:55 -1 34
12 Tlaxcala 28 8 10 10 30:44 -14 34
13 Alebrijes 28 7 8 13 36:54 -18 29
14 Correcaminos UAT 28 5 7 16 30:62 -32 22
15 Dorados 28 4 6 18 25:54 -29 18

Team Form

Tapatío hold a clear edge in home form this season (60% wins), while Venados have been less consistent on the road (10%). Home advantage could be decisive here.

Tapatío (Home Form) Venados (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 6 (60%) 1 (10%)
Drawn 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Lost 3 (30%) 7 (70%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Tapatío frequently see both teams score at home (80%), while Venados are less consistent on the road (50%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Tapatío (Home Form) Venados (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 8 (80%) 5 (50%)

Match Goals

Tapatío frequently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 in 80%), while Venados are lower on the road (50%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Over Goals

Tapatío (Home Form) Venados (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 10 (100%) 8 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals 8 (80%) 5 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals 4 (40%) 3 (30%)

Under Goals

Tapatío (Home Form) Venados (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Under 3.5 Goals 6 (60%) 7 (70%)

Team Goals

Tapatío have scored 2+ goals in 40% of home games this season, Venados in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Tapatío (Home Form) Venados (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 10 (100%) 5 (50%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 7 (70%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 1 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Tapatío (Home Form) Venados (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 8 (80%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 4 (40%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goal Totals

Tapatío (Home Form) Venados (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 23 (2.3 avg) 12 (1.2 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 13 (1.3 avg) 21 (2.1 avg)

Match Corners

Venados frequently reach high corner counts away from home (70%), while Tapatío are lower at home (40%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Tapatío (Home Form) Venados (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 6 (60%) 9 (90%)
Over 8.5 Corners 4 (40%) 7 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners 2 (20%) 6 (60%)
Over 10.5 Corners 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners 0 (0%) 2 (20%)

Team Corners

Tapatío have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Venados have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of away matches.

Corners Won

Tapatío (Home Form) Venados (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Tapatío (Home Form) Venados (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Tapatío and Venados. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

09 Aug 2025
Venados
1 – 3 HT: 1-2
Tapatío
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
06 Mar 2025
Venados
4 – 2 HT: 3-0
Tapatío
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
28 Sep 2024
Tapatío
2 – 2 HT: 0-0
Venados
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
11 Jan 2024
Tapatío
0 – 2 HT: 0-0
Venados
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
30 Aug 2023
Venados
2 – 1 HT: 0-0
Tapatío
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
23 Mar 2023
Venados
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Tapatío
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
30 Sep 2022
Tapatío
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Venados
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
20 Jan 2022
Tapatío
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Venados
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
18 Nov 2021
Venados
3 – 0 HT: 1-0
Tapatío
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
09 Apr 2021
Tapatío
1 – 1 HT: 0-1
Venados
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Tapatío vs Venados across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Tapatío 2.56
Draw 4
Venados 2.72

Half Time Result

Tapatío 2.87
Draw 2.4
Venados 3.14

Double Chance

Tapatío or Draw 1.41
Tapatío or Venados 1.24
Draw or Venados 1.53

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.52
No 2.72

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.12
Over 2.5 1.5
Over 3.5 2.42
Under 1.5 5.5
Under 2.5 2.5
Under 3.5 1.67

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.24
Over 1.5 2.3

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.08
Over 9.5 1.25
Over 10.5 1.75
Over 11.5 1.88

Tapatío Goals

Over 0.5 1.16
Over 1.5 2

Venados Goals

Over 0.5 1.17
Over 1.5 2.05

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Tartu Welco vs Nõmme Kalju U21 17:00 BST | Esiliiga A, Estonia Tartu Welco have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Nõmme Kalju U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    90% combined
  • PR Surf vs Ponce 01:30 BST | Liga Puerto Rico, Puerto Rico PR Surf have seen over 2.5 goals in 13/18 home matches this season · Ponce have seen over 2.5 goals in 16/18 away matches this season · Odds: 1.36
    80% combined
  • SønderjyskE U19 vs Nordsjaelland U19 15:00 BST | U19 League, Denmark SønderjyskE U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Nordsjaelland U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    79% combined
  • Kyzyl-Zhar vs Zhetysu 12:00 BST | Premier League, Kazakhstan Kyzyl-Zhar have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Zhetysu have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 away matches this season · Odds: 2.37
    75% combined
Acca odds (approx) 5.03
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Tapatío vs Venados Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Tapatío vs Venados?

Tapatío to Win — they've won 6/10 (60%) of their last 10 home games, while Venados have lost 7/10 (70%) of their last 10 away matches. A strong statistical case for the home side.

Which team is likely to win, Tapatío or Venados?

Tapatío hold a clear form advantage — they've won 60% of home games in Liga de Expansión MX this season, while Venados have won only 10% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Tapatío and Venados?

Possibly — Tapatío frequently see both teams score at home (80%), while Venados are lower on the road (50%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Tapatío and Venados?

Possibly — Tapatío frequently feature in high-scoring home games (Over 2.5 in 80%), while Venados are lower on the road (50%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Tapatío or Venados?

Tapatío have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 40% of home games compared to Venados's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Tapatío and Venados?

Possibly — Venados frequently reach high corner counts away (70%), while Tapatío are lower at home (40%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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Over 2.5 Goals

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Both Teams to Score

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Home Win

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Over 1.5 Goals

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10 Teams to Win Today

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Match Stats

"I love how this site makes betting easier by offering stats like home win, away win, and over 2.5 goals. The first half goals and team goals data have been particularly useful for me. If you’re into football betting, this is definitely worth checking out."

David H. (Glasgow, UK)

"I’m really impressed with the simplicity and focus of the stats on this site. Whether I’m checking for both teams to score or first half goals, I always get what I need quickly. It’s easy to navigate, and the range of stats really helps with my bets."

Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

"I love the focus on stats like home goals over 1.5 and away goals over 1.5—these are the exact numbers I need before placing a bet. I’ve been able to use the over/under goals data to great effect. Highly recommend this site if you're looking for reliable stats."

Steve C. (Birmingham, UK)

"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

James T. (London, UK)

"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

"I’ve been betting for a while, and this site’s focus on key stats like home win, away goals over 1.5, and over 0.5 first half goals has made my bets more informed. The data is clear and easy to use, which is a big plus. I highly recommend it for anyone who bets on football!"

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