Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Correcaminos UAT Football Stats

📍 Liga de Expansión MX, Mexico
🕒 Saturday 7th February, 01:00 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Tepatitlán de Morelos to Win

Tepatitlán de Morelos sit 2nd in the table after 19 games, averaging 2.1 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per home match this season. Correcaminos UAT are 12th after 16 games, averaging 0.7 scored and 2.3 conceded on the road. The home record backs Tepatitlán de Morelos strongly — they've won 9/10 home games (90%), while Correcaminos UAT have lost 7/10 on the road (70%).

Correcaminos UAT have featured in high-scoring away games this season — Over 2.5 Goals in 70% of their away fixtures (7/10). Tepatitlán de Morelos are lower at home (40%, 4/10), averaging 2.1 scored and 0.4 conceded.

Correcaminos UAT regularly see both teams score in away fixtures (60%, 6/10). Tepatitlán de Morelos are lower at home (40%, 4/10) — they've conceded in 40% of home games, which keeps BTTS in play.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season — Tepatitlán de Morelos see 8+ in 80% of home games, Correcaminos UAT in 70% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Tepatitlán de Morelos to Win — Tepatitlán de Morelos have won 9/10 home games this season (90%), while Correcaminos UAT have lost 7/10 away (70%). A strong statistical case for the home side.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

View Today’s Tips

League Table

The full Liga de Expansión MX table for the 2025/2026 season, with Tepatitlán de Morelos (2nd) and Correcaminos UAT (12th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Liga de Expansión MX 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Jaiba Brava 41 21 12 8 54:39 +15 75
2 Cancún 34 17 10 7 55:32 +23 61
3 Tepatitlán de Morelos H 39 15 15 9 52:34 +18 60
4 Atlante 32 15 9 8 59:31 +28 54
5 Morelia 34 14 9 11 44:39 +5 51
6 Mineros de Zacatecas 34 12 13 9 53:51 +2 49
7 Irapuato 34 12 12 10 54:48 +6 48
8 CA La Paz 30 9 12 9 48:46 +2 39
9 Tapatío 30 10 6 14 49:44 +5 36
10 Universidad Guadalajara 30 9 8 13 36:46 -10 35
11 Venados 28 9 7 12 54:55 -1 34
12 Tlaxcala 28 8 10 10 30:44 -14 34
13 Alebrijes 28 7 8 13 36:54 -18 29
14 Correcaminos UAT A 28 5 7 16 30:62 -32 22
15 Dorados 28 4 6 18 25:54 -29 18

Team Form

Tepatitlán de Morelos have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 90% of their home matches compared to Correcaminos UAT's 10% away. The hosts hold a significant form advantage heading into this fixture.

Tepatitlán de Morelos (Home Form) Correcaminos UAT (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 9 (90%) 1 (10%)
Drawn 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Lost 0 (0%) 7 (70%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Correcaminos UAT regularly see both teams score in away matches (60%), while Tepatitlán de Morelos are lower at home (40%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Tepatitlán de Morelos (Home Form) Correcaminos UAT (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 4 (40%) 6 (60%)

Match Goals

Correcaminos UAT regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Tepatitlán de Morelos are lower at home (40%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Over Goals

Tepatitlán de Morelos (Home Form) Correcaminos UAT (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 9 (90%) 8 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 7 (70%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 4 (40%)

Under Goals

Tepatitlán de Morelos (Home Form) Correcaminos UAT (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 3 (30%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 6 (60%)

Team Goals

Tepatitlán de Morelos have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Correcaminos UAT in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Tepatitlán de Morelos (Home Form) Correcaminos UAT (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 10 (100%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 8 (80%) 0 (0%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Tepatitlán de Morelos (Home Form) Correcaminos UAT (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 4 (40%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 5 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 2 (20%)

Goal Totals

Tepatitlán de Morelos (Home Form) Correcaminos UAT (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 21 (2.1 avg) 7 (0.7 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 4 (0.4 avg) 23 (2.3 avg)

Match Corners

Both Tepatitlán de Morelos (80% Over 7.5 at home) and Correcaminos UAT (70% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

Tepatitlán de Morelos (Home Form) Correcaminos UAT (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Over 8.5 Corners 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Over 9.5 Corners 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 10.5 Corners 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Team Corners

Tepatitlán de Morelos have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Correcaminos UAT have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of away matches.

Corners Won

Tepatitlán de Morelos (Home Form) Correcaminos UAT (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 1 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Tepatitlán de Morelos (Home Form) Correcaminos UAT (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 7 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Tepatitlán de Morelos and Correcaminos UAT. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

30 Aug 2025
Correcaminos UAT
1 – 4 HT: 1-2
Tepatitlán de Morelos
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
07 Mar 2025
Correcaminos UAT
2 – 1 HT: 0-0
Tepatitlán de Morelos
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
21 Sep 2024
Tepatitlán de Morelos
6 – 0 HT: 3-0
Correcaminos UAT
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
07 Mar 2024
Correcaminos UAT
2 – 0 HT: 1-0
Tepatitlán de Morelos
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
13 Sep 2023
Tepatitlán de Morelos
2 – 1 HT: 1-0
Correcaminos UAT
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
15 Mar 2023
Correcaminos UAT
2 – 1 HT: 0-1
Tepatitlán de Morelos
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
18 Aug 2022
Tepatitlán de Morelos
3 – 0 HT: 1-0
Correcaminos UAT
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
13 Jan 2022
Tepatitlán de Morelos
1 – 1 HT: 0-1
Correcaminos UAT
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
05 Aug 2021
Correcaminos UAT
2 – 1 HT: 0-1
Tepatitlán de Morelos
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
10 Mar 2021
Tepatitlán de Morelos
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Correcaminos UAT
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Correcaminos UAT across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Tepatitlán de Morelos 1.38
Draw 4.75
Correcaminos UAT 7.5

