Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Mineros de Zacatecas — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Liga de Expansión MX, Mexico
🕒 Sunday 8th March, 23:00 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Tepatitlán de Morelos Over 1.5 Team Goals

Tepatitlán de Morelos have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 7/10 home matches (70%). Mineros de Zacatecas have struggled on the road, winning only 3/10 away games (30%). The hosts look strong favourites — see our Home Win stats.

Mineros de Zacatecas have a strong trend for high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 Goals in 80%), while Tepatitlán de Morelos are lower at home (30%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Mineros de Zacatecas regularly see both teams score in away matches (70%), while Tepatitlán de Morelos are lower at home (30%). The visitors' tendency to be involved in goal-heavy games supports BTTS – Yes.

Both teams regularly see 8+ corners in recent games (80% and 70%) — Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Tepatitlán de Morelos Over 1.5 Team Goals — they've scored 2+ goals in 60% of home games, while Mineros de Zacatecas have conceded 2+ in 80% of away games. A strong case for the home side to score freely.

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League Table

The full Liga de Expansión MX table for the 2025/2026 season, with Tepatitlán de Morelos (2nd) and Mineros de Zacatecas (11th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Liga de Expansión MX 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Jaiba Brava 33 17 10 6 45:32 +13 61
2 Cancún 29 15 8 6 49:27 +22 53
3 Atlante 29 14 8 7 56:28 +28 50
4 Morelia 31 13 9 9 42:35 +7 48
5 Tepatitlán de Morelos H 32 12 12 8 44:29 +15 48
6 Irapuato 33 12 11 10 54:48 +6 47
7 Mineros de Zacatecas A 28 10 10 8 45:46 -1 40
8 CA La Paz 27 9 11 7 46:41 +5 38
9 Tapatío 27 10 5 12 47:39 +8 35
10 Universidad Guadalajara 29 9 8 12 35:44 -9 35
11 Venados 27 9 6 12 52:53 -1 33
12 Tlaxcala 27 8 9 10 28:42 -14 33
13 Alebrijes 27 6 8 13 33:53 -20 26
14 Correcaminos UAT 26 5 7 14 28:56 -28 22
15 Dorados 27 3 6 18 22:53 -31 15

Team Form

Tepatitlán de Morelos have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 70% of their home matches compared to Mineros de Zacatecas's 30% away. The hosts hold a significant form advantage heading into this fixture.

Tepatitlán de Morelos (Home Form) Mineros de Zacatecas (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 7 (70%) 3 (30%)
Drawn 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Lost 2 (20%) 5 (50%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Mineros de Zacatecas regularly see both teams score in away matches (70%), while Tepatitlán de Morelos are lower at home (30%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Tepatitlán de Morelos (Home Form) Mineros de Zacatecas (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 3 (30%) 7 (70%)

Match Goals

Mineros de Zacatecas regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 80%), while Tepatitlán de Morelos are lower at home (30%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Over Goals

Tepatitlán de Morelos (Home Form) Mineros de Zacatecas (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 7 (70%) 10 (100%)
Over 2.5 Goals 3 (30%) 8 (80%)
Over 3.5 Goals 1 (10%) 7 (70%)

Under Goals

Tepatitlán de Morelos (Home Form) Mineros de Zacatecas (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 3 (30%) 0 (0%)
Under 2.5 Goals 7 (70%) 2 (20%)
Under 3.5 Goals 9 (90%) 3 (30%)

Team Goals

Tepatitlán de Morelos have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Mineros de Zacatecas in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Tepatitlán de Morelos (Home Form) Mineros de Zacatecas (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 8 (80%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Tepatitlán de Morelos (Home Form) Mineros de Zacatecas (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 5 (50%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 8 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 2 (20%)

Goal Totals

Tepatitlán de Morelos (Home Form) Mineros de Zacatecas (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 16 (1.6 avg) 15 (1.5 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 5 (0.5 avg) 22 (2.2 avg)

Match Corners

Both Tepatitlán de Morelos (80% Over 7.5 at home) and Mineros de Zacatecas (70% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

Tepatitlán de Morelos (Home Form) Mineros de Zacatecas (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Over 8.5 Corners 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Over 9.5 Corners 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Over 10.5 Corners 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Team Corners

Tepatitlán de Morelos have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 50% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Mineros de Zacatecas have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of away matches.