Half Time Result

Tepatitlán de Morelos 1.83
Draw 2.39
Correcaminos UAT 7.46

Double Chance

Tepatitlán de Morelos or Draw 1.08
Tepatitlán de Morelos or Correcaminos UAT 1.18
Draw or Correcaminos UAT 2.79

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.75
No 1.94

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.18
Over 2.5 1.61
Over 3.5 2.55
Under 1.5 4.52
Under 2.5 2.17
Under 3.5 1.5

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.3
Over 1.5 2.36

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.09
Over 9.5 1.26
Over 10.5 1.76
Over 11.5 1.9

Tepatitlán de Morelos Goals

Over 0.5 1.06
Over 1.5 1.45

Correcaminos UAT Goals

Over 0.5 1.58
Over 1.5 3.9

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Breiðablik / Augn U19 vs FH / ÍH U19 20:30 BST | U19 League, Iceland Breiðablik / Augn U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · FH / ÍH U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    91% combined
  • Tartu Welco vs Nõmme Kalju U21 17:00 BST | Esiliiga A, Estonia Tartu Welco have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Nõmme Kalju U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    90% combined
  • SønderjyskE U19 vs Nordsjaelland U19 15:00 BST | U19 League, Denmark SønderjyskE U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Nordsjaelland U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    79% combined
  • Kyzyl-Zhar vs Zhetysu 12:00 BST | Premier League, Kazakhstan Kyzyl-Zhar have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Zhetysu have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 away matches this season · Odds: 2.2
    75% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.47
Explore all our tips & stats

Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Correcaminos UAT Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Correcaminos UAT?

Tepatitlán de Morelos to Win — they've won 9/10 (90%) of their last 10 home games, while Correcaminos UAT have lost 7/10 (70%) of their last 10 away matches. A strong statistical case for the home side.

Which team is likely to win, Tepatitlán de Morelos or Correcaminos UAT?

Tepatitlán de Morelos hold a clear form advantage — they've won 90% of home games in Liga de Expansión MX this season, while Correcaminos UAT have won only 10% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Tepatitlán de Morelos and Correcaminos UAT?

Mixed — Tepatitlán de Morelos have seen BTTS in 40% of home games, Correcaminos UAT in 60% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Liga de Expansión MX fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Tepatitlán de Morelos and Correcaminos UAT?

Possibly — Correcaminos UAT regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Tepatitlán de Morelos are lower at home (40%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Tepatitlán de Morelos or Correcaminos UAT?

Tepatitlán de Morelos have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of home games compared to Correcaminos UAT's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Tepatitlán de Morelos and Correcaminos UAT?

Tepatitlán de Morelos have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 50% of home games, Correcaminos UAT in 50% of away games in Liga de Expansión MX. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

Discover match stats based on likely outcomes for the next 3–4 days.

Free+

All Stats

View all of our stats for upcoming matches.

View stats

Free

Over 2.5 Goals

View all our stats for matches that have a likely outcome of over 2.5 goals.

View stats

Free

Both Teams to Score

View all our stats for matches that have a likely outcome of both teams to score.

View stats

Free

Home Win

View all our stats for matches that have a likely outcome of a home win.

View stats

Over 1.5 Goals

View all our stats for matches that have a likely outcome of over 1.5 goals.

View stats

Free

10 Teams to Win Today

Discover the 10 teams most likely to win today based on previous form.

View stats
View more stats

Other Upcoming Fixtures

Yongin City vs Daegu

📍 K League 2, South Korea

🕒 Saturday 30th May, 08:30 BST

Match Stats

Gimnasia Jujuy vs Nueva Chicago

📍 Primera B Nacional, Argentina

🕒 Saturday 30th May, 01:00 BST

Match Stats

Colorado Rapids II vs St. Louis City II

📍 MLS Next Pro, United States

🕒 Sunday 7th June, 01:00 BST

Match Stats

Sông Lam Nghệ An vs PVF-CAND

📍 V-League, Vietnam

🕒 Sunday 7th June, 12:00 BST

Match Stats

Tuggeranong United W vs Majura W

📍 Capital Territory NPL Women, Australia

🕒 Sunday 31st May, 07:15 BST

Match Stats

Santos vs Vitória

📍 Serie A, Brazil

🕒 Sunday 31st May, 01:00 BST

Match Stats

Kauno Žalgiris vs Žalgiris

📍 A Lyga, Lithuania

🕒 Sunday 31st May, 12:15 BST

Match Stats

Ranheim vs Sandnes Ulf

📍 1. Division, Norway

🕒 Sunday 31st May, 16:00 BST

Match Stats

"I’m really impressed with the simplicity and focus of the stats on this site. Whether I’m checking for both teams to score or first half goals, I always get what I need quickly. It’s easy to navigate, and the range of stats really helps with my bets."

Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

"I love the focus on stats like home goals over 1.5 and away goals over 1.5—these are the exact numbers I need before placing a bet. I’ve been able to use the over/under goals data to great effect. Highly recommend this site if you're looking for reliable stats."

Steve C. (Birmingham, UK)

"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

James T. (London, UK)

"I love how this site makes betting easier by offering stats like home win, away win, and over 2.5 goals. The first half goals and team goals data have been particularly useful for me. If you’re into football betting, this is definitely worth checking out."

David H. (Glasgow, UK)

"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

"I’ve been betting for a while, and this site’s focus on key stats like home win, away goals over 1.5, and over 0.5 first half goals has made my bets more informed. The data is clear and easy to use, which is a big plus. I highly recommend it for anyone who bets on football!"

Luke H. (Cardiff, Wales)

Latest Blogs

View all posts →