Corners Won

Tepatitlán de Morelos (Home Form) Mineros de Zacatecas (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 8 (80%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Tepatitlán de Morelos (Home Form) Mineros de Zacatecas (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Tepatitlán de Morelos and Mineros de Zacatecas. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

27 Sep 2025
Mineros de Zacatecas
3 – 3 HT: 1-1
Tepatitlán de Morelos
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
20 Apr 2025
Mineros de Zacatecas
1 – 2 HT: 0-0
Tepatitlán de Morelos
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
03 Nov 2024
Tepatitlán de Morelos
1 – 1 HT: 1-0
Mineros de Zacatecas
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
16 Feb 2024
Tepatitlán de Morelos
1 – 1 HT: 1-0
Mineros de Zacatecas
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
20 Nov 2023
Mineros de Zacatecas
5 – 2 HT: 2-0
Tepatitlán de Morelos
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
17 Nov 2023
Tepatitlán de Morelos
0 – 2 HT: 0-1
Mineros de Zacatecas
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
24 Aug 2023
Mineros de Zacatecas
4 – 1 HT: 2-1
Tepatitlán de Morelos
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
22 Feb 2023
Tepatitlán de Morelos
2 – 2 HT: 2-1
Mineros de Zacatecas
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
19 Jul 2022
Mineros de Zacatecas
1 – 1 HT: 1-0
Tepatitlán de Morelos
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
29 Jan 2022
Mineros de Zacatecas
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Tepatitlán de Morelos
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Mineros de Zacatecas across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Tepatitlán de Morelos 1.9
Draw 3.61
Mineros de Zacatecas 4.5

Half Time Result

Tepatitlán de Morelos 2.5
Draw 2.32
Mineros de Zacatecas 4.45

Double Chance

Tepatitlán de Morelos or Draw 1.26
Tepatitlán de Morelos or Mineros de Zacatecas 1.22
Draw or Mineros de Zacatecas 1.7

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.85
No 1.95

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.33
Over 2.5 1.96
Over 3.5 3.34
Under 1.5 3.85
Under 2.5 1.95
Under 3.5 1.36

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.35
Over 1.5 2.79

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.26
Over 9.5 1.78
Over 10.5 2.42
Over 11.5 2.56

Tepatitlán de Morelos Goals

Over 0.5 1.16
Over 1.5 2.01

Mineros de Zacatecas Goals

Over 0.5 1.46
Over 1.5 2.65

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Manchester City U21 vs Norwich City U21 19:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Manchester City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 home matches this season · Norwich City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    89% combined
  • Crewe Alexandra U21 vs Queens Park Rangers U21 13:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Crewe Alexandra U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/13 home matches this season · Queens Park Rangers U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    81% combined
  • Sheffield United U21 vs Bristol City U21 14:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Sheffield United U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 home matches this season · Bristol City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    76% combined
  • Crystal Palace U21 vs Arsenal U21 19:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Crystal Palace U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/9 home matches this season · Arsenal U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    72% combined
Acca odds (approx) 2.84
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Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Mineros de Zacatecas Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Mineros de Zacatecas?

Tepatitlán de Morelos Over 1.5 Goals — they've scored 2+ in 60% of home games, while Mineros de Zacatecas have conceded 2+ in 80% of away games. A strong case for the home side to score freely.

Which team is likely to win, Tepatitlán de Morelos or Mineros de Zacatecas?

Tepatitlán de Morelos hold a clear form advantage — they've won 70% of home games in Liga de Expansión MX this season, while Mineros de Zacatecas have won only 30% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Tepatitlán de Morelos and Mineros de Zacatecas?

Possibly — Mineros de Zacatecas regularly see both teams score away (70%), while Tepatitlán de Morelos are lower at home (30%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Tepatitlán de Morelos and Mineros de Zacatecas?

Possibly — Mineros de Zacatecas regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 80%), while Tepatitlán de Morelos are lower at home (30%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Tepatitlán de Morelos or Mineros de Zacatecas?

Mineros de Zacatecas have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of away games compared to Tepatitlán de Morelos's 10% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Tepatitlán de Morelos and Mineros de Zacatecas?

Tepatitlán de Morelos have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 50% of home games, Mineros de Zacatecas in 50% of away games in Liga de Expansión MX. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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